Canada’s New Democrats Surge to Second Place Ahead of Liberals, Polls Show

The New Democratic Party has become the second-most popular political party in Canada ahead of the May 2 federal election, three polls show.

The NDP has 30 percent support among decided voters, according to an Angus Reid Public Opinion poll, conducted for the Toronto Star and La Presse newspapers. The governing Conservative Party has 35 percent support, while the Liberals, who had the second-most seats in the House of Commons, have 22 percent. The online poll surveyed 2,040 Canadian adults on April 25 and 26. It carries a margin of error of 2.2 percent, 19 times out of 20.

The pro-labor NDP has surged in voter support, particularly in Quebec, since leader Jack Layton’s performance in two televised debates this month. The NDP is now the most popular party in the French-speaking province, the survey showed.

The Angus Reid poll was supported by two other polls that showed the NDP in second place nationally and leading in Quebec. The latest CTV/Globe/Nanos tracking poll gives the NDP 28 percent support, 10 percentage points behind the Conservatives and five percentage points ahead of the Liberals. The telephone survey of 1,200 adults was conducted by Nanos Research April 23 to April 26 and has a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

A poll by Ekos Research taken for iPolitics.ca shows the New Democrats with 28 percent support, compared with 34 percent for the Conservatives and 24 percent for the Liberals. The telephone survey of 2,532 adults was taken April 23 to April 25 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

In the 2008 election, the Conservatives won 143 seats with 38 percent of the vote, while the NDP won 37 seats with 18 percent. The Liberals took 77 seats with 26 percent of the vote.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sean B. Pasternak in Toronto at spasternak@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: David Scanlan at dscanlan@bloomberg.net

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