U.S. September Philadelphia Fed Leading Economic Index

A gauge of future economic activity for the U.S. rose in Sept., according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The bank’s forecast of economic activity rose 1.4 percent percent in Sept. after rising 1.7 percent the previous month. The bank reports a leading index for all 50 states.

Following is a summary of Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s leading indexes.

=====================================================================
                Sept.   Aug.   July   June    May  April  March
                 2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011
=====================================================================
                -------------------Leading Index--------------------
USA              1.4%   1.7%   1.2%   0.9%   1.3%   1.8%   1.8%
------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama          1.4%   1.6%   0.0%  -0.7%  -0.6%   0.6%   1.7%
Alaska           0.1%  -0.6%  -1.2%  -0.8%  -1.2%  -0.6%   0.0%
Arizona          2.2%   1.7%   1.3%   0.9%   1.4%   1.4%   1.5%
=====================================================================
                Sept.   Aug.   July   June    May  April  March
                 2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011
=====================================================================
Arkansas         0.0%   0.1%   0.4%   0.0%  -0.3%  -0.7%   0.4%
California       2.3%   2.3%   0.8%   0.3%   0.9%   1.6%   2.0%
Colorado         1.4%   0.8%   1.0%   1.2%   1.0%   1.9%   0.6%
Connecticut      1.7%   1.6%   1.2%   1.1%   0.8%   1.2%   0.9%
Delaware         0.0%   0.1%  -0.7%  -1.1%  -0.4%  -0.3%   0.9%
Florida          1.5%   1.2%   1.1%   0.5%   1.0%   1.2%   1.6%
Georgia         -0.2%  -0.2%  -0.6%  -0.6%  -0.8%  -0.1%   0.7%
Hawaii          -0.1%   0.1%   0.2%   0.2%   0.6%   0.5%   0.0%
Idaho            3.3%   3.9%   2.9%   0.8%   0.8%   1.5%   1.2%
Illinois         0.3%  -1.2%  -0.6%  -0.7%   0.1%   1.6%   1.9%
Indiana          0.3%   0.1%  -0.1%  -0.3%  -0.9%  -0.7%   0.9%
Iowa             0.6%   0.8%   0.6%   0.5%   0.6%   0.7%   1.3%
Kansas           0.1%  -0.2%   0.9%   0.8%   1.5%   1.5%   0.7%
Kentucky        -0.8%  -0.8%  -0.5%   0.0%   0.4%   0.4%   1.5%
Louisiana        0.4%  -0.2%   0.6%   1.0%   1.0%   1.7%   0.7%
Maine            2.5%   2.5%   1.2%   0.2%   0.7%   0.7%   0.4%
Maryland         0.2%   0.2%  -0.2%   0.1%  -0.1%   0.3%   1.0%
=====================================================================
                Sept.   Aug.   July   June    May  April  March
                 2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011
=====================================================================
Massachusetts    2.2%   2.4%   2.8%   1.5%   2.0%   3.2%   3.5%
Michigan         3.3%  -0.5%  -2.1%  -1.0%   0.1%   0.5%   1.2%
Minnesota        2.5%   2.5%   1.5%   1.4%   0.6%   0.6%   1.2%
Mississippi      0.2%   0.0%   0.2%   0.7%   0.0%   0.1%   0.9%
Missouri         0.8%   0.5%   1.1%   0.3%   0.8%   2.2%   2.3%
Montana          1.6%   0.6%  -0.8%  -0.8%   0.4%   1.2%   0.8%
Nebraska         1.2%   0.4%   0.4%   0.7%   1.5%   1.7%   1.9%
Nevada           2.9%   1.9%  -0.8%  -3.5%  -2.0%   2.1%   1.8%
New Hampshire   -0.6%   0.1%  -0.5%  -1.0%  -0.8%   0.8%   1.8%
New Jersey       2.3%   2.3%   1.7%   1.3%   0.6%   1.1%   1.1%
New Mexico       0.5%   0.3%   0.0%   0.7%   3.1%   3.0%   3.0%
New York         0.9%   0.9%   1.6%   0.7%   0.8%   1.2%   1.9%
North Carolina  -0.2%  -0.7%  -0.8%  -0.8%  -1.0%  -0.2%   0.8%
North Dakota     1.4%   0.0%   0.6%   2.2%   4.0%   4.8%   3.4%
Ohio             1.0%   1.0%   0.1%   1.6%   1.2%   1.7%   1.9%
Oklahoma         0.4%   0.6%  -0.4%   0.9%   2.8%   4.0%   2.6%
Oregon           1.7%   2.1%   1.1%  -1.0%  -1.2%   2.2%   3.7%
=====================================================================
                Sept.   Aug.   July   June    May  April  March
                 2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011   2011
=====================================================================
Pennsylvania    -1.0%  -1.3%  -1.0%  -0.1%   1.1%   2.5%   2.3%
Rhode Island     2.0%   2.4%   1.4%   0.9%   0.8%   2.3%   2.6%
South Carolina   2.2%   0.2%  -1.4%  -2.4%  -0.4%   1.3%   2.9%
South Dakota     1.1%   1.2%   0.9%   1.4%   1.6%   1.1%   0.6%
Tennessee        0.8%   1.1%   1.5%   1.2%   0.8%   0.7%   0.9%
Texas            0.9%   0.7%   0.7%   0.6%   1.2%   1.9%   2.1%
Utah             2.6%   2.5%   2.2%   1.5%   1.3%   2.2%   3.0%
Vermont          2.3%   1.1%   1.1%   0.0%  -0.3%   1.0%   1.7%
Virginia        -0.4%  -0.7%  -0.6%  -0.5%  -0.1%   0.3%   1.1%
Washington       1.8%   1.9%   1.0%   0.5%   0.4%   1.7%   0.8%
Wisconsin       -0.1%  -0.3%  -0.6%   0.4%   0.4%   1.1%   1.5%
West Virginia   -0.5%   1.7%   2.8%   0.0%   0.9%   2.6%   3.3%
Wyoming          0.5%   0.7%   1.5%   2.7%   2.7%   2.6%   2.3%
=====================================================================

NOTE: The leading index is a forecast of the six-month change in the state’s coincident index. The index also uses state-level housing permits data, state initial unemployment insurance claims, ISM delivery times, and the interest rate spread between the 10 YR Treasury bond and the 3 MO T Bill.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kristy Scheuble in Washington at kmckeaney@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Marco Babic at mbabic@bloomberg.net

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