S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of July 6.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R      118.0     20      8.99     19.60    -79.88
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        84.4      8     32.00     59.00    -47.12
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        74.9     14     47.54     83.13    -46.54
LSI   LSI CORP              67.8     13      6.24     10.46     -9.03
HES   HESS CORP             65.4     10     43.43     71.82    -41.12
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       65.2     13     14.98     24.75    -25.46
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       63.8     11     34.52     56.55    -37.68
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        62.1     20     25.26     40.95    -56.56
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       59.6     20     12.00     19.16    -49.05
TER   TERADYNE INC          56.7      7     13.82     21.65     -4.39
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       56.4     25     65.97    103.16    -14.94
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       56.2     15     14.35     22.42    -40.72
MET   METLIFE INC           55.5     13     30.23     47.00    -28.32
FOSL  FOSSIL INC            52.5     10     68.57    104.55    -42.32
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       52.2      9     16.95     25.80    -33.45
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        51.6      7     19.21     29.13    -24.67
MU    MICRON TECH           51.4     23      6.61     10.01    -12.47
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       51.1      6      5.57      8.42    -45.43
FLR   FLUOR CORP            50.5     17     48.74     73.36    -21.90
ANF   ABERCROMBIE & F       50.3     21     33.52     50.36    -50.69
CAM   CAMERON INTERNA       50.0     17     42.67     64.00    -13.36
F     FORD MOTOR CO         49.6      9      9.47     14.17    -31.55
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       48.4     15     84.17    124.88    -18.47
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       47.7     19     29.63     43.75    -57.34
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       47.6     23      5.71      8.43    -17.65
C     CITIGROUP INC         47.5     20     26.71     39.40    -36.87
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        47.3     21     29.14     42.93    -42.74
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        46.8     14     55.43     81.36    -40.38
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       46.2     21     27.09     39.61    -32.85
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       45.9     22     57.42     83.78    -26.48
MRO   MARATHON OIL          45.8     12     25.17     36.69    -23.53
PXD   PIONEER NATURAL       45.4     24     86.82    126.27     -3.15
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       45.0     15     18.04     26.17    -32.36
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       44.1     17     34.95     50.37    -32.10
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       44.1     24     15.01     21.63    -88.32
ETN   EATON CORP            43.7     15     39.21     56.33    -20.61
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           43.5     33     95.00    136.37    -10.63
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        43.5      5     12.02     17.25    -35.68
WYNN  WYNN RESORTS LT       43.1     19    100.09    143.18    -28.49
UNM   UNUM GROUP            42.9     10     19.21     27.45    -23.36
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       42.9     12     29.18     41.69    -30.25
LNC   LINCOLN NATL CR       41.5     13     20.69     29.27    -24.90
NOV   NATL OILWELL VA       41.2     19     66.37     93.70    -15.86
PRU   PRUDENTL FINL         41.2     12     47.56     67.14    -22.67
APA   APACHE CORP           40.6     23     86.43    121.54    -28.96
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       39.2     20     19.66     27.36    -43.22
NBL   NOBLE ENERGY IN       39.0     19     85.37    118.65     -4.65
COH   COACH INC             38.6     22     58.30     80.78     -9.23
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        38.5     14     48.32     66.94     -7.69
NE    NOBLE CORP            38.5     26     33.02     45.73    -14.12
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       38.1     16     30.75     42.47    -16.59

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
SHLD  SEARS HOLDINGS       -53.9      4     61.85     28.50    -10.79
AN    AUTONATION INC       -10.9      5     38.80     34.57      5.04
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -9.5      9     45.82     41.46        na
HCP   HCP INC               -8.5      8     44.17     40.40     23.73
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -8.5     10     42.42     38.83     20.98
RAI   REYNOLDS AMERIC       -8.3      6     45.26     41.50     27.36
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -7.3     15     47.61     44.12     73.39
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -7.3      6     37.92     35.17     37.21
KMB   KIMBERLY-CLARK        -5.6      9     83.78     79.10     31.52
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -5.4     11    131.84    124.67     59.40
MO    ALTRIA GROUP IN       -5.2      8     34.72     32.91     38.58
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -5.0     23     44.24     42.05     25.15
VTR   VENTAS INC            -4.8      6     63.18     60.13     22.40
WEC   WISCONSIN ENERG       -4.6      9     39.82     38.00     30.48
WMT   WAL-MART STORES       -4.6     18     71.08     67.84     36.79
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -3.9      6     94.71     91.00     27.07
BCR   CR BARD INC           -3.8     11    106.57    102.50     -2.93
T     AT&T INC              -3.7     25     35.29     33.98     19.79
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -3.4     15     31.24     30.18     70.58
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -3.3     21     94.03     90.91     17.04
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -3.3      8     28.96     28.00     -2.77
ED    CONS EDISON INC       -3.2      7     62.01     60.00     20.57
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -3.2     13    144.16    139.53     26.69
AEE   AMEREN CORP           -3.1      4     33.23     32.20     20.08
PRGO  PERRIGO CO            -3.1     10    118.30    114.64     31.90
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -2.8     18      3.28      3.18    -38.59
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -2.8     15     10.96     10.65     44.36
ALXN  ALEXION PHARM         -2.8     11    100.91     98.08    115.58
FII   FEDERATED INV-B       -2.6      7     21.34     20.78     -5.59
SCG   SCANA CORP            -2.6      6     47.89     46.63     27.34
DLTR  DOLLAR TREE INC       -2.6     19     54.22     52.79     56.08
DTE   DTE ENERGY CO         -2.4      7     59.21     57.78     22.14
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -2.2     13     18.46     18.06     62.66
NEE   NEXTERA ENERGY        -2.1     16     68.34     66.88     23.32
HCN   HEALTH CARE REI       -2.1      7     58.74     57.50     16.92
CL    COLGATE-PALMOLI       -2.1     10    104.18    102.00     22.02
CLX   CLOROX CO             -1.9      8     71.87     70.50     10.47
PNW   PINNACLE WEST         -1.9      7     51.97     51.00     21.19
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -1.8     11     32.13     31.54      3.45
CERN  CERNER CORP           -1.6     11     81.59     80.25     31.70
HSY   HERSHEY CO/THE        -1.6      9     72.18     71.00     28.85
HRL   HORMEL FOODS CR       -1.5      7     30.03     29.57      2.78
EW    EDWARDS LIFE          -1.5     13    102.70    101.20     17.10
AMGN  AMGEN INC             -1.3     12     73.86     72.93     31.02
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -1.1     13     63.21     62.54     -5.24

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

Bloomberg reserves the right to remove comments but is under no obligation to do so, or to explain individual moderation decisions.

Please enable JavaScript to view the comments powered by Disqus.