SEB : Deloitte/SEB CFO Survey in Sweden - Signs of increasing confidence in a still-challenging business climate

SEB : Deloitte/SEB CFO Survey in Sweden - Signs of increasing confidence in a
                      still-challenging business climate

The latest Deloittte/SEB CFO Survey shows signs of returning confidence in a
stabilising but still-challenging business climate. Several key indicators are
now pointing upward after companies made adjustments to the weaker economy.
According to Sweden-based CFOs, the appetite for mergers & acquisitions looks
somewhat improved.

The Swedish krona is expected to strengthen this year, but perhaps to the
detriment of exporters. Financial risk is less of an issue, according to
surveyed participants, but defensive strategies to reduce debt remain on top
of the agenda. Positive stock market sentiment may spur confidence in
deal-making. while the corporate bond market looks poised to continue its
growth. There are signs of stabilising employment expectations and less
emphasis on staff cuts in the next six months. Weakening demand was deemed as
the biggest threat on the horizon.

Overall, the Deloitte/SEB CFO index comes in at 49.5, slightly up from 48.3 in
the last survey in September 2012.

Signs of returning confidence in a stabilising business climate

There are signs of returning confidence after a weak end to last year. While
the business climate remains challenging, CFOs breathe slight optimism on
their financial position, cash flows and the availability of financing in the
next 12 months. "We see a slightly improving sentiment as companies seem to
have adapted to the rather weak economic environment. Several core indicators,
such as general business conditions and financial positions, are pointing
upwards, albeit from a low level," says Johan Lindgren, Credit Strategy at

M&A appetite improves, further corporate bond growth

The recent positive stock market sentiment is expected to further improve over
the next 12 months and fuel confidence for once-latent deal activity. Almost
75 per cent of CFO's expect the OMXS30 to increase by 5 per cent or more in
the next 12 months.The corporate bond market is also pegged for further

Stabilising employment signs; less focus on personnel cuts

The share of CFOs that expect the number of employees in their companies to
decline in the next six months dropped from 44 per cent in September 2012 to
35 per cent in this survey.

CFOs see stronger SEK

CFOs expect a stronger Swedish krona in 2013 compared to 2012, according to
survey answers. "We saw that several companies underestimated the
strengthening of the krona in 2012. Based on the survey, this is likely to
happen also in 2013. This implies that export companies once again could take
a hit," says Lindgren.

Less financial risk concern; debt reduction still in focus

Balance sheet risk has clearly dropped, according to the CFOs. However,
defensive strategies such as paying off debt is still favoured over
expansionary strategies.

Weakening demand the greatest risk factor this year

Weakening demand is seen as the greatest threat in 2013, expressed with more
emphasis in the March 2013 survey compared to September 2012.

"We see that caution and defensive strategies remain favoured by CFOs in a
tough business climate. However, a number of indicators show signs of
financial stability and improved sentiment. Increased M&A activity may well
trigger confidence to focus on more forward-looking initiatives," says Tom
Pernodd, partner at Deloitte.

This unique survey aims to reflect changes of sentiment in the financial
environment and facilitate understanding of economic and financial trends. The
survey was performed in February, in cooperation with Deloitte, and comprises
a total of 12 questions covering areas such as business climate, strategic
investments, employment, views on currencies and interest rates, financial
strength, and lending attitudes amongst financial institutions. Answers are
collected from a sample of CFOs from some of Sweden's largest companies. The
full report is available\pressand

For further information, please      Press contact
contact                              Anna Helsén, Press Officer
Johan Lindgren                       +46 70 698 48 58
Credit Strategist,         
Credit Strategy, Trading Strategy
+46 8-506 231 64                          
                                     Christer Ahlgren, counselor, Clients &
Tom Pernodd                          Markets, Deloitte
Partner, Deloitte                    +46 708 14 23 20
+46-75-246 30 60           
SEB is a leading Nordic financial services group. As a relationship bank, SEB
in Sweden and the Baltic countries offers financial advice and a wide range of
financial services. In Denmark, Finland, Norway and Germany the bank's
operations have a strong focus on corporate and investment banking based on a
full-service offering to corporate and institutional clients. The
international nature of SEB's business is reflected in its presence in some 20
countries worldwide. On December 31, 2012, the Group's total assets amounted
to SEK2,453 billion while its assets under management totalled SEK1,328
billion. The Group has about 16,500 employees. Read more about SEB at

Deloitte/SEB CFO Survey
Press Release (PDF)


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Source: SEB via Thomson Reuters ONE
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