Fitch Affirms iStar Financial at 'B-'; Outlook to Positive
Fitch Affirms iStar Financial at 'B-'; Outlook to Positive Business Wire NEW YORK -- March 18, 2013 Fitch Ratings has taken several rating actions on iStar Financial Inc. (NYSE: SFI): The following ratings have been affirmed: --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B-'; --2012 senior secured tranche A-1 due March 2016 at 'BB-/RR1; --2012 senior secured tranche A-2 due March 2017 at 'B+/RR2'; --Senior unsecured notes at 'B-/RR4'; --Convertible senior notes at 'B-/RR4'; --Preferred stock at 'CCC-/RR6'. The Rating Outlook is revised to Positive from Stable. Fitch has assigned the following ratings: --October 2012 Secured Credit Facility due 2017 'BB-/RR1'. KEY RATING DRIVERS The revision of the Outlook to Positive is based on the company's demonstrated access to the unsecured debt market, which, combined with certain secured debt refinancings, have significantly improved SFI's near-term debt maturity profile. The affirmation of the IDR at 'B-' is driven by continued weak portfolio metrics, particularly non-performing loans relative to the size of the total loan portfolio. Improvements in the company's loan and operating property portfolios should increase its ability to repay upcoming indebtedness. Stronger performance should be driven by the mild improvement in commercial real estate fundamentals, value stabilization, and financing markets (which increases the likelihood of iStar's borrowers to repay their debt). WEAK LOAN PORTFOLIO QUALITY The quality of SFI's loan portfolio has remained roughly the same, with non-performing loans representing approximately 42% of the company's gross loan portfolio balance as of Dec. 31, 2012, which is up from 38% as of Dec. 31, 2011. Illustrative of the company's lending activity focus on higher-risk, weaker-performing collateral, 46% of its non-accrual loans were comprised of condominium and land loans as of Dec. 31, 2012, down from 55% as of Dec. 31, 2011. Further, as of Sept. 30, 2012, 68% of the company's real estate owned (REO) and real estate held for investment, which represent loans on which the company has foreclosed, consists of condominium and land collateral. HIGH LEVERAGE Despite an improved debt maturity profile, the company's leverage measured on a GAAP earnings basis (defined as net debt divided by annual recurring operating EBITDA) of approximately 21x as of Dec. 31, 2012 remains stubbornly high, although it is down from approximately 26x as of Dec. 31, 2011. Reported EBITDA may understate SFI's cash generation power, given that the accounting for non-performing loans and REO allows it to recognize income only upon cash receipt or resolution of the loan. For example, the company generated over $1.1 billion of asset monetizations during 2012, mostly from repayments of and principal collections on loans, driving a $1.1 billion reduction in total debt during 2012. LOW COVERAGE Fixed charge coverage (defined as recurring operating EBITDA before non-cash impairments, provisions and gains divided by the sum of interest expense and preferred stock dividends) was only 0.5x for the year ended Dec. 31, 2012, compared with 0.6x and 1.0x for the years ended Dec. 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Fitch expects this ratio to strengthen moderately as the company reduces debt from asset sales and begins to recognize additional GAAP earnings from lease-up of assets within its operating property segment and sales of residential properties. CONSTRAINED GROWTH The company is moderately constrained by non-compliance with an unsecured bond fixed charge incurrence covenant, which limits the company's ability to incur any additional debt to grow its investment portfolio. SFI's growth will occur via investment of asset sales proceeds, such as the recently announced sale of LNR Property LLC and from external capital raising, such as the company's recent $200 million convertible preferred stock offering. LOWER QUALITY UNENCUMBERED POOL SFI's corporate unsecured obligations will need to be serviced by the company's unencumbered pool, income from assets serving as collateral for the 2012 secured financings, and external sources of liquidity, given that both the 2012 senior secured financing and October 2012 secured credit facility debt transactions require that collateral repayments, sales proceeds and other monetizations be used primarily to repay debt encumbering collateral pools for each financing. As of Dec. 31, 2012 a majority of the company's unencumbered loans are non-performing. However, a portion of its unencumbered assets is liquid and could be sold to meet corporate obligations over the next two years, which would mitigate default. The company's recent announcement of the owners' sale (SFI holds a 24% ownership interest) of LNR Property LLC will generate $220 million in net proceeds to SFI, indicative of some liquidity of the company's unencumbered asset base. RECOVERIES While concepts of Fitch's Recovery Rating methodology are considered for all companies, explicit Recovery Ratings are assigned only to those companies with an IDR of 'B+' or below. At the lower IDR levels, there is greater probability of default so the impact of potential recovery prospects on issue-specific ratings becomes more meaningful and is more explicitly reflected in the ratings dispersion relative to the IDR. The October 2012 secured credit facility and 2012 senior secured tranche A-1 ratings of 'BB-/RR1', or a three-notch positive differential from iStar's 'B-' IDR, are based on Fitch's estimate of outstanding recovery in the 91%-100% range. Together with 2012 senior secured tranche A-2, these obligations represent first lien security claims on collateral