S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Sept. 28.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        71.7      5     10.60     18.20    -20.37
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R       71.0     19      6.60     11.29    -68.25
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        63.5      8     31.73     51.88    -20.79
MU    MICRON TECH           52.7     22      6.11      9.33     -6.89
TER   TERADYNE INC          48.4     10     14.23     21.12     22.81
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       45.9     23      3.40      4.95    -47.15
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        44.1     19     22.17     31.95    -41.05
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       42.9     26     69.79     99.73     -1.03
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       41.8      8      5.17      7.33     -6.77
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       41.3     12     38.92     55.00     -1.18
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       40.2     18     16.30     22.85     29.52
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        39.1     13     39.02     54.27    -32.36
DELL  DELL INC              38.6     24      9.94     13.77    -33.29
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       38.4     19     31.43     43.50    -27.28
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          35.8     11     31.89     43.31    -18.70
UNM   UNUM GROUP            35.5     11     19.34     26.21     -8.29
MNST  MONSTER BEVERAG       35.5      5     53.89     73.00     18.24
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       34.7     21     17.14     23.09    -25.28
LSI   LSI CORP              34.4     15      6.93      9.32     23.61
F     FORD MOTOR CO         34.4     13      9.92     13.33      0.41
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         33.9      8     18.97     25.40     10.35
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       32.6     21     12.65     16.77    -41.70
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        32.5      8     29.22     38.71    -30.94
APA   APACHE CORP           32.4     23     86.25    114.22      1.85
NE    NOBLE CORP            32.3     16     35.84     47.41     13.28
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         32.1     22     30.06     39.70    -19.33
MET   METLIFE INC           31.9     15     34.52     45.53     20.58
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        31.8      8     18.71     24.67     10.57
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       31.5     17     14.17     18.63     -0.42
AES   AES CORP              31.2      5     10.92     14.32      6.87
RHI   ROBERT HALF INT       30.5      8     26.75     34.90     27.21
NFLX  NETFLIX INC           30.4     22     54.61     71.23    -56.43
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         29.9     12      8.86     11.50      4.45
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        29.2     21     33.72     43.58      0.38
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       27.8     22     60.52     77.32      4.67
CHK   CHESAPEAKE ENER       27.2     22     18.97     24.14    -29.88
FLR   FLUOR CORP            27.0     18     56.27     71.47     10.60
HOG   HARLEY-DAVIDSON       26.9     11     42.48     53.92     19.45
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        26.7     17     56.09     71.06    -16.73
TSO   TESORO CORP           26.2     10     41.63     52.55    104.52
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       26.2     17     20.85     26.30     -9.93
NVDA  NVIDIA CORP           26.2     25     13.51     17.05     -4.08
IGT   INTL GAME TECH        26.2     16     13.02     16.43     -9.99
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       25.6     15     86.52    108.67     12.50
AET   AETNA INC             25.1     12     39.62     49.55      3.18
JEC   JACOBS ENGIN GR       24.9     14     40.25     50.27     17.28
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       24.4     10     19.87     24.73     19.12
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       24.4     18     38.82     48.31     41.82
BA    BOEING CO/THE         24.1     21     69.90     86.76     14.37
NSC   NORFOLK SOUTHER       23.9     21     63.78     79.04      3.69
SLM   SLM CORP              23.8      8     15.76     19.50     27.36

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
PCS   METROPCS COMMUN      -24.2     17     11.86      8.99     26.86
LXK   LEXMARK INTL-A       -13.9      6     22.45     19.33    -17.70
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C      -11.2     22      5.61      4.98     78.91
AN    AUTONATION INC       -10.3      5     43.47     39.00     27.40
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC       -9.2     11      7.91      7.19     43.29
DISCA DISCOVERY COMM-       -7.9     19     59.54     54.86     42.39
HAS   HASBRO INC            -7.0      6     38.10     35.43     11.48
WHR   WHIRLPOOL CORP        -6.7      4     83.28     94.00     61.73
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -5.9      6     79.70     75.00     28.15
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -5.5      8     31.22     29.50     22.44
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       -5.4     22     22.50     21.30    -68.02
T     AT&T INC              -5.3     23     37.84     35.83     40.18
CBE   COOPER INDS           -4.9      5     74.86     71.17     54.87
HRS   HARRIS CORP           -4.9      5     51.00     48.50     43.98
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -3.9      8     26.60     25.56     66.34
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -3.8     16     58.10     55.88    116.23
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -3.6     12    148.79    143.39     98.01
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC       -3.5      9     32.32     31.19     18.94
PCL   PLUM CREEK TIMB       -3.4      4     44.11     42.60     30.20
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -3.3     11     47.33     45.77     34.54
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -3.2     16    100.22     97.00     20.35
LOW   LOWE’S COS INC        -2.9     18     30.36     29.47     52.93
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -2.9     10     66.36     64.45     28.73
HD    HOME DEPOT INC        -2.7     23     59.96     58.34     81.14
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -2.7     10     93.00     90.50     30.50
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -2.6     10     41.77     40.70     40.28
DGX   QUEST DIAGNOSTI       -2.4     10     63.27     61.78     27.81
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -2.3     24     45.63     44.60     30.56
RTN   RAYTHEON CO           -2.3     11     57.12     55.83     47.32
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -1.7      6     37.46     36.83      5.47
TWX   TIME WARNER INC       -1.5     19     45.44     44.78     47.05
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -1.3     16     15.52     15.32    275.96
SCG   SCANA CORP            -1.2      8     47.87     47.31     23.86
SNI   SCRIPPS NET-CL        -1.2     15     61.06     60.35     53.16
THC   TENET HEALTHCAR       -1.1      9      6.31      6.24     47.79
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -1.1      6     37.73     37.33     49.73
PAYX  PAYCHEX INC           -1.0     15     33.14     32.81     29.63

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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