Fitch Expects to Rate Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 2013-A; Presale Issued
Fitch Expects to Rate Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 2013-A; Presale Issued Business Wire NEW YORK -- February 19, 2013 Fitch Ratings expects to assign the following ratings to the Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 2013-A notes: --$307,100,000 class A-1 'F1+sf'; --$415,300,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$420,700,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$106,850,000 class A-4 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$39,470,000 class B 'AAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$26,310,000 class C 'Asf'; Outlook Stable; --$26,310,000 class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable. Key Rating Drivers Stable Credit Quality: 2013-A pool is relatively consistent with prior deals. The WA FICO score is 726 with 87.45% of new vehicles. The pool is geographically diverse with approximately seven months of seasoning, and consists of 40.86% of the retail contracts with terms more than 60 months. Adequate Credit Enhancement Structure: The cash flow distribution is a sequential-pay structure, consistent with prior transactions. Initial hard credit enhancement (CE) for the class A notes totals 5.50%, consisting of 7.00% subordination and a 0.50% nondeclining reserve offset by undercollateralization of 2.00% on an adjusted pool basis. Improved Portfolio/Securitization Performance: Losses on Ford Credit's portfolio and 2009-2012 FCAOT securitizations declined, supported by the improving, albeit volatile, U.S. economy and strong used vehicle values resulting in higher recovery rates. Positive Corporate Performance: Fitch currently rates the long-term Issuer Default Rating of Ford Motor Co., the parent of Ford Credit and Ford Credit, 'BBB-' with a Stable Rating Outlook. Strong Wholesale Vehicle Market (WVM): The U.S. WVM is healthy in early 2013. However, Fitch remains cautious of the potential impact of general economic weakness and rising fuel prices on demand for and values of used vehicles. Consistent Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: Ford Credit demonstrates good capabilities as originator, underwriter, and servicer, evidenced by historical delinquency and loss performance of its managed portfolio and securitizations. Fitch deems Ford Credit capable to adequately service 2013-A. Integrity of Legal Structure: The legal structure of the transaction should provide that a bankruptcy of Ford Credit would not impair the timeliness of payments on the securities. The presale report is available to all investors on Fitch's website at 'www.fitchratings.com'. For more information about Fitch's comprehensive subscription service FitchResearch, which includes all presale reports, surveillance, and credit reports on more than 20 asset classes, contact product sales at +1-212-908-0800 or at 'webmaster@fitchratings.com'. Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: --'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria', June 6, 2012; --'U.S. Auto Loan ABS Rating Criteria', April 16, 2012; --'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions, May 20, 2012; --'Structured Finance Tranche Thickness Metrics', July 29, 2011. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 2013-A (US ABS) http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=701653 Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=679923 Rating Criteria for U.S. Auto Loan ABS http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=674859 Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=678938 Structured Finance Tranche Thickness Metrics http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=646951 ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. Contact: Fitch Ratings Primary Analyst Peter Chung Director +1-212-908-0724 Fitch Ratings, Inc. One State Street Plaza New York, NY 10004 or Secondary Analyst Smitha Dawson Director +1-212-908-1298 or Committee Chairperson John H. Bella Managing Director +1-212-908-1243 or Media Relations Sandro Scenga, New York, +1 212-908-0278 sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com
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