Brazil’s crop will be a record for a year in which trees enter the lower-yielding half of a two-year cycle, broker INTL FCStone Inc. (INTL) said in a report e-mailed yesterday. Conditions for the development of next year’s harvest appear to be “good,” it said. Farmers in Colombia will reap 10.6 million to 10.8 million bags in 2013, exceeding a target of 10 million bags, the Colombian Coffee Growers Federation said. Central America started harvesting last month. A bag weighs 132 pounds.
“The global coffee harvest kicked into high gear in Colombia, Central America and Brazil,” FCStone said. “The Brazilian ‘off-year’ crop is expected to come in a new record high and is one of the reasons prices are struggling.”
Arabica for December delivery fell 0.3 percent to $1.034 a pound by 5:57 a.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York after dropping earlier today to $1.031, the lowest for a most-active contract since Dec. 5, 2008. Prices are probably heading for $1, FCStone said. Robusta coffee for January delivery fell 1 percent to $1,468 a metric ton on NYSE Liffe in London.
Futures traded in New York declined 28 percent this year, making the beans the third-worst performer in the Standard & Poor’s gauge of 24 raw materials, after corn and silver.
Raw sugar for March delivery rose 0.4 percent to 18.39 cents a pound in New York. Refined, or white, sugar for delivery in March gained 0.3 percent to $487.90 a ton in London.
Outflows from long sugar ETPs last week were $3.1 million, the highest since April, according to ETF Securities. Sugar prices dropped 5.8 percent this year and may decline even more with the Indian harvest starting with “strong export orders,” Nitesh Shah, an associate director at the Jersey, U.K.-based company, said in a report e-mailed today.
Cocoa for delivery in December gained 0.5 percent to $2,668 a ton on ICE. Cocoa for delivery in March climbed 0.8 percent to 1,710 pounds ($2,746) a ton on NYSE Liffe.
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