Stocks in U.S. Fall Amid Concern Greece May Be Closer to Default on Debt
U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for a second day, as concern grew that Greece was moving closer to default and the Federal Reserve said policy makers were divided on buying more assets.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) decreased 2.3 percent, reversing a 3.3 percent rally and snapping an eight-day advance. Industrial shares had the biggest decline in the S&P 500 among 10 groups as Deere & Co. tumbled 5.4 percent after lowering its 2012 U.S. farmer revenue forecast. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the economy, slumped 2 percent as CSX Corp. (CSX) and Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) retreated more than 2.8 percent.
The S&P 500 declined 0.5 percent to 1,343.23 at 4 p.m. New York time, reversing an earlier increase of as much as 0.4 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 97.33 points, or 0.8 percent, to 12,780.95 today.
“People just keep trying to delay the Greece situation,” Peter Sorrentino, a fund manager who helps oversee $14.5 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati, said in a telephone interview. “What’s haunting everyone is that if this thing is delayed too much longer, you’ve another series of hurdles. We’re a prisoner of that.”
Stocks fell as concern that Greece will miss a debt payment next month grew. A decision slated for tonight on 130 billion euros ($171 billion) of aid was postponed until at least Feb. 20 and possibly until after a full-time Greek government emerges from elections later in the year. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting showed a few policy makers said the central bank may have to consider purchasing more securities soon, while others said the economic outlook would have to worsen.
“It’s very clear that China realized the costs of a possible European recession that spreads to the rest of the world,” James Swanson, who oversees about $200 billion as chief investment strategist at Boston-based MFS Investment Management, said in a telephone interview. “Yet they haven’t fixed their problems and China can’t fix their problems.”
The S&P 500 has rallied 6.8 percent this year as the U.S. economy showed signs of accelerating and European leaders moved closer to a solution on the region’s debt crisis. The U.S economy is forecast to grow 2.2 percent in 2012, according to the median projection in a survey of economists, up from the estimate of 2.1 percent in December.
Nine out of 10 groups in the S&P 500 fell today. The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index dropped 0.8 percent amid concern about economic growth.
Apple retreated 2.3 percent to $497.67, two days after closing above $500 for the first time. The shares rose earlier today as CEO Tim Cook yesterday asked for forbearance from investors while the company discusses how to best use its growing cash pile.
“Apple’s CEO Tim Cook indicated that the board of directors continues to focus more time on the use of cash, which seems to increase the likelihood of a dividend and/or stock buyback,” William Power, a Robert W Baird & Co. analyst, wrote in a note to clients today. “We continue to believe that even a conservative 2 percent dividend yield could help attract an additional wave of investors.”
Deere (DE) lost 5.4 percent to $84.28. Total U.S. farm receipts will be $371.9 billion in 2012, down from a November forecast for $374.2 billion and lower than the record $381.4 billion in 2011, as corn, wheat and soybean prices decline, the Moline, Illinois-based company said today in a presentation accompanying its fiscal first-quarter results.
A measure of transportation shares had the biggest decline in the S&P 500 among 24 industries, slumping 2 percent as a group. CSX decreased 2.9 percent to $21.19. Union Pacific retreated 3.3 percent to $109.41.
The biggest component of Warren Buffett’s most-watched index is falling, and the decline may depress first-half earnings at U.S. railroads. Buffett follows a gauge of freight- train traffic that’s compiled by the Association of American Railroads, as he told ABC News in a 2009 interview. This indicator tracks the number of carloads, and coal accounts for a bigger percentage of the shipments than any other category.
“Coal results have been significantly below our prior expectations for the first quarter,” Gary Chase, a Barclays Capital analyst, wrote yesterday in a report. Shipments in the first five weeks of this year dropped 2.9 percent from the same period of last year. The total of 120,052 carloads for the week ended Feb. 4 was the lowest for that time of year since 2004.
Earnings per share swing by 0.5 percent at CSX and Norfolk Southern Corp. and by 0.2 percent at Union Pacific for every 1 percent change in the amount of coal they ship, Chase wrote. The New York-based analyst cut first- and second-quarter profit estimates on the railroads because of the current slump. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) owns a competitor, Burlington Northern Santa Fe.
Zynga Inc. retreated 18 percent to $11.80. The biggest developer of games for Facebook Inc.’s site fell the most since it first started trading after product-development costs weighed on profit in the fourth quarter.
Dean Foods Co. (DF) rallied 10 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $11.99. The biggest U.S. milk processor reported lower raw- milk costs at its fresh dairy business.
Kellogg Co. (K) jumped 5.1 percent to $52.87 after agreeing to acquire Procter & Gamble Co. (PG)’s Pringles potato chip business for about $2.7 billion in cash to triple its global snacks sales after a deal with Diamond Foods Inc. fell through.
Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) added 4.7 percent to $28.52. The largest U.S. cable company climbed after fourth-quarter profit rose more than analysts estimated and video-customer losses narrowed for the fifth straight period.
Blackstone Group LP’s Byron Wien, whose prediction for the U.S. economy and stock market in 2011 proved too optimistic, said he may need to lift his estimate for the S&P 500 for this year. Wien, chairman of Blackstone’s advisory services unit, said in January in his annual “10 Surprises” list the benchmark gauge for U.S. stocks may exceed 1,400. He said today in a Bloomberg Radio interview he may have to raise the projection.
“1,400 when the market was 1,250 at the beginning of the year was a reasonable target, a conservative target,” Wien said in an interview today on Bloomberg Radio’s “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene. “But I think we could well exceed it. Look, S&P 500 operating earnings are going to be in excess of $100. Very often, almost always, the S&P 500 sells at 15 times, that would take you over 1,500.”
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