While September will have drier-than-normal weather, rains are likely to be about average in October, according to Drew Lerner, an agriculture meteorologist and president of the Overland Park, Kansas-based company. Precipitation in Brazil’s cane areas will increase to 1.5 times to 2.5 times more than the normal in November and December, he said.
“As you get into the second half of October rains will certainly be increasing. The rainy season should kick in completely by the end of that month,” Lerner said by phone today. “From the very first day in November through the entire summer season there will be an abundance of rain.”
Sugar climbed 8.2 percent in June and 7.8 percent in July after wet weather delayed the crop and shipments from Brazil. Harvesting accelerated last month because of dry weather, with sugar-cane processing climbing 14 percent to a record 46.5 million metric tons in the second half of August, data from industry group Unica showed.
“For the next 10 days there will be very little meaningful precipitation, so mostly dry conditions,” Lerner said. “In the last week of September and the first week in October there will be isolated, scattered showers periodically, but these will not be the kind of rains that will counter evaporation very well but it will be symptomatic of the changing season.”
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