Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: HollyFrontier, Tupperware Brands, National Health Investors, Marathon Petroleum and

 Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: HollyFrontier, Tupperware Brands,
      National Health Investors, Marathon Petroleum and Access National

PR Newswire

CHICAGO, Feb. 4, 2013

CHICAGO, Feb. 4, 2013 /PRNewswire/ --Today, Zacks Investment Ideas feature
highlights Features: HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE:HFC), Tupperware Brands
Corporation (NYSE:TUP), National Health Investors Inc. (NYSE:NHI), Marathon
Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) and Access National Corp. (Nasdaq:ANCX).


3 High-Flyers That Should Keep Soaring

Doesn't it seem that shares continuously hitting new all-time highs are
already overpriced and may not appreciate further? It is a common perception,
but not entirely true. The gaining streak may continue for many stocks. And
you can easily gain by betting on them.

Generally, low price is the key element of value investing, as it makes all
valuation multiples attractive. But the basic fact that is ignored here is
that low price indicates the lack of enthusiasm of market participants to buy
these stocks. Thus, the price may keep going down.

The exactly opposite logic works (though not always) for stocks with an upward
price trend. Here, growing willingness helps these stocks to continuously move

In fact, the returns from stocks reaching all-time highs generally outperform
the returns from so-called undervalued stocks. So, buying these stocks and
selling them at a higher price is a fairly lucrative strategy.

As you know, it is not safe to pour over only one indicator. In addition to
keeping track of stocks continuously reaching all-time highs, you should look
at some other indicators.

Valuation Not Worth Considering

You won't find the valuation of these high flyers attractive, as their prices
will make traditional valuation parameters unappealing. But make sure you take
a look at the earnings estimate revisions and the earnings surprise history of
these stocks. Needless to say, positive estimate revisions and a positive
surprise streak will confirm your choice.

Analysts covering a particular stock often increase/decrease their earnings
estimates based on certain developments at the company, or sometimes due to
the sector or economy-related factors. They do it after their extensive
evaluation on the fundamentals of the company. So, a positive trend in
estimate revisions will give you further confidence about gaining from these
stocks. It actually indicates that the stock will move higher in the coming
days, tracking the trend in estimate revisions.

Additionally, an impressive earnings surprise history will reflect the
underlying strength in these stocks.

Beware: High Flyers May Crash

It's important to remember that betting on these stocks could become risky as
their prices shoot up for reasons that are not always convincing. Sometimes,
the big institutional investors -- aka "The Smart Money" -- push huge fund to
attract retail investors by creating artificial price inflation.

So the rule of thumb is that if a stock sees a huge jump in price in a single
day, you should stay away from it as the chance of artificial price inflation
is high. Stocks with real growth potential will move higher gradually,
although not always in a straight line.

Endorse Your Pick with the Zacks Rank

A good way to finalize your choice is to look at the stock's Zacks Rank. The
Zacks Rank is a proprietary quantitative model that uses trends in earnings
estimate revisions to classify stocks into five groups: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong
Buy), Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) and
Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

Now, if you see that your target stock holds a Zacks #1 or #2 Rank, bet on
that it should not disappoint.

3 Stocks Likely to Fly Higher

Based on the above strategy, we found the following three stocks we believe
will give you solid returns. But don't stop with just these three -- continue
exploring your options.

HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE:HFC): This petroleum refiner and marketer is
one of the hottest high flyers, continuously hitting new all-time highs. The
stock touched its highest mark of $52.50 on Jan 31. Looking at its estimate
revision trend, over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2012
was revised 19.3% upward to $8.71 per share. Moreover, the company has
delivered positive earnings surprises in the last couple of quarters with an
average beat of 13.0%.

We are also confident about a positive earnings surprise when the company
releases its fourth quarter earnings on Feb 26, as it has a combination of
Earnings ESP of +2.64% and a Zacks Rank of 2.

Tupperware Brands Corporation (NYSE:TUP): This well-known kitchen and home
solution provider has been continuously hitting its all-time highs, touching
$76.35 on Jan 31. Also, earnings estimates for this Zacks Rank #2 stock have
been moving higher. Over the last 60 days, the stock witnessed a 3.1% upward
estimate revision for 2013 as the majority of the analysts were in agreement.
It has delivered positive earnings surprises over the last 4 consecutive
quarters with an average beat of 4.5%.

National Health Investors Inc. (NYSE:NHI): It has been hitting rolling
all-time highs and recently reached the highest mark of $63.87. This
healthcare real estate investment trust (REIT) has seen its earnings estimate
for 2012 moving 1.6% higher over the last 90 days. It has also delivered
positive earnings surprises in 2 of the last 3 quarters. We are also confident
about a positive earnings surprise in the fourth quarter as it has a favorable
combination of Earnings ESP of +2.41% and a Zacks Rank of 2.

You may also consider a few other all-time high hitting stocks, including
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) with a Zacks Rank #2 and Access
National Corp. (Nasdaq:ANCX) with a Zacks Rank #1.

Don't Wait for a Dip

Don't mix the traditional value investing perception of waiting for a dip
while following this strategy. These stocks may not give you a chance to enter
on a dip. In fact, a significant reversal is a hint for staying away from
buying them.

Also, it is safe to select stocks that have been logging a number of new
highs. Actually, this implies that these have gained momentum, which will help
them fly higher.

Buy, wait and watch how high the stocks can fly!

About Zacks is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed
in 1978 by Len Zacks. The company continually processes stock reports issued
by 3,000 analysts from 150 brokerage firms. It monitors more than 200,000
earnings estimates, looking for changes.

Then when changes are discovered, they're applied to help assign more than
4,400 stocks into five Zacks Rank categories: #1 Strong Buy, #2 Buy, #3 Hold,
#4 Sell, and #5 Strong Sell. This proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks
Rank, continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best
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Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors
should always research companies and securities before making any investments.
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