S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of July 13.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R      156.7     20      7.56     19.41    -82.87
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        85.7      8     31.36     58.25    -47.61
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        81.7     20     22.43     40.76    -61.15
LSI   LSI CORP              75.5     13      5.83     10.23    -14.49
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       75.1     13     13.75     24.08    -27.07
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       71.2     16     13.11     22.45    -45.05
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        70.9     14     45.81     78.29    -51.21
JDSU  JDS UNIPHASE          65.6      9      8.77     14.53    -39.92
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       65.2     11     34.22     56.55    -39.48
MU    MICRON TECH           64.9     23      6.07     10.01    -16.14
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        64.1     13     49.65     81.46    -47.35
HES   HESS CORP             62.5     10     42.96     69.82    -39.88
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       60.8     20     11.66     18.75    -52.05
TER   TERADYNE INC          60.1      7     13.22     21.17     -5.02
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       57.9      6      5.12      8.08    -47.68
FLR   FLUOR CORP            57.6     17     47.08     74.19    -27.34
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         57.5      4     10.16     16.00    -40.29
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       55.4     15     16.75     26.02    -30.08
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       55.1     24     13.94     21.63    -88.70
MET   METLIFE INC           53.9     13     30.37     46.73    -26.40
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       53.4      9     16.69     25.60    -34.57
FOSL  FOSSIL INC            53.3     10     68.19    104.55    -47.18
F     FORD MOTOR CO         53.2      9      9.25     14.17    -29.82
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       51.5     17     32.76     49.63    -37.98
C     CITIGROUP INC         51.0     20     26.02     39.30    -35.22
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       49.5     25     68.28    102.08    -10.55
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       49.1     23     55.16     82.26    -28.91
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       48.9     14     80.74    120.24    -24.14
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        47.9     21     28.61     42.32    -45.04
PXD   PIONEER NATURAL       47.6     24     84.59    124.86     -3.90
CAM   CAMERON INTERNA       47.1     17     43.19     63.55    -14.25
ETN   EATON CORP            46.4     15     37.92     55.53    -25.62
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       46.0     12     28.25     41.25    -29.58
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           45.6     34     91.83    133.72    -15.34
MRO   MARATHON OIL          45.1     12     24.50     35.54    -21.24
WYNN  WYNN RESORTS LT       44.5     19     95.59    138.09    -34.52
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       44.2     19     29.92     43.15    -57.04
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       44.1     20     18.89     27.22    -43.98
JCP   J.C. PENNEY CO        44.1     11     20.13     29.00    -36.38
ANF   ABERCROMBIE & F       43.8     21     34.74     49.96    -52.48
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          42.8     11     34.05     48.62    -20.79
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       42.6     21     27.27     38.88    -33.77
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        42.2     14     46.00     65.41    -15.90
APA   APACHE CORP           42.2     23     82.90    117.88    -31.17
COH   COACH INC             41.8     22     56.80     80.52    -14.87
MS    MORGAN STANLEY        41.4     22     13.92     19.68    -35.48
LNC   LINCOLN NATL CR       41.0     13     20.54     28.96    -24.45
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        40.7      6     18.79     26.43    -27.51
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        40.0      5     12.32     17.25    -33.16
SEE   SEALED AIR CORP       39.6      5     15.16     21.17    -34.71
UNM   UNUM GROUP            39.5     10     19.25     26.85    -24.60

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
SHLD  SEARS HOLDINGS       -46.1      4     52.87     28.50    -26.82
AN    AUTONATION INC       -13.3      5     39.88     34.57      1.08
HCP   HCP INC              -10.9      8     45.33     40.40     25.15
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO       -10.2     10     43.36     38.92     20.27
RAI   REYNOLDS AMERIC       -9.8      6     45.99     41.50     29.05
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -8.3      9     45.19     41.46        na
MO    ALTRIA GROUP IN       -7.5      8     35.59     32.91     37.94
WEC   WISCONSIN ENERG       -6.8      9     40.79     38.00     32.96
WMT   WAL-MART STORES       -6.4     18     72.70     68.05     37.73
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -6.2     23     45.15     42.36     26.77
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -5.9      6     37.90     35.67     39.54
KMB   KIMBERLY-CLARK        -5.4     10     85.22     80.58     31.51
VTR   VENTAS INC            -5.3      6     64.14     60.75     22.67
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -5.3      6     97.13     92.00     30.58
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -4.9     13    146.78    139.53     24.85
FII   FEDERATED INV-B       -4.9      7     22.09     21.00     -3.31
HCN   HEALTH CARE REI       -4.8      7     60.43     57.50     19.47
ED    CONS EDISON INC       -4.6      7     63.33     60.40     22.15
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -4.6     11    130.66    124.67     56.38
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -4.6     13     19.05     18.17     60.42
SCG   SCANA CORP            -4.3      6     48.73     46.63     28.72
CLX   CLOROX CO             -3.6      8     73.44     70.80      6.83
BCR   CR BARD INC           -3.6     11    108.03    104.17     -5.18
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -3.5     21     94.43     91.12     17.91
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -3.3     15     11.12     10.75     48.70
AMGN  AMGEN INC             -3.3     12     76.71     74.21     36.03
DTE   DTE ENERGY CO         -3.2      7     59.93     58.00     23.69
PNW   PINNACLE WEST         -3.2      7     52.99     51.30     22.55
CL    COLGATE-PALMOLI       -3.2     10    105.36    102.00     20.85
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -3.0      8     28.88     28.00     -4.43
T     AT&T INC              -2.9     25     35.23     34.21     19.88
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -2.8     15     31.47     30.60     73.54
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -2.7     11     32.60     31.71      4.90
NEE   NEXTERA ENERGY        -2.2     16     69.23     67.71     24.20
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -2.2     12     63.38     62.00     -3.49
HSY   HERSHEY CO/THE        -1.8      9     72.38     71.08     29.04
SO    SOUTHERN CO           -1.6     10     47.63     46.85     22.34
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -1.5     19      3.27      3.22    -41.07
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -1.4     15     44.74     44.12     54.77

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net