S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Oct. 5.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        65.3      5     11.01     18.20    -12.92
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        61.8      9     31.11     50.33     -3.32
MU    MICRON TECH           56.1     22      5.94      9.27     29.98
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       49.7     22      3.20      4.78    -31.78
TER   TERADYNE INC          48.7     10     14.10     20.96     27.05
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       43.8     26     69.14     99.39     13.96
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       42.4     19     30.59     43.56    -22.45
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        40.9     19     22.39     31.55    -31.61
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         40.9      8     18.03     25.40      1.59
DELL  DELL INC              40.7     24      9.68     13.61    -34.34
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       40.2     18     16.26     22.79     44.24
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        39.3     13     38.24     53.27    -26.87
CMG   CHIPOTLE MEXICA       37.1     15    284.70    390.24     -2.35
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       35.3      8      5.41      7.31     -2.07
NE    NOBLE CORP            34.4     11     35.28     47.40     23.64
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        34.0      7     29.23     39.17    -26.34
APA   APACHE CORP           32.1     24     85.70    113.22     10.54
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          31.9     11     32.26     42.54    -17.43
AES   AES CORP              30.9      5     10.94     14.32     16.53
F     FORD MOTOR CO         30.7     12     10.18     13.31      1.71
RHI   ROBERT HALF INT       30.6      8     26.42     34.50     22.51
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       30.4     17     14.13     18.42     15.83
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       30.1     23     60.00     78.08     10.84
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        29.8     21     33.46     43.42     12.55
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       29.6     21     12.94     16.77    -35.72
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       29.5     13     42.06     54.46     13.76
LSI   LSI CORP              29.5     15      7.12      9.22     35.99
RDC   ROWAN COMPANIE-       28.4      9     32.60     41.85      9.35
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       28.3     15     84.70    108.71     19.26
MNST  MONSTER BEVERAG       28.0      5     57.02     73.00     35.57
HOG   HARLEY-DAVIDSON       27.5     10     42.20     53.82     22.44
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       26.8     18     38.09     48.31     50.67
MET   METLIFE INC           26.6     15     35.46     44.88     30.18
UNM   UNUM GROUP            26.4     11     20.10     25.41     -3.17
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        26.3      8     20.23     25.56     31.97
FLR   FLUOR CORP            25.7     17     57.18     71.89     18.63
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         25.7     12      8.97     11.27     21.73
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         25.6     22     31.37     39.39     -7.61
NVDA  NVIDIA CORP           25.4     25     13.49     16.92      5.58
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       25.1     21     14.90     18.64    -33.59
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       25.1     14     31.55     39.46     22.27
BBBY  BED BATH &BEYON       24.6     18     61.83     77.05     11.67
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       24.4     18     85.49    106.38     20.94
BHI   BAKER HUGHES IN       24.0     21     43.49     53.91     -1.56
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        23.9     17     57.35     71.06     -5.69
CHK   CHESAPEAKE ENER       23.8     23     19.23     23.80    -21.49
IGT   INTL GAME TECH        23.3     15     13.05     16.10     -7.88
BA    BOEING CO/THE         23.1     20     70.89     87.30     21.14
TXT   TEXTRON INC           22.9     10     25.84     31.75     45.79
SLB   SCHLUMBERGER LT       22.8     26     71.76     88.15     23.09
KLAC  KLA-TENCOR CORP       22.8     12     47.40     58.21     25.20

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
AN    AUTONATION INC       -16.2      5     46.56     39.00     39.45
PCS   METROPCS COMMUN      -15.1     16     12.74     10.82     54.00
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -9.7      6     83.03     75.00     38.42
DISCA DISCOVERY COMM-       -9.3     18     61.31     55.62     61.75
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC       -9.3     11      8.18      7.42     53.29
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -8.7     10     69.49     63.41     37.86
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -7.2     16     16.67     15.47    355.22
HD    HOME DEPOT INC        -6.8     22     62.98     58.70     94.88
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -6.7      8     31.63     29.50     29.55
HAS   HASBRO INC            -6.3      6     37.83     35.43     20.36
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -5.9      6     39.31     37.00     13.80
T     AT&T INC              -5.5     23     37.87     35.79     43.27
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -5.3     12    155.49    147.31    106.38
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -5.2     15    102.04     96.71     25.77
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -5.1     10     94.54     89.69     36.29
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -5.0     24     47.09     44.73     36.66
SNI   SCRIPPS NET-CL        -4.9     14     63.92     60.81     75.91
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -4.8      8     26.85     25.56     70.48
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -4.8     11     48.16     45.85     39.39
CVC   CABLEVISION SY-       -4.6     16     16.90     16.13     10.93
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -4.4     10     42.56     40.70     60.49
LOW   LOWE’S COS INC        -4.3     18     31.80     30.42     61.03
HRS   HARRIS CORP           -4.1      4     51.86     49.75     53.86
DGX   QUEST DIAGNOSTI       -3.9     10     64.27     61.78     37.05
ALXN  ALEXION PHARM         -3.7     12    118.18    113.85     87.81
WMB   WILLIAMS COS IN       -3.6      7     36.02     34.71     94.63
ABT   ABBOTT LABS           -3.3     11     71.46     69.08     45.01
FRX   FOREST LABS INC       -3.3     12     37.54     36.31     24.58
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -3.2     21      5.19      5.02     77.97
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -2.8     13     21.79     21.18    155.12
SCG   SCANA CORP            -2.7      8     48.89     47.56     29.51
HCP   HCP INC               -2.7      7     45.45     44.22     36.13
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC       -2.5      9     32.00     31.19     19.54
CBE   COOPER INDS           -2.4      5     75.31     73.50     66.41
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -2.3     16     57.90     56.59    149.34
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -2.2      6     38.87     38.00     54.85
PAYX  PAYCHEX INC           -1.9     15     33.60     32.97     34.27
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -1.6      6     66.76     65.71     46.16
PM    PHILIP MORRIS I       -1.5     13     93.78     92.34     54.22
PLL   PALL CORP             -1.5      8     64.85     63.88     54.62
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -1.4     14     37.86     37.33    186.49
EW    EDWARDS LIFE          -1.3     15    108.92    107.47     57.08
AKAM  AKAMAI TECHNOLO       -1.1     14     39.58     39.13     91.76
FAST  FASTENAL CO           -1.1      5     44.30     43.80     35.12
CCE   COCA-COLA ENTER       -1.1      9     32.13     31.79     34.30
VRSN  VERISIGN INC          -1.0      8     49.40     48.89     75.41

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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