Paramount Provides Update on Cavalier Energy Inc.: Probable

Paramount Provides Update on Cavalier Energy Inc.: Probable Reserves
Recognized for Hoole Project 
CALGARY, ALBERTA -- (Marketwire) -- 01/09/13 -- Paramount Resources
Ltd. ("Paramount") (TSX:POU) is pleased to announce that its
wholly-owned subsidiary Cavalier Energy Inc. ("Cavalier") has
received an updated independent evaluation of the Grand Rapids
formation in its 100 percent owned in-situ oil sands leases in the
Hoole area of Alberta (the "Hoole Lands"). 
The evaluation ascribed 93 million barrels of probable reserves with
a net present value (discounted at 10 percent) of $379 million to
Cavalier's initial 10,000 barrel per day in-situ SAGD oil sands
development covering approximately two sections of the Hoole Lands
(the "Hoole Project"). Over and above the aforementioned reserves,
the evaluation ascribed 719 million barrels of economic contingent
resources (best estimate) with a net present value (discounted at 10
percent) of $1.949 billion to the remaining approximate 54 sections
of Cavalier's Hoole Lands (the "Remaining Hoole Lands"). "The new
estimates further emphasize that the Hoole Lands are a significant
asset and the recognition of reserves is an important milestone for
Cavalier," stated William Roach, President and Chief Executive
Officer of Cavalier.  
The updated estimates and reclassification of Hoole Project volumes
from economic contingent resources to probable reserves follows
Cavalier's November 2012 regulatory applications to the Energy
Resources Conservation Board and Alberta Environment and Sustainable
Resource Development.  
Subject to receipt of regulatory approvals, the Hoole Project
schedule currently anticipates first steam in 2015 and the first full
year of production in 2016. It is expected that the Hoole Lands could
support a project of over 80,000 barrels per day by 2022.  
"This is another positive step forward for Paramount and the Cavalier
team," said Jim Riddell, President and Chief Operating Officer of
Paramount. 
Results of the updated evaluation of the Hoole Lands conducted by
McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. ("McDaniel"), effective as of
December 31, 2012, are summarized below. 


 
Hoole Project - Summary of Bitumen Reserves(1)                    
                                                                  
The evaluation ascribed total proved plus probable plus possible  
 reserves of 104 million barrels to the Hoole Project, implying a 
 recovery factor of approximately 65 percent in relation to the   
 assigned Discovered Exploitable Bitumen In Place(2) of 159       
 million barrels.                                                 
                                                            NPV of
                                                           Future 
                                                               Net
                                                        Revenue(7)
                                                       (discounted
                                           Reserves(6)     at 10%)
------------------------------------------------------------------
                                               (MMBbl)       ($MM)
Total Proved(3)                                      -           -
Probable Undeveloped(4)                             93         379
------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Proved Plus Probable                          93         379
Possible Undeveloped(5)                             11         146
------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Proved + Probable + Possible                 104         525
------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                            
(1) The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual         
    properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of    
    reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to effects of   
    aggregation.                                                            
(2) Discovered Exploitable Bitumen In Place is the estimated volume of      
    bitumen, as of a given date, which is contained in a subsurface         
    stratigraphic interval of a known accumulation that meets or exceeds    
    certain reservoir characteristics, such as minimum continuous net pay,  
    porosity and mass bitumen content. For the Hoole Project, the presence  
    of these characteristics is considered necessary for the commercial     
    application of known recovery technologies. There is no certainty that  
    it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources  
    from the Hoole Project.                                                 
(3) Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high    
    degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual     
    remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved         
    reserves.                                                               
(4) Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to
    be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual 
    remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of  
    the estimated proved plus probable reserves.                            
(5) Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to
    be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10 percent probability  
    that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of  
    proved plus probable plus possible reserves.                            
(6) Working interest volumes, before the deduction of royalties.            
(7) NPV means net present value and represents Cavalier's share of future   
    net revenue, before the deduction of income tax, from reserves in the   
    Grand Rapids formation within the Hoole Project. The calculation        
    considers such items as revenues, royalties, operating costs,           
    abandonment costs and capital expenditures. Royalties have been         
    calculated based on Alberta's Royalty Framework applicable to oil sands 
    projects. The calculation does not consider financing costs and general 
    and administrative costs. NPVs were calculated assuming natural gas is  
    used as a fuel for steam generation. Revenues and expenditures were     
    calculated based on McDaniel's forecast prices and costs as of January  
    1, 2013. The estimated net present values disclosed in this press       
    release do not represent fair market value.                             
                                                                            
