J.D. Power and LMC Automotive Report: August New-Vehicle Sales Reach Highest
Level in Seven Years
WESTLAKE VILLAGE, Calif., Aug. 22, 2013
WESTLAKE VILLAGE, Calif., Aug. 22,2013 /PRNewswire/ --New-vehicle sales
continue the hot streak that has been trending throughout the summer selling
season, with no evidence of the pace slowing, according to a monthly sales
forecast developed jointly by the Power Information Network^® (PIN) from J.D.
Power and LMC Automotive.
Retail Light-Vehicle Sales
New-vehicle retail sales in August 2013 are projected to come in at 1,270,400
units, a 12 percent increase from August 2012 and the highest monthly sales
volume since 2006. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) in August is
expected to be 13.1 million units, marking the first time the selling rate has
been above 13 million units for three consecutive months since the first
quarter of 2007. Retail transactions are the most accurate measure of true
underlying consumer demand for new vehicles.
J.D. Power expects consumer spending on new vehicles in August will approach
$36 billion, which is the highest level on record.
"The industry as a whole continues to experience a robust improvement in
demand, and our forecast for August is looking to be the best month for retail
sales that we've seen in the past seven years," said John Humphrey, senior
vice president of the global automotive practice at J.D. Power. "Moreover,
this strong selling environment is occurring when consumers are spending more
on new vehicles than any month on record, which is a further indication of the
underlying strength of the sector."
Total Light-Vehicle Sales
With consistency in the fleet environment, total light-vehicle sales in August
2013 are also expected to increase by 12 percent from August 2012 to
1,495,400. Fleet sales are expected to account for 15 percent of total sales,
with volume of 225,000 units.
PIN and LMC data show total sales reaching a 16 million unit SAAR in August,
which is the highest since November 2007, with actual unit sales the highest
since May 2007.
J.D. Power and LMC Automotive U.S. Sales and SAAR Comparisons
August 2013^1 July 2013 August 2012
New-Vehicle Retail 1,138,898 units 1,093,675 units
Sales (12% higher than August
Total Vehicle Sales 1,313,298 units 1,283,599 units
(12% higher than August
Retail SAAR 13.1 million units 13.1 million 12.6 million
Total SAAR 16.0 million units 15.8 million 14.5 million
^1Figures cited for August 2013 are forecasted based on the first 15 selling
days of the month.
^2The percentage change is adjusted based on the number of selling days in the
month (28 days in August 2013 vs. 27 days in August 2012).
Based on the solid outlook for August, LMC Automotive is holding its 2013
forecast for retail light-vehicle sales at 12.8 million units and total
light-vehicle sales at 15.6 million units.
"The U.S. auto recovery seems to be operating on auto pilot, a welcome stage
of stability at a higher pace," said Jeff Schuster, senior vice president of
forecasting at LMC Automotive. "We do expect to see a lower selling rate in
September as Labor Day is counted in August sales, but upside potential still
outweighs downside risk in 2013 and well into 2014."
North American Production
North American light-vehicle production year-to-date through July is up 4
percent from the same period in 2012. The industry continues to manage a lean
supply-to-demand ratio, with vehicle stock at the beginning of August falling
to an average 56-day supply from 61 days in July. The overall inventory level
has dropped to 2.9 million units from 3.3 million units in July.
Ford holds on to one of the strongest increases in production from 2012, up 13
percent on boosts from the redesigned Escape and higher Explorer and F-Series
volume. With Fiat-Chrysler relatively flat and General Motors off 3 percent
year-to-date, the Detroit Three collectively are slightly below the industry
year-over-year performance with a 3 percent increase. However, they do retain
a 54 percent share of light-vehicle production in the region, the same level
as in 2012.
Hyundai/Kia's production growth year-to-date is the highest of the larger
manufacturers, up 14 percent. This comes as inventory for the group falls from
a 46-day supply to 41 in August. The volume boost is coming almost exclusively
from the Elantra and redesigned Santa Fe. With weaker volume in July, the
European brands are down 2 percent year-to-date.
LMC Automotive's forecast for 2013 North American production is at 16.0
million units, a 4 percent increase from 2012 and in line with the
About J.D. Power
J.D. Power is a global marketing information services company providing
performance improvement, social media and customer satisfaction insights and
solutions. The company's quality and satisfaction measurements are based on
responses from millions of consumers annually. Headquartered in Westlake
Village, Calif., J.D. Power has offices in North/South America, Europe and
Asia Pacific. For more information on car reviews and ratings, car insurance,
health insurance, cell phone ratings, and more, please visit JDPower.com. J.D.
Power is a business unit of McGraw Hill Financial.
About McGraw Hill Financial
McGraw Hill Financial (NYSE: MHFI) is a leading financial intelligence company
providing the global capital and commodity markets with independent
benchmarks, credit ratings, portfolio and enterprise risk solutions, and
analytics. The Company's iconic brands include:Standard & Poor's Ratings
Services, S&P Capital IQ, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts,CRISIL,J.D. Power,
andMcGraw Hill Construction. The Company has approximately 17,000 employees
in 27 countries. Additional information is available atwww.mhfi.com.
About LMC Automotive
LMC Automotive, formerly J.D. Power Automotive Forecasting, is the premier
supplier of automotive forecasts and intelligence to an extensive client base
of automotive manufacturer, component supplier, logistics and distribution
companies, as well as financial and government institutions around the world.
LMC's global forecasting services encompass automotive sales, production and
powertrain expertise, as well as advisory capability. LMC Automotive has
offices in the United States, the UK, Germany, China and Thailand and is part
of the Oxford, UK-based LMC group, the global leader in economic and business
consultancy for the agribusiness sector. For more information please visit
Media Relations Contacts
John Tews; J.D. Power; Troy, Mich.; 248-680-6218; email@example.com
Emmie Littlejohn; LMC Automotive; Troy, Mich.; 248-817-2100;
No advertising or other promotional use can be made of the information in this
release without the express prior written consent of J.D. Power or LMC
Automotive. www.jdpower.com/corporate www.lmc-auto.com
SOURCE J.D. Power
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