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S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Oct. 19.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        70.4      6     10.56     18.00    -24.90
MU    MICRON TECH           64.6     21      5.57      9.17     -2.08
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        51.3     10     20.31     30.73    -51.14
TER   TERADYNE INC          49.2     10     14.02     20.92     10.47
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        48.9      9     32.63     48.60    -13.80
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         47.4      8     17.10     25.20    -12.69
LSI   LSI CORP              43.3     14      6.43      9.22     14.86
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       40.3     26     71.06     99.69     -8.46
DELL  DELL INC              40.2     24      9.65     13.53    -39.66
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       39.2     18     16.35     22.77     11.19
NVDA  NVIDIA CORP           37.3     24     12.28     16.86    -16.93
TSO   TESORO CORP           36.8     11     38.36     52.46     47.21
MNST  MONSTER BEVERAG       35.5      4     53.49     72.50     20.44
JDSU  JDS UNIPHASE          35.4      9     10.22     13.84     -2.60
F     FORD MOTOR CO         34.6     12     10.25     13.79    -10.21
CTXS  CITRIX SYSTEMS        34.0     23     64.60     86.60      0.64
CMG   CHIPOTLE MEXICA       34.0     15    245.22    328.67    -10.61
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       33.8      8      5.66      7.57     -4.60
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       33.6     12     29.40     39.27        na
VLO   VALERO ENERGY         33.3     12     29.36     39.14     29.95
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       32.4     16     35.08     46.44     32.81
A     AGILENT TECH IN       32.1     11     35.97     47.50     10.25
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       30.2     20      2.24      2.92    -45.76
APA   APACHE CORP           29.7     23     87.42    113.40     -0.99
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         29.4     12      8.92     11.55      2.15
AES   AES CORP              29.3      5     11.08     14.32      4.21
EMC   EMC CORP/MA           28.8     29     24.62     31.71      4.21
SBUX  STARBUCKS CORP        28.4     22     45.59     58.54     13.30
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       28.3     19     34.16     43.84    -15.80
DLTR  DOLLAR TREE INC       28.1     19     39.28     50.31     -1.80
BBBY  BED BATH &BEYON       27.9     18     59.94     76.68      0.04
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       27.9     16     84.51    108.11      2.97
HAR   HARMAN INTL           27.3      5     44.00     56.00     23.85
RHI   ROBERT HALF INT       27.2      8     27.52     35.00      5.95
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         27.1      4     17.18     21.83     26.53
PCLN  PRICELINE.COM         26.9     20    561.75    712.74     18.08
JEC   JACOBS ENGIN GR       26.7     13     39.87     50.53      9.94
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       26.2     19     26.29     33.18    -15.27
AAPL  APPLE INC             26.0     48    617.27    777.86     50.47
MET   METLIFE INC           25.9     14     35.78     45.06     16.93
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       25.8     23     62.16     78.21      3.07
FLR   FLUOR CORP            25.7     17     57.48     72.24     12.77
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        25.5      8     20.16     25.30     11.77
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       25.4     20     13.28     16.66    -43.57
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       25.1     15     31.80     39.77     -4.14
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       24.8     21     14.62     18.25    -40.86
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       24.7     13     43.69     54.46     -0.10
BRCM  BROADCOM CORP-A       24.1     38     33.74     41.87     -8.35
KLAC  KLA-TENCOR CORP       24.1     12     45.66     56.67      9.58
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           24.0     30     97.16    120.47      9.66
EXPD  EXPEDITORS INTL       24.0     12     35.31     43.77    -19.11

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
AN    AUTONATION INC       -19.1      4     48.39     39.17     29.10
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC      -14.3     18     23.91     20.50    -55.03
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC      -11.4     11      8.64      7.65     54.26
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC       -11.1     16     17.80     15.83    295.74
CVC   CABLEVISION SY-      -10.7     16     18.25     16.29     10.18
HAS   HASBRO INC            -9.2      6     39.18     35.57     16.51
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -8.1      6     81.05     74.50     32.41
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -8.0     10     70.54     64.92     35.45
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -6.7      8     28.27     26.38     73.90
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -6.3      6     40.56     38.00     10.74
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -6.1     10     43.66     41.00     57.93
DISCA DISCOVERY COMM-       -5.7     17     60.83     57.33     48.59
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -4.9     11     53.05     50.43     46.79
LOW   LOWE’S COS INC        -4.8     19     32.92     31.33     54.00
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -4.0      8     31.35     30.11     23.13
SCG   SCANA CORP            -3.5      8     49.27     47.56     24.22
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -3.3     12    151.62    146.60     95.21
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -3.3     14     38.78     37.50    144.37
SNI   SCRIPPS NET-CL        -3.2     14     64.27     62.24     52.52
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -2.9      9     93.21     90.50     30.13
WHR   WHIRLPOOL CORP        -2.8      4     86.78     84.33     62.89
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -2.8     13     21.56     20.97    105.54
HD    HOME DEPOT INC        -2.6     23     61.76     60.16     76.18
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -2.5      6     39.50     38.50     54.73
DVA   DAVITA INC            -2.3      8    110.86    108.34     72.92
PGR   PROGRESSIVE COR       -2.1     14     22.93     22.44     29.50
CBE   COOPER INDS           -2.1      6     74.25     72.71     49.26
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -2.1     11     33.01     32.33      5.50
HNZ   HJ HEINZ CO           -1.6     13     58.08     57.13     15.25
TE    TECO ENERGY INC       -1.4      8     18.10     17.85      6.14
CB    CHUBB CORP            -1.3     15     80.56     79.47     31.20

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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