Expected Earnings Growth for Industries in S&P 500
The following table details the expected quarterly and annual year-over-year share-weighted earnings growth for industry groups in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index.
Percentages are calculated using Bloomberg earnings estimates for the current period compared with actual figures from a year ago. Companies are then grouped together by industry and summed for each period to calculate the percentage growth.
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Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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S&P 500 Index Growth -0.5% -1.5% 10.5% 4.5% 5.7% 11.4% 11.7%
S&P 500 Ex-Financials -1.3% -4.9% 7.3% 6.1% 3.9% 11.2% 11.7%
-------------------------------Consumer Discretionary---------------------------
Total Sector -0.9% 4.3% 16.9% 12.8% 6.8% 14.5% 16.7%
Automobiles & Components -23.0% -25.7% 33.0% 18.2% -8.9% 18.1% 19.9%
Consumer Durables & Apparel 3.1% -6.8% -0.6% 7.9% -0.5% 9.0% 12.7%
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Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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-------------------------------Consumer Discretionary---------------------------
Consumer Services 16.6% 9.6% 14.7% 18.7% 35.9% 6.2% 16.6%
Media 4.0% 15.5% 11.0% 16.3% 8.7% 16.9% 16.8%
Retailing 0.4% 9.9% 26.8% 6.1% 7.8% 13.4% 16.5%
---------------------------------Consumer Staples------------------------------
Total Sector 1.2% 1.5% 6.2% 5.8% 1.6% 8.1% 9.3%
Food & Staples Retailing 5.8% 8.1% 11.5% 9.9% 5.2% 9.9% 9.7%
Food Beverage & Tobacco 0.0% -0.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.5% 8.4% 9.6%
Household & Personal Products -2.1% -0.4% -0.6% 4.7% -2.9% 4.3% 7.9%
--------------------------------------Energy-----------------------------------
Total Sector -16.8% -27.0% -3.7% -3.7%-12.5% 8.4% 10.9%
Energy Equipment & Services 20.6% 2.0% 6.4% 15.3% 13.7% 19.3% 23.5%
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels -21.2% -30.9% -5.6% -6.8%-16.0% 6.5% 8.3%
-------------------------------------Financials---------------------------------
Total Sector 4.0% 20.3% 30.8% -2.4% 15.9% 12.5% 11.7%
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Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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-------------------------------------Financials---------------------------------
Banks 13.1% 17.2% 24.9% 10.3% 20.5% 10.3% 10.2%
Diversified Financials -14.9% -4.6% 69.8% -1.4% 5.2% 17.6% 13.6%
Insurance 48.7% 197.6% -2.3% -15.9% 33.1% 5.6% 10.2%
Real Estate 15.0% 18.0% 9.1% 9.1% 25.8% 10.6% 8.5%
-------------------------------------Health Care--------------------------------
Total Sector 1.3% -4.7% 1.5% 1.7% 0.7% 6.9% 8.7%
Health Care Equipment & Srvs. 7.9% 7.9% 15.5% 13.5% 3.6% 10.1% 9.9%
Pharma., Biotech. & Life Sci. -1.7% -10.2% -4.6% -3.9% -0.7% 5.4% 8.1%
-------------------------------------Industrials--------------------------------
Total Sector 8.6% 1.2% 3.9% 5.7% 8.7% 11.7% 11.9%
Capital Goods 7.8% 0.3% 2.9% 3.9% 8.4% 11.4% 11.6%
Commercial Services & Supplies 3.1% -6.8% -0.6% 7.9% -0.5% 9.0% 12.7%
Transportation 14.2% 7.8% 10.1% 14.9% 13.1% 14.0% 13.3%
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Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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----------------------------------Information Technology------------------------
Total Sector 5.1% 3.8% 12.1% 10.0% 19.0% 13.6% 12.4%
Semiconductors -17.2% -12.8% 23.0% 23.4%-14.5% 15.5% 10.8%
Software & Services 8.9% 2.3% 12.1% 14.4% 18.7% 13.0% 12.4%
Technology Hardware & Equip. 8.2% 11.3% 9.8% 3.3% 32.3% 13.8% 12.9%
---------------------------------------Materials--------------------------------
Total Sector -16.8% -19.3% 21.2% 17.9% -7.0% 22.2% 11.6%
--------------------------------Telecommunication Services----------------------
Total Sector 2.3% -1.8% 12.8% 3.1% 0.2% 20.6% 23.6%
--------------------------------------Utilities---------------------------------
Total Sector 0.3% -4.1% 8.0% 8.5% -1.6% 2.9% 4.0%
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* -- Fiscal year EPS from each company was used to calculate the growth, it might not add up from the quarterly EPS.
NM -- The calculations of percentage changes between profit and loss and vice versa are not meaningful, hence not calculated.
To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net
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