Mexico Economists Forecast 2012 Year-End Inflation of 4.0%

Mexico economists expect consumer prices to rise 4.0 percent this year, according to a central bank survey published today.

The analysts forecast the economy will expand 3.87 percent in 2012, the survey on the central bank’s website showed. While the bank usually publishes its surveys at the start of each month, today’s poll was published two weeks early and reflects forecasts from the first half of December.

Inflation expectations for 2012 fell to 4.10 percent from 4.16 percent in the previous survey after effects of a bird-flu outbreak on egg and poultry prices eased. Price-growth has remained above the central bank’s 2 percent to 4 percent target range every month since June, although the central bank forecasts it will end the year below 4 percent.

Annual inflation reached a less-than-expected 4.18 percent in November, down from 4.6 percent in October and 4.77 percent in September.

Mexico’s economy grew 3.3 percent in the third quarter, the slowest pace in more than a year, as manufacturing cooled on lower demand from the U.S. The Finance Ministry forecasts growth this year at 3.9 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nacha Cattan in Mexico City at

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joshua Goodman at

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