Expected Earnings Growth for Industries in S&P 500
The following table details the expected quarterly and annual year-over-year share-weighted earnings growth for industry groups in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index.
Percentages are calculated using Bloomberg earnings estimates for the current period compared with actual figures from a year ago. Companies are then grouped together by industry and summed for each period to calculate the percentage growth.
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Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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S&P 500 Index Growth 5.3% 1.6% 6.5% 17.5% 9.2% 12.3% 10.6%
S&P 500 Ex-Financials 4.2% 0.2% 4.0% 14.5% 7.6% 12.1% 10.4%
-------------------------------Consumer Discretionary---------------------------
Total Sector 4.0% 1.6% 10.3% 19.5% 7.6% 16.4% 15.3%
Automobiles & Components -14.6% -21.3% -8.2% 51.6% 1.7% 20.5% 10.9%
Consumer Durables & Apparel 0.8% -1.9% 0.0% 5.3% 1.4% 10.9% 16.3%
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Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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-------------------------------Consumer Discretionary---------------------------
Consumer Services 13.2% 8.7% 19.4% 16.5% 19.7% 19.4% 17.7%
Media 10.7% 7.8% 17.5% 11.6% 9.7% 17.1% 15.8%
Retailing 5.5% 5.5% 14.3% 28.7% 8.2% 13.5% 16.3%
---------------------------------Consumer Staples------------------------------
Total Sector 1.5% 4.0% 6.3% 9.7% 3.0% 9.5% 9.5%
Food & Staples Retailing 1.7% 4.7% 8.8% 12.0% 5.0% 8.9% 10.2%
Food Beverage & Tobacco 1.7% 2.0% 5.1% 9.7% 2.7% 9.9% 9.3%
Household & Personal Products 0.9% 9.4% 6.7% 6.2% 1.2% 9.2% 9.3%
--------------------------------------Energy-----------------------------------
Total Sector -2.7% -9.0% -7.9% 19.8% 0.8% 11.2% 5.1%
Energy Equipment & Services 31.1% 12.0% 5.1% 9.6% 13.3% 21.8% 19.6%
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels -6.4% -11.4% -9.6% 21.6% -0.9% 9.6% 2.6%
-------------------------------------Financials---------------------------------
Total Sector 10.5% 9.6% 22.3% 36.1% 18.3% 13.4% 11.6%
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Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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-------------------------------------Financials---------------------------------
Banks 21.5% 7.7% 12.9% 23.1% 18.0% 12.1% 11.8%
Diversified Financials 6.3% -2.2% -0.2% 84.5% 11.8% 17.4% 12.1%
Insurance 8.9% 44.4% 207.8% 0.4% 32.9% 7.3% 11.3%
Real Estate 20.6% 17.8% 16.9% 9.0% 21.4% 10.3% 8.7%
-------------------------------------Health Care--------------------------------
Total Sector 0.3% -0.8% -0.9% 5.1% 1.6% 6.9% 8.5%
Health Care Equipment & Srvs. 1.9% 4.1% 7.5% 12.1% 5.6% 10.7% 9.4%
Pharma., Biotech. & Life Sci. -0.4% -3.0% -4.7% 2.1% -0.3% 5.1% 8.0%
-------------------------------------Industrials--------------------------------
Total Sector 13.8% 7.7% 9.3% 10.4% 10.0% 13.7% 12.5%
Capital Goods 13.3% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.7% 13.6% 12.0%
Commercial Services & Supplies 0.8% -1.9% 0.0% 5.3% 1.4% 10.9% 16.3%
Transportation 21.3% 11.2% 12.7% 12.8% 14.3% 14.8% 14.0%
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Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 FY12* FY13* FY14*
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----------------------------------Information Technology------------------------
Total Sector 14.1% 5.0% 13.3% 15.4% 21.6% 13.5% 11.4%
Semiconductors -22.7% -18.4% 4.0% 38.3% -8.2% 17.6% 10.0%
Software & Services 11.7% 4.0% 9.2% 13.7% 20.8% 12.9% 11.6%
Technology Hardware & Equip. 29.8% 14.5% 21.5% 12.1% 34.0% 13.0% 11.5%
---------------------------------------Materials--------------------------------
Total Sector -9.6% -11.2% 1.6% 38.1% 1.6% 19.9% 10.0%
--------------------------------Telecommunication Services----------------------
Total Sector 1.4% 0.4% -5.2% 33.6% 1.0% 18.3% 22.4%
--------------------------------------Utilities---------------------------------
Total Sector -8.8% -6.5% -5.2% 7.2% -4.1% 2.8% 4.7%
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* -- Fiscal year EPS from each company was used to calculate the growth, it might not add up from the quarterly EPS.
NM -- The calculations of percentage changes between profit and loss and vice versa are not meaningful, hence not calculated.
To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net
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