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IHS: QUAD-CORE-EQUIPPED NOTEBOOK SHIPMENTS TO REACH 179M BY '16

     (The following press release from IHS was received by e-mail and was 
reformatted. The sender verified the statement.) 
Quad-Core Microprocessor Notebook Shipments Set to Nearly Quadruple in 2016      
El Segundo, Calif. (Nov. 28, 2012)—Notebook PCs during the next four years 
increasingly will adopt muscular quad-core microprocessors, with all types of 
models bulking up their computing power amid the rising competitive challenge 
posed by media tablets and smartphones. 
Shipments of notebook PCs configured with quad-core microprocessors will nearly 
quadruple from 2012 to 2016, according to an IHS iSuppli Compute Platforms 
Topical Report from information and analytics provider IHS (NYSE: IHS). 
Quad-core-equipped notebook shipments will reach 179 million units by 2016, 
making up 59 percent of all notebooks that year. That compares to 48 million 
units this year, representing 22 percent of all notebooks shipped in 2012. 
“The increase in notebooks’ computational capabilities through the use of 
quad-core microprocessors will play a critical role in PC makers’ efforts to 
remain competitive amid the onslaught of media tablets and smartphones,” said 
Peter Lin, senior analyst for compute platforms at IHS. “While notebooks have 
greater computing power than either tablets or smartphones, they have lost 
considerable clout as consumers flock to the flashier gadgets, especially 
products like the iPad from Apple. Notebook sales have suffered as a result, 
alarming companies throughout the PC supply chain.” 
Quad cores for the masses 
Much of the growth in notebook quad-core microprocessors will be driven by 
increasing penetration among value and mainstream notebooks—defined as those 
priced less than $700 and $1,200, respectively. These models are more 
underpenetrated in terms of quad-core adoption than the high-end notebooks, 
which are more powerful machines typically priced above $1,200. The figure 
attached shows the penetration of quad-core processors among these three 
segments of the notebook market from 2012 to 2016. 
Notebooks pump up their quads  
Featuring increased multitasking capability due to the division of tasks among 
its processors, quad-core microprocessors are much faster than dual-core 
counterparts, which currently prevail on the market. An appetite for 
increasingly detailed and high-definition media, along with the need to process 
data quickly, will help the faster uptake of quad-core microprocessors starting 
in 2014, IHS believes. And when a machine with quad-core microprocessors runs 
so-called multithreading software capable of utilizing all four cores at the 
same time, the results can be phenomenally faster speeds than in machines with 
dual-core equivalents. The effects are especially obvious in 3-D-intensive 
gaming. 
Quad cores find value in value notebooks 
Among value notebooks, quad-core processor penetration will grow from 13 
percent in 2012 to 68 percent in 2016. By then, value notebooks with older 
dual-core processors will amount to just 8 percent. 
The remaining 24 percent in 2016 will be split between models with either 
six-core or eight-core processors. 
No value notebooks with six- or eight-core capability will be available before 
2015, demonstrating how rare these are on the market. Even for the more 
powerful mainstream and performance models, six or eight-core processors will 
start appearing only in the next two years at very small percentages, before 
gaining greater traction in 2015 and 2016. 
For mainstream notebooks, quad-core processor penetration will climb from 28 
percent in 2012 to 49 percent in 2016. The penetration rate by 2016 for 
mainstream models is less than in the peak year of 2015—but only because 
six-core units move up in 2016. By then, there no longer will be any mainstream 
models with dual-core processors; all units will have processors that are 
quad-core or higher. 
The same pattern applies for performance notebooks, with quad-core penetration 
already at a high 41 percent in 2012. Penetration peaks in 2014 at 71 percent, 
after which performance models with six-core and eight-core units also make 
their appearance on the market, driving down quad-core market share. 
Other capabilities to show up in notebooks of the future 
As more notebook PCs become empowered with quad-core processing ability, a 
small portion of them will also be featuring built-in Blu-ray optical drives. 
Shipments of notebook PCs with Blu-ray disks will amount to 49 million units by 
2016, equivalent to 16 percent of all shipped notebooks by then. Those numbers 
compare to 14 million units by the end of this year, or 6 percent of the total 
notebook market. 
The rise in Blu-ray-equipped notebooks will be due to two factors—the continued 
reduction in the costs of optical disk drives on the one hand; and the growing 
acceptance of high-definition movie formats on the other. The Blu-ray 
penetration rate among notebooks will climb even though consumers now favor 
video downloads to ever-bigger hard drives, as well as streaming direct from 
video sources. If not for those factors, Blu-ray adoption in notebooks would be 
even higher. 
All notebooks of the future will also be running 64-bit operating systems. 
Fully 100 percent of PCs—notebooks and desktops alike—will have the capability 
by 2016, equivalent to some 434 million units. This compares to 68 percent by 
the end of 2012, or 233 million units. 
For more information, please contact: 
Jonathan Cassell
Senior Manager, Editorial
jonathan.cassell@ihs.com
Direct: + 1 408 654 1714
Mobile: + 408 921 3754 
Or 
IHS Media Relations
press@ihs.com
+1 303 305 8021 
(kgt)NY 
 
 
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