Natural gas futures climbed in New York for the fourth time in five days on speculation that a tropical weather system will enter the Gulf of Mexico, causing pipelines and platforms to shut.
Gas gained as much as 1.7 percent. An area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea has a 50 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next five days, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said in an 8 a.m. outlook. The storm will move over the southern Gulf later this week, according to the hurricane center.
“The bottom line for the market is the concern that this storm could be a problem maker,” said Bob Yawger, director of the futures division at Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York. “Traders are looking to take prices a little higher.”
Natural gas for November delivery rose 3.6 cents, or 1 percent, to $3.596 per million British thermal units at 9:37 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Trading volume was 15 percent above the average for the time of day. Prices have advanced 7.3 percent this year.
The discount of November to December futures narrowed 0.6 cent to 16.3 cents. November gas traded 26.1 cents below the January contract, compared with 27.1 cents yesterday.
November $3.40 puts were the most active options in electronic trading. They were 0.8 cent lower at 4.6 cents per million Btu on volume of 632 at 9:45 a.m. Puts accounted for 54 percent of trading volume. Implied volatility for November at-the-money options was 30.97 percent at 9:30 a.m., compared with 30.11 percent yesterday.
The Gulf will account for 5.6 percent of U.S. gas production this year, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland, said temperatures will be normal or below average in the Midwest and West from Oct. 6 through Oct. 10. The low in Minneapolis on Oct. 9 may be 36 degrees Fahrenheit (2 Celsius), 6 less than usual, according to AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania.
The low in Denver may be 34 degrees, 5 lower than normal, AccuWeather data show. About 50 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating, according to the EIA, the Energy Department’s statistical arm.
Gas inventories totaled 3.386 trillion cubic feet in the seven days ended Sept. 20, 0.9 percent above the five-year average and 5 percent below last year’s supplies for the period, EIA data show.
The number of rigs drilling for gas in the U.S. fell by 10 last week to 376, according to data released Sept. 27 by Baker Hughes Inc. in Houston. The total is down 13 percent this year.
The U.S. met 87 percent of its own energy needs in the first six months of 2013, on pace to be the highest annual rate since 1986, EIA data show.
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