Aussie Dollar Trades Near Five-Year Low Versus Kiwi on Rate Bets

Australia’s dollar traded 0.6 percent from an almost five-year low versus its New Zealand counterpart on bets interest rates at the nations’ central banks will diverge.

Traders see 50 percent odds that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce its cash target rate by April next year, interest-rate swaps data compiled by Bloomberg show. They see an 87 percent chance the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will raise borrowing costs in the same period. The Aussie held its first gain in three days against the greenback as investors ponder whether the Federal Reserve will start to taper stimulus that has weighed on the U.S. currency.

“The Aussie-kiwi cross is drifting lower on the expected trajectories of both central banks,” said Alex Sinton, director for institutional foreign exchange in Auckland at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. (ANZ) “The NZ$1.12 zone in recent times has presented some difficulty, and we really need some new news to break that.”

The Australian dollar was little changed at NZ$1.1272 as of 9:46 a.m. in Sydney from yesterday, after touching NZ$1.12 on Aug. 1, the weakest since October 2008. It traded at 94.22 U.S. cents, after gaining 0.4 percent yesterday to 94.31. New Zealand’s dollar slid 0.2 percent to 83.59 U.S. cents.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kevin Buckland in Tokyo at kbuckland1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net

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