pools comprising primarily performing loans and credit tenant lease assets. The 2012 senior secured tranche A-1 has amortization payment priority relative to the A-2 tranche. The 2012 senior secured tranche A-2 rating of 'B+/RR2', or a two-notch positive differential from iStar's 'B-' IDR, is based on Fitch's estimate of superior recovery. Together with the A-1 tranche, these obligations represent first lien security claims on a collateral pool comprising primarily performing loans and credit tenant lease assets, but would receive principal amortization only upon the full repayment of the A-1 tranche. The senior unsecured notes and senior convertible notes ratings of 'B-/RR4' are in line with iStar's 'B-' IDR, based on Fitch's estimate of good recovery based on iStar's current capital structure. While the application of Fitch's recovery criteria indicates a stronger 'RR3' recovery, the company may further encumber a portion of its unencumbered pool to repay unsecured indebtedness. This action benefits the IDR at the detriment of recoveries, and Fitch has incorporated the presence of the unencumbered pool in the 'B-' IDR. This adverse selection also results in less liquid and less traditional commercial real estate collateral remaining in the unencumbered pool to support bondholder recoveries, resulting in Fitch rating recoveries of the unsecured corporate obligations at 'RR4'. The Preferred Stock rating of 'CCC-/RR6' or a three-notch negative differential from iStar's 'B-' IDR, is based on Fitch's estimate of poor recovery based on iStar's current capital structure. Fitch's recovery ratings criteria provide flexibility for a two- or three-notch negative differential between the IDR and instrument rating. A three-notch negative differential is based on the nature of iStar's perpetual preferred stock - a deeply subordinated security that has weak terms and remedies available both before and after a general corporate default (e.g. no stated maturity, an inability for holders to put the security back to the company, and iStar has the ability to defer dividends indefinitely without triggering a corporate default). POSITIVE OUTLOOK The Positive Outlook is based on iStar's ability to access the unsecured bond market three times in 2012, raising $775 million. These offerings, combined with a refinancing of certain secured debt financings have created a stronger liquidity profile and manageable debt maturities until 2016. In addition, the nascent recovery in commercial real estate fundamentals and value should enable the company to further monetize assets within its operating property segment and its unencumbered asset pool more broadly. RATING SENSITIVITIES The following may have a positive impact on iStar's ratings and/or Outlook: --The ability to incur additional debt under the company's debt incurrence fixed charge covenant; --Improvement in the quality of the unencumbered pool, measured by the sum of non-performing loans, other real estate owned and real estate held for investment comprising less than 25% of the unencumbered pool; --Monetization of the company's unencumbered real estate investment portfolio via asset sales to repay unsecured debt; --Continued demonstrated access to the common equity or unsecured bond market. The following may have a negative impact on the ratings and/or Outlook: --Deterioration in the quality of iStar's loan portfolio, including an increase in non-performing loans and additional provisions for loan losses; --An increase in the operating property segment as a percentage of the company's investments. In addition, Fitch has withdrawn ratings on the below obligations as they are no longer outstanding: --Senior secured A-1 tranche due June 2013 at 'BB-/RR1'; --Senior secured A-2 tranche due June 2014 at 'B+/RR2'; --Unsecured revolving credit facility at 'B-/RR4'. Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were unsolicited and have been provided by Fitch as a service to investors. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: --'Criteria for Rating U.S. Equity REITs and REOCs' (Feb. 26, 2013); --'Criteria for Rating U.S. Mortgage REITs and Similar Finance Companies' (Feb. 26, 2013); --'Treatment and Notching of Hybrids in Nonfinancial Corporate and REIT Credit Analysis' (Dec. 13, 2012); --'Recovery Rating and Notching Criteria for REITs' (Nov. 12, 2012); --'Recovery Ratings for Financial Institutions' (Aug. 15, 2012); --'Global Financial Institutions Rating Criteria' (Aug. 15, 2012); Applicable Criteria and Related Research Criteria for Rating U.S. Equity REITs and REOCs http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=700091 Corporate Rating Methodology http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=684460 Recovery Ratings for Financial Institutions http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=686295 Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Equity REITs http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=693751 Treatment and Notching of Hybrids in Nonfinancial Corporate and REIT Credit Analysis http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=696670 Criteria for Rating U.S. Mortgage REITs and Similar Finance Companies http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=700092 ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Contact: Fitch Ratings Primary Analyst Steven Marks Managing Director +1-212-908-9161 Fitch Ratings, Inc. One State Street Plaza New York, NY 10004 or Secondary Analyst Mohak Rao Director +1-212-908-0559 or Committee Chairperson Daniel Chambers Managing Director +1-212-908-0782 or Media Relations: Melanie Savelli, +33 1 44 29 92 79 (Paris) melanie.savelli@fitchratings.com
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