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Table: What's Been Accomplished, What's Next...


PHASE ONE OBJECTIVES

-- Knock out the Taliban's air defenses, tanks, weapons caches, and fuel depots so that its ability to fight a long war is degraded. Done.

-- Bomb dug-in Taliban positions on the northern lines to keep fighters pinned down and weaken morale. Done.

-- Disrupt Al Qaeda's command-and-control system. Unfinished.

PHASE TWO OBJECTIVES

-- Begin the ground war. The catch: The Alliance incurs the first significant casualties of the war.

-- Go after bin Laden. The catch: Winter vastly complicates the cave-by-cave search by U.S. and British Special Forces. And commandos are likely to face heavy losses.

PHASE THREE OBJECTIVES

-- Replace the Taliban. The catch: Any new government's reign could prove short-lived, as tribal and regional rivalries flare up.

-- Shut down Al Qaeda. The catch: A neutralized bin Laden is elevated to hero status throughout the radical Islamic world; and the U.S. faces pressure to go after other terrorist-friendly regimes, from Iraq to Sudan.

Data: BusinessWeek


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