U.S. Northeast Warm to End September, Reducing Energy Use
The U.S. Northeast may end September with temperatures about 3 degrees Fahrenheit (1.6 Celsius) above normal, which will probably cut energy demand, said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC.
Warmer weather will reach the northern Great Plains and eastern New York and New England from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, Rogers said in a forecast today. Higher temperatures are also expected in most of Canada and Southern California, while much of the rest of the U.S. will be seasonal.
“Sept. 26-27 is the national crossing point where heating demand outweighs cooling, so warmer changes are now bearish versus bullish,” Rogers, based in Bethesda, Maryland, said in a e-mail interview.
Energy traders watch temperature fluctuations to gauge how much natural gas, oil and coal will be needed for heating homes and businesses. When daily averages fall below 65 degrees there is usually a boost in demand for the day.
MDA Weather Services predicts a wider spread of warmer-than-normal temperatures for the same time frame. Readings may rise 2 to 3 degrees above average as far south as Texas and the Midwest may be 5 degrees above normal, MDA said.
The daily average temperature in New York on Sept. 29 is about 64 degrees, according to MDA, in Gaithersburg, Maryland. In Boston it’s 60; in Chicago, 59; St. Louis, 65; Houston, 76; Seattle, 57; and in Burbank, California, it’s 71.
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