Merkel’s Party May Lose Lower Saxony State Jan. 20, Poll Shows

German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats could lose power in Lower Saxony state next month as an alliance of Social Democrats and Greens may replace the CDU’s ruling coalition with the Free Democrats, a poll shows.

Less than six weeks before the Jan. 20 election, voter support stood at 39 percent for the CDU, 32 percent for the SPD, 13 percent for the Greens and 4 percent each for the FDP, the Left party and the Pirate party, according to a Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll for ZDF public television.

If at least three parties fail to cross the 5 percent threshold needed to win seats in parliament, the SPD and Greens would benefit from the distribution of seats among the remaining parties, ZDF said in an e-mailed statement. Fifty-two percent of respondents weren’t sure yet which party they plan to vote for or whether they’ll vote at all, ZDF said.

In the last election in 2008, the CDU garnered 42.5 percent, compared with 30.3 percent for the SPD, 8.2 percent for the FDP, 8 percent for the Greens and 7.1 percent for the Left party.

The poll published today showed that 47 percent of voters favor a coalition of SPD and Greens while a continued alliance of CDU and FDP has the support of 26 percent of voters. FG Wahlen interviewed 1,043 people Dec. 3-5 and the margin of error was high as 3 percentage points, ZDF said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Rainer Buergin in Berlin at rbuergin1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Hertling at jhertling@bloomberg.net

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