Remaining Hoole Lands - Summary of Bitumen Resources                        
                                                                      NPV of
                                                                     Future 
                                                                         Net
                                                        Economic  Revenue(6)
                                                      Contingent (discounted
Classification/Level of Certainty           DEBIP(4)Resources(5)     at 10%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             (MMBbl)     (MMBbl)       ($MM)
High Estimate(1)                               1,656         903       2,982
Best Estimate(2)                               1,469         719       1,949
Low Estimate(3)                                1,167         511         946
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                            
(1) High Estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity
    of resource that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the    
    actual remaining quantities of resources recovered will meet or exceed  
    the high estimate. Those resources at the high end for the estimate     
    range have a lower degree of certainty (a 10 percent confidence level)  
    that the actual quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. 
(2) Best Estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that
    will be actually recovered. It is equally likely that the actual        
    remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best    
    estimate. Those resources that fall within the best estimate have a 50  
    percent confidence level that the actual quantities recovered will equal
    or exceed the estimate.                                                 
(3) Low Estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity
    of resources that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the     
    actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate.     
    Those resources at the low end of the estimate range have the highest   
    degree of certainty (a 90 percent confidence level) that the actual     
    quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.                 
(4) Discovered Exploitable Bitumen In Place is the estimated volume of      
    bitumen, as of a given date, which is contained in a subsurface         
    stratigraphic interval of a known accumulation that meets or exceeds    
    certain reservoir characteristics, such as minimum continuous net pay,  
    porosity and mass bitumen content. For the Remaining Hoole Lands, the   
    presence of these characteristics is considered necessary for the       
    commercial application of known recovery technologies. There is no      
    certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of 
    the resources from the Remaining Hoole Lands.                           
(5) Contingent Resources are those quantities of bitumen estimated, as of a 
    given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using
    established technology or technology under development, but are         
    classified as a resource rather than a reserve due to one or more       
    contingencies, such as the absence of regulatory applications, detailed 
    design estimates or near term development plans. There is no certainty  
    that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the       
    contingent resources. For the Remaining Hoole Lands, contingencies which
    must be overcome to enable the reclassification of bitumen contingent   
    resources as reserves include the finalization of plans for the         
    development, submission of a regulatory application and management's    
    intent to proceed evidenced by a development plan with major capital    
    expenditures. Economic Contingent Resources are those contingent        
    resources that are economically recoverable based on specific forecasts 
    of commodity prices and costs (based on McDaniel's forecast prices and  
    costs as of January 1, 2013). Volumes presented are working interest,   
    before the deduction of royalties.                                      
(6) NPV means net present value and represents Cavalier's share of future   
    net revenue, before the deduction of income tax, from the economic      
    contingent resources in the Grand Rapids formation within the Remaining 
    Hoole Lands. The calculation considers such items as revenues,          
    royalties, operating costs, abandonment costs and capital expenditures. 
    Royalties have been calculated based on Alberta's Royalty Framework     
    applicable to oil sands projects. The calculation does not consider     
    financing costs and general and administrative costs. NPVs were         
    calculated assuming natural gas is used as a fuel for steam generation. 
    Revenues and expenditures were calculated based on McDaniel's forecast  
    prices and costs as of January 1, 2013. The estimated net present values
    disclosed in this press release do not represent fair market value.     

