Fitch: Boeing's Guarantee of Boeing Capital Does Not Affect 'A/F-1' Ratings

  Fitch: Boeing's Guarantee of Boeing Capital Does Not Affect 'A/F-1' Ratings

Business Wire

NEW YORK -- January 23, 2013

Fitch Rating's long-term 'A' and 'F-1' short-term Issuer Default Ratings
(IDRs) for The Boeing Company (BA) are not affected by BA's new guarantee of
Boeing Capital Corporation's (BCC) outstanding public debt. A full list of
ratings is included at the end of this release. The Rating Outlook is Stable.
The ratings cover approximately $10.5 billion of debt ($7.9 billion at BA and
$2.6 billion at BCC).

Earlier today BA announced that BCC will suspend its separate reporting
obligations with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and BCC
will no longer file reports with the SEC as of the first quarter of 2013. BA
also announced the termination of its existing support agreement with BCC and
the establishment of a guarantee of BCC's outstanding public debt. Fitch does
not believe these changes, including the debt guarantee, materially affect
BA's consolidated credit profile and ratings, as discussed below.

Boeing Capital De-Registration and Strategic Shift

A main rationale for de-registering BCC is to reduce costs and improve
efficiency by eliminating the burden of filing a full set of documents with
the SEC.

In addition, Fitch believes the changes reflect BCC's successful strategic
shift which began in late 2003 to reduce its emphasis on portfolio growth and
increase its focus on facilitating third-party financing for its customers.

This strategic shift can be seen in BCC's financial profile over the past ten
years. Since the end of 2002 BCC's assets (net of cash) have declined from
approximately $12 billion to $4 billion and debt has gone from $9.5 billion to
$2.6 billion. BCC has not required net capital contributions from BA since
2003, and BCC has paid more than $2.5 billion in dividends to BA in the past
nine years. As of the end of September, BCC's assets net of cash accounted for
only 5% of BA's consolidated assets. BCC financed none of BA's commercial
airplane deliveries in the first nine months of 2012, although it looks like
there were three leases in the fourth quarter.

Credit Impact of Boeing's Guarantee of BCC's Debt

For several reasons, BA's guarantee of BCC's outstanding public debt is not a
material credit issue. The first reason is the steady reduction in BCC's size
and its strategic shift away from portfolio growth.

In addition, the substance of the BA-BCC relationship and the level of risk
residing with BA will change only modestly. Consistent with Fitch's ratings
linkages criteria, BCC's ratings have been linked with BA's ratings as a
result of factors such as the support agreement, close operational ties, and
shared credit facilities (under which BCC's borrowings would have been
guaranteed by BA). Importantly, BA also provides $1.5 billion (at Sept. 30,
2012) of asset guarantees covering $1.86 billion of BCC's portfolio, mostly
717 aircraft. Because of these factors, BA has been responsible for much of
the risk at BCC, and this will change only modestly because of the full
guarantee of BCC's debt.

Finally, BCC's portfolio quality has improved over the last year because
investment grade-rated Southwest Airlines purchased BCC's largest customer,
AirTran, and subsequently guaranteed AirTran's leases with BCC. Southwest,
AirTran, and BCC also reached an agreement with Delta Airlines to sublease 88
of AirTran's 717s, of which 78 are categorized as leases in BCC's portfolio
(representing 30% of BCC's portfolio). This sublease agreement matches
AirTran's current leases, and then extends for seven additional years.

Analytical Framework

Fitch previously focused its credit analysis on BA's financial results which
excluded BCC by accounting for it as an equity investment. Because BA will now
guarantee BCC's outstanding public debt, going forward Fitch's analysis will
focus on consolidated financial results, augmented with some credit metrics
using 'core debt' related to the company's manufacturing operations. This
'core debt' approach takes into account the different business profiles of
BA's manufacturing operations and financial operations.

What Could Trigger a Rating Action

Fitch recently affirmed the ratings for BA and BCC. Please see the press
release 'Fitch Affirms Boeing's Ratings at 'A/F1'; Outlook Stable' dated Jan.
17, 2013.

There could be a negative rating action if the current issues with the 787
program are not resolved in a timely manner or if the problems result in
material negative developments with the 787 program leading to delivery
delays, order cancellations, large additional costs, or inventory write-downs.
Large acquisitions, although not anticipated, could also negatively affect the
ratings, as could a shift in the cash deployment strategy away from debt
reduction. Given the risks with the 787 program, a positive rating action is
not likely in 2013.

Fitch rates BA and BCC as follows:

--Long-term IDR at 'A';

--Senior unsecured debt at 'A';

--Bank facilities at 'A';

--Short-term IDR at 'F1';

--Commercial paper programs at 'F1'.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'

Applicable criteria and related research

--'2013 Outlook: Global Aerospace and Defense' (Dec. 21, 2012);

--'Corporate Rating Methodology' (Aug. 8, 2012).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

2013 Outlook: Global Aerospace and Defense

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=697071

Corporate Rating Methodology

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=684460

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS.
PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK:
HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING
DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S
PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND
METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF
CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL,
COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM
THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Contact:

Boeing Company Contact:
Primary Analyst:
Craig Fraser, +1-212-908-0310
Managing Director
Fitch, Inc.
One State Street Plaza
New York, NY 10004
or
Secondary Analyst:
David Petu, +1-212-908-0280
Director
or
Committee Chairperson:
Jason Pompeii, +1-312-368-3210
Senior Director
or
Brian Bertsch, New York, +1 212-908-0549
brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com
 
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