Cocoa rose for a second day in New York, following the longest slump in at least 50 years, after Olam International Ltd. said output will trail consumption in the season started Oct. 1. Sugar advanced.
Cocoa production will be 100,000 metric tons less than consumption in 2011-12, with the crop in top global producer Ivory Coast falling to 1.35 million tons, down from more than 1.75 million tons the previous season, Gerry Manley, managing director and global head for cocoa at the company, said by phone from London yesterday. Cocoa has fallen 9.2 percent in London and 13 percent in New York over the past month on speculation supplies would be better than initially estimated.
“Futures prices have been hit hard, with the sell-off over the last six weeks from European debt concerns rivaling the falls experienced immediately after the failure of Lehman in 2008,” Paul Deane, an economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. wrote in a report e-mailed today. “Even with last night’s bounce, prices are still hovering at levels more consistent with 2007 levels.”
Cocoa for March delivery advanced 0.4 percent to $2,190 a ton by 07:15 a.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. The price, which fell as much as 4.1 yesterday, later bounded to climb as much as 8.7 percent. Prior to yesterday, it had fallen for 12 consecutive sessions, the longest slump since at least 1961. Cocoa for March delivery climbed 0.8 percent to 1,430 pounds ($2,229) a ton on NYSE Liffe in London.
Money managers reduced their net-short position, or bets on lower prices, in London cocoa by 55 percent in the week ended Dec. 6, data from NYSE Liffe, the derivatives arm of NYSE Euronext, show. Net-short positions fell to 2,695 from 5,995 futures a week earlier, according to the weekly commitments of traders report published on the exchange’s website yesterday.
Raw sugar for March delivery rose 0.3 percent to 23.35 cents a pound on ICE. White, or refined, sugar for March delivery rose 0.3 percent to $608 a ton on NYSE Liffe.
Australia, set to be the world’s third-biggest sugar exporter, lowered its output forecast 7.1 percent amid a decline in plantings and lower yields.
Raw-sugar production may total 3.9 million tons in the year to June 30, 2012, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences said today in a report. That compares with 4.2 million tons forecast in September and output of 3.6 million tons in 2010-2011, it said.
Arabica coffee for March delivery was up 0.8 percent to $2.2275 a pound in New York. Robusta coffee for January delivery was little changed at $1,884 a ton in London.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Claudia Carpenter at Ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net.