 
The pricing assumptions used in the McDaniel evaluation can be found
at www.mcdan.com/pdf/20130101.pdf.  
More information pertaining to Cavalier, including its latest
corporate presentation, is available at the newly launched Cavalier
website at www.cavalierenergy.com and may also be accessed via the
Paramount website at www.paramountres.com.  
Paramount is a Canadian oil and natural gas exploration, development
and production company with operations focused in Western Canada.
Paramount's Class A Common Shares are listed on the Toronto Stock
Exchange under the symbol "POU". 
For further information on the Hoole Project specifically, or
Cavalier in general, please go to www.cavalierenergy.com or contact
William Roach. 
Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking Information:  
This news release contains certain forward-looking information under
applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking information
typically contains statements with words such as "anticipate",
"believe", "estimate", "expect", "plan", "intend", "propose", or
similar words suggesting future outcomes or an outlook. Forward
looking information in this news release includes, but is not limited
to: Estimated reserves and resources and the discounted net present
value of future net revenues from such reserves and resources
(including the forecast prices, costs and the timing of expected
production volumes and future development capital) and expected
production volumes from the Hoole Lands and the timing thereof.  
Such forward looking information is based on a number of assumptions
which may prove to be incorrect. The following assumptions have been
made, in addition to any other assumptions identified in this
document:  


 
--  Future crude oil, bitumen and natural gas prices and general economic
    and business conditions; 
--  The ability to obtain required capital to finance Cavalier's
    exploration, development and operations; 
--  The ability to obtain equipment, services, supplies and personnel in a
    timely manner to carry out its activities; 
--  The ability of Cavalier to successfully market its production; 
--  Estimates of input and labour costs for an oil sands project; 
--  Access to capital markets and other sources of funding; 
--  The ability to secure adequate product processing, transportation and
    storage; 
--  The ability to successfully apply oil sands technology and to capitalize
    on improvements thereto; 
--  The ability to achieve forecast production volumes, steam oil ratios,
    and capital and operating costs consistent with expectations; 
--  The timely receipt of required regulatory approvals and the scope of
    such approvals; 
--  Estimated timelines being met in respect of the development of the Hoole
    Lands; and 
--  Currency exchange and interest rates. 

 
Although Paramount and Cavalier believe that the expectations
reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable, undue
reliance should not be placed on them as neither Paramount nor
Cavalier can give any assurance that such expectations will prove to
be correct. Forward-looking information is based on current
expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of
risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ
materially from those anticipated by Paramount and Cavalier and
described in the forward-looking information. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to:  


 
--  Fluctuations in crude oil, bitumen and natural gas prices, foreign
    currency exchange rates and interest rates; 
--  The uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to future revenue,
    future production, costs and expenses and the timing thereof; 
--  The ability to secure adequate product processing, transportation and
    storage; 
--  The uncertainty and risks of exploration, development, drilling and the
    geology of bitumen; 
--  Operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing petroleum,
    and the timing thereof; 
--  The ability to obtain equipment, services, supplies and personnel in a
    timely manner; 
--  Potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in designing,
    developing and operating facilities; 
--  The uncertainty of reserves and resources estimates; 
--  The ability to obtain financing at an acceptable cost to meet current
    and future obligations including costs of anticipated projects; 
--  Potential lawsuits and regulatory actions; 
--  Changes to the status or interpretation of laws, regulations or
    policies; 
--  Changes in environmental laws including emission reduction obligations; 
--  The receipt, timing and scope of governmental or regulatory approvals; 
--  Changes in general business and economic conditions; 
--  Uncertainty regarding aboriginal land claims and co-existing with local
    populations; 
--  The effects of weather; 
--  The timing and cost of future abandonment and reclamation activities; 
--  Cleanup costs for business interruptions due to environmental damage and
    contamination; and 
--  The ability to enter into or continue leases. 

 
The foregoing list of risks is not exhaustive. Additional information
concerning these and other factors which could impact Paramount and
Cavalier are included in Paramount's most recent Annual Information
Form. Although Paramount believes that the expectations reflected in
such forward looking statements are reasonable, undue reliance should
not be placed on them as Paramount cannot give any assurance that
such expectations will prove to be correct. The forward-looking
statements in this news release are made as of the date hereof and,
except as required by applicable securities law, Paramount undertakes
no obligation to update publicly or revise such statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 
Contacts:
Paramount Resources Ltd.
J.H.T. (Jim) Riddell
President and Chief Operating Officer
403.290.3600 
Paramount Resources Ltd.
B.K. (Bernie) Lee
Chief Financial Officer
403.290.3600
www.paramountres.com
Contacts:
Cavalier Energy Inc.
William Roach
President & Chief Executive Officer
403.268.3940
www.cavalierenergy.com
 
 
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