S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Sept. 14.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        52.6      5     11.93     18.20    -11.03
MU    MICRON TECH           46.4     23      6.72      9.84     -3.79
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        41.0      8     36.80     51.88    -21.60
MNST  MONSTER BEVERAG       39.9      5     53.72     75.17     20.82
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       34.4     23      3.92      5.26    -43.68
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        32.8      9     29.29     38.89    -36.03
TER   TERADYNE INC          32.1     10     16.39     21.65     33.11
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       31.9     16     17.71     23.36     22.49
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       31.7     26     75.65     99.65      4.36
DELL  DELL INC              29.6     24     10.84     14.05    -26.08
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         29.5     12      9.09     11.77      9.99
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R       28.5     19      8.82     11.34    -72.21
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       28.1     12     42.92     55.00      0.30
AET   AETNA INC             27.7     12     38.80     49.55     -4.27
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       27.5     21     18.48     23.56    -17.77
UNH   UNITEDHEALTH GR       27.1     14     53.96     68.57     13.87
F     FORD MOTOR CO         26.6     13     10.54     13.33      3.11
IGT   INTL GAME TECH        26.5     16     13.12     16.59    -10.39
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          26.2     11     34.63     43.69    -11.44
TSO   TESORO CORP           26.0     10     40.76     51.36     72.70
UNM   UNUM GROUP            26.0     11     20.80     26.21     -7.58
RHI   ROBERT HALF INT       25.9      8     27.57     34.70     28.61
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        25.8     20     25.71     32.33    -45.51
MET   METLIFE INC           25.7     15     36.24     45.56     18.61
AES   AES CORP              24.6      5     11.56     14.39     10.79
CAH   CARDINAL HEALTH       24.2     10     38.21     47.46     -5.32
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         23.6      5     16.91     20.90     33.54
NVDA  NVIDIA CORP           23.5     24     13.90     17.17     -5.88
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        23.1     14     45.88     56.47    -42.50
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        22.7      8     20.10     24.67     11.46
IRM   IRON MOUNTAIN         22.3      5     33.03     40.40      5.10
APA   APACHE CORP           22.1     23     93.29    113.91     -0.39
BA    BOEING CO/THE         22.1     21     71.45     87.24     16.66
ORLY  O’REILLY AUTOMO       22.0     14     81.18     99.06     19.70
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       21.7     19     35.00     42.58    -26.55
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       21.6     10     20.33     24.73     17.36
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       21.5     21     63.43     77.10     -1.83
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       21.4      7      6.08      7.38      0.51
NE    NOBLE CORP            20.7      9     38.96     47.04     15.11
NFLX  NETFLIX INC           20.2     20     60.19     72.35    -72.22
MCK   MCKESSON CORP         20.1      9     86.85    104.35     19.54
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         19.8     21     32.75     39.23    -22.44
FIS   FIDELITY NATION       19.7     13     31.81     38.09     27.78
LO    LORILLARD INC         19.7      5    116.16    139.00     11.54
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       18.9     14     32.84     39.04     -0.40
ABC   AMERISOURCEBERG       18.6     10     37.57     44.54      0.20
NBL   NOBLE ENERGY IN       18.5     22     96.70    114.62     19.96
WLP   WELLPOINT INC         18.4     12     58.14     68.83    -10.15
FLR   FLUOR CORP            18.3     18     60.14     71.15      1.14
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           18.0     32    103.10    121.65     25.02
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         17.8      9     22.71     26.76     34.11

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC       -20.0     15     16.52     13.22    272.56
LXK   LEXMARK INTL-A       -19.0      6     23.86     19.33    -23.72
PCS   METROPCS COMMUN      -15.4     17     10.62      8.99      0.29
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC      -12.7     22     24.18     21.11    -75.13
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC      -12.6      9     34.55     30.19     22.49
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE      -10.7      6     83.95     75.00     36.81
AN    AUTONATION INC       -10.3      5     42.06     37.71      7.31
JCP   J.C. PENNEY CO       -10.3     13     29.05     26.06     11.32
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A        -10.0     15     36.45     32.80    165.42
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC       -9.3     11      7.93      7.19     40.70
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -8.8     12     22.24     20.29    128.28
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -8.7     19    102.78     93.86     28.82
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -8.6     22      5.28      4.82     45.66
MAS   MASCO CORP            -8.5      4     15.80     14.45    104.91
HAS   HASBRO INC            -8.5      8     39.72     36.33     12.43
ETFC  E*TRADE FINANCI       -7.9     12      9.82      9.04    -12.69
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -7.6     11    146.13    135.08     99.71
DISCA DISCOVERY COMM-       -7.5     20     58.77     54.39     51.39
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -6.9      6     39.94     37.17     54.31
PAYX  PAYCHEX INC           -6.9     12     34.41     32.03     35.43
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -6.7      8     27.40     25.56     64.39
HRS   HARRIS CORP           -6.6      4     50.05     46.75     28.91
CVC   CABLEVISION SY-       -6.3     17     16.95     15.88      3.98
FHN   FIRST HORIZON N       -6.0     21     10.21      9.60     61.41
HCP   HCP INC               -5.9      7     47.01     44.22     38.85
WM    WASTE MANAGEMEN       -5.7      5     33.95     32.00     14.14
CBE   COOPER INDS           -5.7      5     75.47     71.17     63.43
JNPR  JUNIPER NETWORK       -5.3     26     19.59     18.55     -9.64
CME   CME GROUP INC         -4.6     16     59.62     56.86     16.87
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -4.5     10     66.41     63.41     32.50
MOLX  MOLEX INC             -4.5      9     28.05     26.79     39.84
SNI   SCRIPPS NET-CL        -4.3     15     62.19     59.50     54.28
FII   FEDERATED INV-B       -4.2      8     21.77     20.85     35.28
PLL   PALL CORP             -4.2      8     64.34     61.63     48.35
T     AT&T INC              -4.2     23     37.26     35.71     43.52
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -4.1     11     46.58     44.69     34.90
RTN   RAYTHEON CO           -3.6     11     57.77     55.69     47.63
URBN  URBAN OUTFITTER       -3.5     23     39.77     38.37     60.18
CA    CA INC                -3.5      8     27.47     26.50     38.47
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -3.4     10     92.57     89.39     34.27
PLD   PROLOGIS INC          -3.4      6     37.20     35.94     49.10
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -3.2      6     38.05     36.83     12.27
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -3.2      8     30.46     29.50     18.04
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -3.0     15     56.00     54.31    100.37
BAC   BANK OF AMERICA       -2.9     24      9.55      9.27     35.06
HD    HOME DEPOT INC        -2.6     22     59.67     58.09     82.95
MCO   MOODY’S CORP          -2.6      5     43.65     42.50     46.04
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -2.5     12    149.18    145.39     26.87
SCHW  SCHWAB (CHARLES       -2.3     14     14.38     14.05     25.46
PCL   PLUM CREEK TIMB       -2.2      4     43.57     42.60     25.18
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -2.1     10     41.59     40.70     27.21

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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