Toronto's strong economy to score big from 2015 Pan Am/Parapan Am Games: CIBC

Toronto's strong economy to score big from 2015 Pan Am/Parapan Am Games: CIBC 
Affordable housing and tourism growth seen as an important economic legacies 
from the Games 
TORONTO, Sept. 11, 2013 /CNW/ - Toronto's economy, already the strongest among 
Canada's major cities, is likely to get a significant boost from the 2015 Pan 
Am/Parapan Am Games both from increased tourism and capital spending on sports 
venues and infrastructure projects, finds a new report from CIBC World Markets. 
"The combination of the scale and brief duration of the Games suggests that 
the economic benefits to the city of Toronto will be significant," says CIBC 
Deputy Chief Economist Benjamin Tal, who co-authored the report with CIBC 
economist, Andrew Grantham. "Those will be enhanced by the city's already 
strong economic momentum." 
The Toronto Pan Am Games will be Canada's largest multi-sports Games ever 
hosted in terms of the number of athletes participating. An estimated 7,500 
athletes are expected to take part in the Toronto Pan Am Games, three times 
more than the number of competitors in the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympic Games. 
While a big sporting event can lift a city that's in decline, that stimulus 
tends to be limited and temporary in the absence of strong organic economic 
fundamentals. "Fortunately, that's not the case for Toronto," says Mr. Tal. 
"In fact, the GTA's economy has been on a prolonged upswing. During the year 
ending June 2013, population growth in the GTA was twice as fast as in the 
rest of the country, while employment advanced even faster." 
As a result of these strong fundamentals, Toronto's economy once again takes 
the top spot among the country's major urban centres in the CIBC World 
Markets' latest Canadian Metropolitan Economic Activity Index rankings. The 
city has ranked number one since the summer of 2011. 
The Pan Am/Parapan Am Games' has given Ontario's economy an added boost from 
capital spending that primarily involves the building or upgrading of more 
than twenty venues for the Games, and the redevelopment of the West Don Lands, 
a 32-hectare former industrial site, the report says. Overall, the Games are 
expected to generate about 26,000 new jobs. 
Mr. Tal notes that the construction of the athletes' village, which will be 
converted to affordable housing after the games, is an important part of the 
game's potential legacy. But like any other infrastructure project, he says 
there are no shortage of risks, including unsuccessful integration with the 
rest of the city and unforeseen financial and environmental issues. 
However, he believes the organizers learned from the experience of Vancouver 
by requiring the selected development teams to bring in a higher amount of 
equity as well as other contractual details aimed at limiting the amount of 
risk the government faces. However, he notes that any real estate deal is not 
immune to the risk of a cooling housing market in general, and the condominium 
market in particular. 
The report states that the Games will also give a boost to tourism in the 
province. It estimates that if Ontario sees the same percentage jump in 
tourism that Vancouver did during the 2010 Winter Olympics, Ontario could have 
as many as 350,000 visitors, well above the official estimate of 250,000. 
Assuming that 75 per cent of those tourists were Americans, who are far bigger 
spenders than overseas or domestic visitors, Mr. Tal says the increase in 
tourist spending during the Pan Am Games alone should generate an additional 
$260 million in gross domestic product and add more than 3,500 jobs in the 
"Hosting global events such as the Pan Am/Parapan Am Games and having 
facilities to attract additional events down the road, should help that trend 
continue. Add on the boost to construction before the Games and the hoped-for 
legacy impact afterwards, and you get a significant boost to Ontario's GDP," 
he adds. 
The complete CIBC World Markets report is available at: 
CIBC's wholesale banking business provides a range of integrated credit and 
capital markets products, investment banking, and merchant banking to clients 
in key financial markets in North America and around the world. We provide 
innovative capital solutions and advisory expertise across a wide range of 
industries as well as top-ranked research for our corporate, government and 
institutional clients.

SOURCE  CIBC World Markets 
Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist, CIBC World Markets Inc. at (416)  
956-3698, or Caroline Van Hasselt, Director, External 
Communications and Media  Relations, 
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CO: Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
ST: Ontario
-0- Sep/11/2013 12:14 GMT
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