U.S. IPO Market Surges as Market Confidence Returns in Early 2013
IPO Activity Expected to Continue Trending Up in Q2
NEW YORK, March 20, 2013
NEW YORK, March 20, 2013 /PRNewswire/ --The U.S. IPO market surged in the
early part of 2013. In overall equity capital markets volume, the US exchanges
continue to dominate the globe, driving the most deal activity. According to
Ernst & Young's Global IPO update– 24 IPOs have gone effective in Q1, raising
more than $6.7 billion in proceeds. The Ernst & Young U.S. IPO Pipeline
Analysis indicates an additional 9 IPOs, which are scheduled to price before
quarter end, will raise $1.8 billion and will be on par with the 33 IPOs which
raised $8.7 billion in Q4.
As the U.S. housing market continues to see recovery, the real estate sector
is dominating, bumping technology down, and boasting 18 IPOs that raised $11.0
billion. IPO returns for Q1 have also been strong with the 24 effective IPOs
having an average of 12.7 percent return on the first day of trading compared
with the 9.96 percent YTD total return for the S&P 500 index. In a recent EY
survey of institutional investors^, they have responded in an overwhelming
show of faith as 82 percent globally have invested in pre-IPO and IPO stocks
in the past 12 months compared with only 18 percent in the past two to three
"There have already been far more IPOs than we anticipated in 2013. I think we
are finally seeing a level of confidence return to the markets after a
tumultuous few months following the U.S election and the fiscal cliff," said
Herb Engert, Strategic Growth Markets Practice Leader for Ernst & Young LLP.
"We're seeing positive signs for the IPO window to stay open. The Dow Jones
industrial average hit an all time high earlier this month and investors look
optimistically to the U.S. markets. In fact, over 50 percent of institutional
investors rank the U.S. as a top three investment destination, and I expect
that mindset to continue."
For Q2 and the remainder of 2013 stability is key - a strong, steady stock
market and potential clarity on tax hikes could make for a very solid IPO
market this year. North American institutional investors cited the prospect of
stabilization in macro-economic conditions as their number one concern for
positive market sentiment at 65 percent followed by more stable equity markets
at 61 percent and brighter corporate earnings outlook at 57 percent. However,
there are still concerns around the stability of the European economy which
continues to hinder global recovery.
Also, the number of new public registrants has been trending up. The IPO
pipeline, clouded by the confidential filers, saw 25 new registrations enter
into the public IPO pipeline since the first of the year, seven in January, 14
in February and four in March thus far; a strong indication that companies are
lining up to access the capital markets while the IPO window is still open.
Pricing will also play a big role in IPO momentum. North American investors
cite attractive pricing as the top success factor for an IPO at 90 percent
while overpricing ranks as the top challenge at 85 percent. IPO valuation is
driven by market confidence in the ability of a company's management team to
execute their business plan and consistently deliver strong investor returns.
There is no denying that investor confidence can be affected by market or
industry volatility and economic uncertainty. But, there is always room in the
market for companies with attractive pricing, a good management team, and the
ability to clearly explain their business proposition to investors.
"The U.S. market environment in 2013 has presented a window of opportunity for
IPOs, and we expect at least 9 more companies to go public before the quarter
closes" said Jackie Kelley, Americas IPO Leader, for the global Ernst & Young
organization. "Equity markets are reaching new highs, and valuations are very
attractive. We expect continued investment in IPOs through 2013 given
investors' positive sentiment towards public listings. The key question of
timing will depend on when pre-IPO companies are ready to meet investors'
terms and expectations and if the price is right."
The year should be active from a PE perspective as sentiment is rapidly
improving and PE-backed IPOs have performed well. Currently, there is a
significant backlog of companies in the "PE portfolio," many of which were
acquired over the 2006-2007 timeframe. Nonetheless, PE firms have been highly
disciplined and opportunistic in their exit strategies, and that should
continue to be the case. There is also a significant pipeline of PE-backed
companies waiting to IPO. Through March 15th, there were more than 48
PE-backed companies in active registration that could potentially raise more
than $9.0 billion.
While the window is open, firms will IPO, but to the extent that increased
volatility starts to drag valuations, firms will explore alternatives -
through sales to strategics, secondary buyouts, and in particular through the
credit markets, which are extremely open and can allow PE firms to achieve
some liquidity for their LPs.
In the U.S, PE-backed IPOs are on the rise with six deals going public already
this year raising $1.4 billion. In 2012, the U.S. saw 68 PE-backed IPOs go
public raising $14.5 billion.
Venture Capital backed IPOs on the other hand have trended down during the
past few years yet better exits and returns of late suggest the slump in
fundraising could be over for VC in 2013. An uptick in VC inflows this year
would obviously not be enough to reverse the recent declining trend; however,
an improvement would bolster investor confidence and prospects for future
Year-over-year pipeline comparison chart or table:
# of companies Total dollar Average deal # of U.S. IPOs that
in the Pipeline amount in the size in the went public in the
Time period Pipeline $bn Pipeline $mm quarter
End of Q1 149 37.2 249.6 30
End of Q1 187 48.1 256.3 40
Q1 2013 as of
March 19, 99 24.5 247.4 24
Q1 2013 figures are as of Mar 19, 2013
The Q1 Review:
Twenty five new registrations entered into the public IPO pipeline through
March 19, 2013. Five of the 25 new registrants were cross border listings-a
trend we expect to continue due to strong performance in the U.S. capital
markets. Withdrawn and postponed IPOs continued to slow with four companies
withdrawing from the pipeline at the end of Q1 compared with five that
withdrew just in the month of December 2012. The Dow Jones industrial average
hit an all time high in March, and IPOs were also gaining higher returns,
maintaining the institutional investor support.
Notable Q1 companies that priced include:
oZoetis Inc, an animal health unit spinoff from Pfizer raised more than
oCVR Refining LP, a spinoff from CVR Energy raised $690 million
oNorwegian Cruise Line raised $514 million
A sector breakdown of the 99 IPOs currently in the pipeline shows that:
o18 are in Real Estate, raising $11.0 billion
o14 are in Life Sciences raising $1.7 billion
o11 are in Technology raising $1.1 billion
o10 are in Oil & Gas, raising $2.7 billion.
Financial Services and Consumer Products / Retail round out the other top
sectors in the pipeline raising $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion, respectively.
Together, the top sectors for new IPO registrations – Real Estate, Life
Sciences, Technology and Oil & Gas -- account for 53 of the 99 registrations.
Regionally, the Northeast leads deal volume with 25 companies seeking $8
billion; followed by the West with 21 companies seeking $3.3 billion; and the
Southwest with 17 firms seeking $3.6 billion.
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This news release has been issued by Ernst & Young LLP, a US client-serving
member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited.
^ Institutional Investor Survey, Ernst & Young, February 7, 2013
SOURCE Ernst & Young
Contact: Jennifer Compton, Ernst & Young LLP, +1-201-872-1294,
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