Outcome Probabilities: BSports Match Analysis Tool to Provide Outcome Probabilities for Every Game This Season
LONDON — Bloomberg Sports (BSports), the world leaders in sports analytic technology, today unveiled its first ever end-of-season projections for the Primera División (La Liga). Forecasting the final position of every team in the league, the projections are uniquely data-driven and take into account previous years of performance for each club, supplemented by the additional value that each club gained from the transfer window. The full BSports 2013/2014 La Liga table and methodology can be found at http://www.bsports.com/ProjectedTables
The table indicates that Barcelona will again win the La Liga title, its second successive and fifth championship in the last six seasons, with Real Madrid, under new manager Carlo Ancelotti, closing the gap to Barcelona to just two points. Valencia, despite the high profile departure of Roberto Soldado, will push Atletico Madrid to third spot – who themselves lost Radamel Falcao to AS Monaco over the summer.
The BSports forecast expects Villarreal’s Primera División experience will keep them up by just one point, having recently been promoted from the Segunda División. Despite finishing six points off the relegation zone last year Granada are predicted to join newly promoted Elche and Almeria in the relegation zone. “As fans around the world debate the 2013-2014 Primera División (La Liga) season from a purely subjective standpoint, we are adding our mathematically-derived predictions to the debate” said Bill Squadron, President of Bloomberg Sports. “Using the same objective data analytics that drives our Match Analysis tool, we are pleased to unveil a purely data-driven projection for each team. Not only does this make for great content for fans, but it also provides data that helps them beat the bookie”.
Odds to beat the Bookie
The BSports Table Projection 2013/14 also includes odds for each team winning the league, finishing in the top four, finishing in the top half or finishing in the relegation zone. This is achieved by simulating each match of the season 10,000 times in order to provide an accurate projection for how each team will perform.
Key Statistics: -2.8% chance that all three promoted teams face relegation (bottom three) -84.7% chance that at least one does -89.7% chance both Barcelona and Real Madrid finish in the Top 2 -93.5: average number of points needed to win the league -65.5: Points required for Top 4 finish -38.0: Minimum number of points required to stay up
BSports will continue to update these projections throughout the season, taking into account last minute transfer window signings as well as most recent league performances and results.
Alongside these table projections, BSports’ new Match Analysis application presents the probable outcomes of every Primera División match. Match Analysis even updates the odds of each result every minute throughout the game, providing fans with unique insights and bettors with pure, math-driven odds that they can then compare to what the bookmakers are offering. Last season, the extremely accurate Match Analysis odds would have provided excellent returns on investment to consumers using the tool.
Match Analysis will be free to use for football fans and bettors at www.bsports.com/ma.
About Bloomberg Sports
Launched in 2010, Bloomberg Sports takes the technology developed by Bloomberg, the leading global provider in data and analytics, and applies it to the vast data analysis opportunities in sports. Bloomberg Sports’ professional products for teams, broadcasters and athletes include a comprehensive baseball scouting, data and video system now used by almost all Major League Baseball clubs.
The company also has introduced a consumer soccer product for European football, “Match Analysis,” a powerful predictive and analytic tool forecasting game results, and recently launched “Stats Insights,” a comprehensive blog that contains original content and analysis for the five major European football leagues as well as the NFL, NHL, MLB, and NBA.
Bloomberg Sports has been named by Mashable as one of its “Five Most Innovative Sports Brands for 2012,” by The Sports Business Journal as a Finalist for “Best In Sports Technology” in 2012 and by Fast Company Magazine as one of the “Most Innovative Companies in Sports” in 2011. For more information go to bsports.com
Contact for Bloomberg:
Joe Favorito, +917-566-8345, Fatherknickerbocker1@yahoo.com