The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage,

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Abercrombie
       & Fitch, Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Pricesmart and AAR

PR Newswire

CHICAGO, Feb. 6, 2013

CHICAGO, Feb. 6, 2013 /PRNewswire/ --Zacks.com announces the list of stocks
featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts
discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.
Stocks recently featured in the blog include Green Mountain Coffee Roasters,
Inc. (Nasdaq:GMCR), Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF), Natural Grocers By
Vitamin Cottage (NYSE:NGVC), Pricesmart Inc (Nasdaq:PSMT) and AAR Corp.
(NYSE:AIR).

(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20101027/ZIRLOGO)

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Here are highlights from Tuesday's Analyst Blog:

Green Mountain Likely to Beat

We expect leading coffee maker Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.
(Nasdaq:GMCR) to beat expectations when it reports first quarter fiscal 2013
results on Feb 6.

Why a Likely Positive Surprise?

Our proven model shows that Green Mountain is likely to beat earnings because
it has the right combination of two key ingredients.

Positive Zacks ESP: Green Mountain's Expected Surprise Prediction or ESP
(Read: Zacks Earnings ESP: A Better Method) stands at +6.15%. This represents
the difference between the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus
Estimate. This is very meaningful and a leading indicator of a likely positive
earnings surprise for shares.

Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy): Green Mountain currently carries a Zacks Rank #1
(Strong Buy).Note that stocks with Zacks Ranks of #1, #2 and #3 have a
significantly higher chance of beating earnings. The sell rated stocks (#4 and
#5) should never be considered going into an earnings announcement.

The combination of the stock's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and ESP of +6.15%
makes us confident of an earnings beat on Feb 6.

What is Driving the Better Than Expected Earnings?

Green Mountain's performance turned around in the fourth quarter of fiscal
2012 from past few weak quarterly results. In the fourth quarter, it delivered
an impressive earnings surprise of 36.2%. In fact this company has beaten
estimates in 3 out of 4 past quarters, posting a healthy average earnings
surprise of 36.3%. Estimates are mostly seeing an upward trend ahead of the
first quarter fiscal 2013 results.

In addition, the company is focusing on its products and has rolled out many
new products. Besides, Green Mountain, which specializes in single cup brewing
technology, has upgraded its Keurig brewing system to attract more customers.

Based on its progress, the company raised its earnings per share projection
for fiscal 2013 to $2.64–$2.74 from $2.55–$2.65.

Other Stocks to Consider

Green Mountain is not the only firm looking up this earnings season. You can
also consider these stocks that offer exposure to the attractive
retail-wholesale sector:

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF), Earnings ESP of +5.18% and Zacks Rank #1
(Strong Buy)

Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage (NYSE:NGVC), Earnings ESP of +7.14% and
Zacks Rank #2 (Buy)

Pricesmart Inc (Nasdaq:PSMT), Earnings ESP of +3.80% and Zacks Rank #3 (Hold)

AAR Ventures into Medical Logistics

AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) recently announced a contract win from the U.S. Army
Medical Material Center, Southwest Asia. The contract, with a one year term
and two renewal options, involves the management of medical logistics. The
value of the contract remains undisclosed.

Per the contract, AAR's Defense Systems and Logistics business will take up
the responsibility of providing the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) with
medical inventory management services. The services will be extended to a few
nations like Iraq, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

With the contract, the company ventures into a whole new field of medical
logistics. Previous to this, AAR had only been involved in the logistics of
products related to the aerospace industry and ground equipment.

Illinois-based AAR Corp. provides a wide range of high-quality, and
cost-effective technical services. AAR Defense Systems and Logistics currently
supports the U.S. government through its supply chain management, and is
ranked one of the top defense contractors in the world.

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