Fitch Rates Georgia Power Senior Notes 'A+'; Outlook Stable
Fitch Rates Georgia Power Senior Notes 'A+'; Outlook Stable Business Wire NEW YORK -- March 14, 2013 Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'A+' rating to Georgia Power Company's (Georgia Power) issuance of $400 million series 2013A 4.30% senior notes due March 15, 2043. Fitch has also assigned its 'A+/F1' rating to Georgia Power's series 2013B floating rate senior notes due March 15, 2016. These notes are senior, unsecured obligations of Georgia Power. The Rating Outlook is Stable. The net proceeds from the two offerings will be used for the redemption at maturity of Georgia Power's $350 million series 2010A floating rate senior notes, to repay a portion of its outstanding short-term indebtedness, and for general corporate purposes, including the ongoing construction program at the company. KEY RATING DRIVERS: Georgia Power's ratings are supported by the solid financial profile of the integrated utility which benefits from constructive regulation in Georgia that limits regulatory lag. Currently, the utility is in the midst of a significant capital program that includes the construction of two new nuclear units at the Vogtle site. The execution risk associated with this significant project and the attendant external financing needs are also considered in the ratings. The Stable Outlook reflects the expectation that the company will continue to receive constructive regulatory treatment of the pre-approved projects including recovery of costs during the construction period. In its eighth semi-annual Vogtle Construction Monitoring (VCM) report filed with the Georgia Public Service Commission (GPSC) on Feb. 28, 2013, Georgia Power has requested an amendment to increase the estimated in-service capital cost of the Vogtle units by $381 million to $4.8 billion and to extend the estimated in-service dates to fourth quarter 2017 and fourth quarter 2018 for Vogtle units 3 and 4, respectively. The financing costs during the construction period are estimated to be $2 billion. Separately, Georgia Power and the other owners of the Vogtle 3 and 4 units are engaged in litigation with the contractors over the costs associated with the design changes to the Design Control Document (DCD), delays in receiving approval of the DCD, and issuance of a combined construction and operating license by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). Fitch expects that any adjustments to the overall project costs are deemed recoverable by the GPSC. Significant project cost overruns that cannot be recovered in rates or unexpected long deferral periods for project cost recovery would be adverse credit factors. Georgia Power's annual capex is forecast to be in the $2.2 billion-$2.4 billion range over 2013-2015, or approximately 3x depreciation. This is high relative to peer utilities and is primarily driven by Georgia Power's share of Vogtle costs. In addition, Georgia Power anticipates spending approximately $1.1 billion in environmental capex over 2013-2015 for compliance with the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) rule. While Georgia regulations do not allow for automatic recovery of environmental costs, Georgia Power has historically been granted adequate rate relief on its environmental capex. Georgia Power's revenue increases resulting from the December 2010 base rate settlement, bonus depreciation, and significant fuel recoveries have resulted in strengthening of cash flow credit measures. This has allowed Georgia Power to embark on a heavy capital investment program with strong credit metrics. Fitch expects bonus depreciation benefits to continue to boost funds from operations (FFO) in 2013 and 2014. Georgia Power's FFO interest coverage ratio was 7.4x for the year ended Dec. 31, 2012, and FFO to adjusted debt was 25.0%. Fitch anticipates a gradual decline in Georgia Power's credit metrics until 2014 under its current three-year rate settlement, reflecting the pressure from a large construction program. Fitch forecasts Georgia Power's adjusted debt to EBITDA and FFO to adjusted debt to be approximately 3.3x and 21.5%, respectively, in 2014. The sales growth at Georgia Power has slowed somewhat in 2012 due to the rising uncertainty around economic growth. Persistently weak sales could put additional pressure on credit metrics through 2014. RATING SENSITIVITIES: Vogtle Project Execution: Successful execution of nuclear plant construction and continued regulatory support are key to maintaining rating stability at Georgia Power. In this regard, Fitch will continue to monitor the construction timelines, frequency and nature of any license amendment requests to the NRC, outcome of the 8th VCM report, potential escalations in the estimated in-service capital costs and/or in-service dates, and outcomes of future VCM reports filed by Georgia Power at the GPSC. Cost overruns or delays in the Vogtle project could pressure cash flow and ratings. Rate Case Outcome: Georgia Power is required to file a rate case by the middle of 2013 for rates to be effective January 2014. Any adverse outcome in future rate proceedings or any adverse change in Georgia Power's relations with the GPSC, which are currently not anticipated, could also likely lead to negative rating actions. Positive Rating Actions Unlikely: Positive rating actions for Georgia Power are considered unlikely while the Vogtle project is underway. Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: --Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Utilities (November 2012) --Corporate Rating Methodology (August 2012) --Rating North American Utilities, Power, Gas, and Water Companies (May 2011). Applicable Criteria and Related Research Rating North American Utilities, Power, Gas, and Water Companies http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=625129 Corporate Rating Methodology http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=684460 Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Utilities http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=693750 ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Contact: Fitch Ratings Primary Analyst Shalini Mahajan, CFA Senior Director +1-212-908-0351 Fitch Ratings, Inc. One State Street Plaza New York, NY, 10004 or Secondary Analyst Lindsay Minneman Director +1-212-908-0592 or Committee Chairperson Glen Grabelsky Managing Director +1-212-908-0577 or Media Relations Brian Bertsch +1-212-908-0549 brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
Advertisements
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
Rate this Page