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Home Prices Extend Gains According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices



Home Prices Extend Gains According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

PR Newswire

NEW YORK, Jan. 29, 2013

NEW YORK, Jan. 29, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Data through November 2012, released
today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller^1 Home Price Indices,
the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed home prices rose 4.5% for the
10-City Composite and 5.5% for the 20-City Composite in the 12 months ending
in November 2012.

In the 12 months ended in November, prices rose in 19 of the 20 cities and
fell in New York.  In 19 cities prices rose faster in the 12 months to
November than in the 12 months to October; Cleveland prices rose at the same
pace in both time periods.  Phoenix led with the fastest price rise – up 22.8%
in 12 months as it posted its seventh consecutive month of double-digit annual
returns.

In November 2012, the 10- and 20-City Composites posted respective annual
increases of 4.5% and 5.5%, and monthly declines of 0.2% and 0.1%.

"The November monthly figures were stronger than October, with 10 cities
seeing rising prices versus seven the month before." says David M. Blitzer,
Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "Phoenix and San
Francisco were both up 1.4% in November followed by Minneapolis up 1.0%. On
the down side, Chicago was again amongst the weakest with a drop of 1.3% for
November.

"Winter is usually a weak period for housing which explains why we now see
about half the cities with falling month-to-month prices compared to 20 out of
20 seeing rising prices last summer.  The better annual price changes also
point to seasonal weakness rather than a reversal in the housing market.
Further evidence that the weakness is seasonal is seen in the seasonally
adjusted figures: only New York saw prices fall on a seasonally adjusted basis
while Cleveland was flat.

Regional patterns are shifting as well. The Southwest – Las Vegas and Phoenix
– are staging a strong comeback with the Southeast -- Miami and Tampa close
behind.  The sunbelt, which bore the brunt of the housing collapse, is back in
a leadership position.  California is also doing well while the northeast and
industrial Midwest is lagging somewhat.

"Housing is clearly recovering. Prices are rising as are both new and existing
home sales. Existing home sales in November were 5.0 million, highest since
November 2009. New Home sales at 398,000 were the highest since June 2010.  
These figures confirm that housing is contributing to economic growth.  

As of November 2012, average home prices across the United States are back to
their autumn 2003 levels for both the 10-City and 20-City Composites. Measured
from their June/July 2006 peaks, the decline for both Composites is
approximately 30% through November 2012.  In November 2012, the recovery for
both Composites from their recent lows in early 2012 was approximately 8-9%.

In November 2012, 10 cities and both Composites posted negative monthly
returns. Atlanta, Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Minneapolis, Phoenix,
San Diego, San Francisco and Seattle were the ten MSAs to post positive
month-over-month returns.

In the context of monthly changes, Boston, Chicago and New York have fared the
worst – with more than six months of declining prices in the past 12 months.

More than 25 years of history for these data series are available, and can be
accessed in full by going to www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com. Additional
content on the housing market may also be found on S&P Dow Jones Indices'
housing blog: www.housingviews.com.

The table below summarizes the results for November 2012. The S&P/Case-Shiller
Home Price Indices are revised for the 24 prior months, based on the receipt
of additional source data.

                  November 2012 November/October October/September
Metropolitan Area Level         Change (%)       Change (%)        1-Year
                                                                   Change (%)
Atlanta           95.68         0.1%             -0.5%             7.6%
Boston            153.74        -0.9%            -1.4%             2.3%
Charlotte         115.41        -0.3%            -0.4%             5.1%
Chicago           113.35        -1.3%            -1.6%             0.8%
Cleveland         100.68        -0.8%            -0.6%             1.8%
Dallas            120.55        -0.1%            -0.7%             5.7%
Denver            134.50        0.4%             0.0%              7.8%
Detroit           80.33         -0.3%            0.9%              11.9%
Las Vegas         100.56        0.4%             2.8%              10.0%
Los Angeles       176.58        0.4%             0.6%              7.7%
Miami             151.13        0.8%             -0.2%             9.9%
Minneapolis       126.41        1.0%             -0.5%             11.1%
New York          162.86        -1.1%            -0.8%             -1.2%
Phoenix           124.16        1.4%             1.4%              22.8%
Portland          142.13        -0.2%            0.9%              6.7%
San Diego         163.58        0.9%             1.3%              8.0%
San Francisco     146.23        1.4%             0.7%              12.7%
Seattle           142.53        0.5%             -0.2%             7.4%
Tampa             133.77        -0.2%            -0.5%             6.8%
Washington        189.11        -0.6%            -0.8%             4.4%
Composite-10      158.28        -0.2%            -0.2%             4.5%
Composite-20      145.82        -0.1%            -0.2%             5.5%
Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and Fiserv
Data through November 2012

Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices have
published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally
adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P
Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the
headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price
indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.

A summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and
non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data can be found in the table below.

                    November/October Change (%) October/September Change (%)
Metropolitan Area   NSA            SA           NSA            SA
Atlanta             0.1%           1.6%         -0.5%          1.4%
Boston              -0.9%          0.1%         -1.4%          -0.3%
Charlotte           -0.3%          0.3%         -0.4%          0.4%
Chicago             -1.3%          0.1%         -1.6%          -0.7%
Cleveland           -0.8%          0.0%         -0.6%          0.2%
Dallas              -0.1%          0.8%         -0.7%          0.3%
Denver              0.4%           1.1%         0.0%           0.6%
Detroit             -0.3%          1.0%         0.9%           1.8%
Las Vegas           0.4%           1.0%         2.8%           2.4%
Los Angeles         0.4%           0.8%         0.6%           1.2%
Miami               0.8%           0.7%         -0.2%          0.4%
Minneapolis         1.0%           1.9%         -0.5%          0.5%
New York            -1.1%          -0.3%        -0.8%          -0.5%
Phoenix             1.4%           1.5%         1.4%           1.3%
Portland            -0.2%          0.6%         0.9%           0.9%
San Diego           0.9%           1.5%         1.3%           1.6%
San Francisco       1.4%           2.5%         0.7%           1.2%
Seattle             0.5%           1.1%         -0.2%          0.3%
Tampa               -0.2%          0.4%         -0.5%          0.1%
Washington          -0.6%          0.3%         -0.8%          0.0%
Composite-10        -0.2%          0.5%         -0.2%          0.5%
Composite-20        -0.1%          0.6%         -0.2%          0.6%
Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and Fiserv
Data through November 2012

About S&P Dow Jones Indices
S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies is the
world's largest, global resource for index-based concepts, data and research.
Home to iconic financial market indicators, such as the S&P 500^® and the Dow
Jones Industrial Average^SM, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC has over 115 years of
experience constructing innovative and transparent solutions that fulfill the
needs of institutional and retail investors. More assets are invested in
products based upon our indices than any other provider in the world. With
over 830,000 indices covering a wide range of assets classes across the globe,
S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC defines the way investors measure and trade the
markets. To learn more about our company, please visit www.spdji.com.

It is not possible to invest directly in an index. S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC,
Dow Jones, and their respective affiliates, parents, subsidiaries, directors,
officers, shareholders, employees and agents (collectively "S&P Dow Jones
Indices") does not sponsor, endorse, sell, or promote any investment fund or
other vehicle that is offered by third parties and that seeks to provide an
investment return based on the returns of any S&P Dow Jones Indices index.
This document does not constitute an offer of services in jurisdictions where
S&P Dow Jones Indices or its affiliates do not have the necessary licenses.
S&P Dow Jones Indices receives compensation in connection with licensing its
indices to third parties.

STANDARD & POOR'S and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's
Financial Services LLC.  "Dow Jones" is a registered trademark of Dow Jones
Trademark Holdings LLC ("Dow Jones").

For more information:

Dave Guarino
Communications
S&P Dow Jones Indices
dave_guarino@spdji.com
201-755- 5334

David Blitzer
Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee
S&P Dow Jones Indices
david_blitzer@spdji.com
917-376-1204

S&P Dow Jones Indices has introduced a new blog called HousingViews.com. This
interactive blog delivers real-time commentary and analysis from across the
Standard & Poor's organization on a wide-range of topics impacting residential
home prices, homebuilding and mortgage financing in the United States. Readers
and viewers can visit the blog at www.housingviews.com, where feedback and
commentary is certainly welcomed and encouraged.

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are published on the last Tuesday of
each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price
path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area
provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual
houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The
S&P/Case-Shiller

National U.S. Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing
within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price
indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly. The
S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 10 Home Price Index is a value-weighted average
of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 20
Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The
indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current
index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000
for a typical home located within the subject market.

These indices are generated and published under agreements between S&P Dow
Jones Indices and Fiserv, Inc.

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are produced by Fiserv, Inc. In
addition to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, Fiserv also offers home
price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and
state markets. The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just
a small subset of the broader data available through Fiserv.

For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please visit
www.spindices.com.

^1Case-Shiller^® and Case-Shiller Indexes^® are registered trademarks of
Fiserv, Inc.

SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices

Website: http://www.spdji.com
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