Ruble Retreats Versus Basket as Oil Drops, Tax Period Winds Down
The ruble weakened as crude oil prices declined and the tax period wound down, curbing demand for the local currency from exporters.
The ruble depreciated 0.5 percent against Bank Rossii’s target basket of dollars and euros to 35.5636 by 2:22 p.m. in Moscow, paring its gain in the week to 1.4 percent. It fell 0.5 percent versus the dollar to 31.3215.
“As the tax period ends, the ruble has no chance for growth next week,” Anton Zakharov, analyst at OAO Promsvyazbank, said by e-mail.
The currency should trade at 36 rubles to the basket when Brent is at $100 per barrel, BCS Financial Group analysts led by Leonid Ignatiev said in an e-mailed report.
Bank Rossii said it spent the equivalent of 2.22 billion rubles selling foreign currency and buying rubles on the market on April 24. Today’s decline pushed the ruble toward 35.65 to the basket, the level at which the central bank may intervene to support the currency. Bank Rossii intervened daily from April 15, selling the equivalent of about 2.2 billion rubles of foreign currency per day.
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