Mosaic Updates Fiscal Second Quarter 2013 Guidance

              Mosaic Updates Fiscal Second Quarter 2013 Guidance

PR Newswire

PLYMOUTH, Minn., Nov. 13, 2012

PLYMOUTH, Minn., Nov. 13, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- In advance of upcoming investor
conferences, The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS) announced today an update of the
near-term price and volume guidance, as well as an update of the Company's
full year effective tax rate guidance.

Since the Company announced its fiscal second quarter guidance on October 2,
2012, international crop nutrient market demand has weakened, primarily as a
result of distributors delaying purchases to avoid price risk. The Company
believes this demand is simply delayed, but that sales volumes may not pick up
until calendar 2013.

"The long-term positive outlook for crop nutrient demand has not changed; high
commodity prices are driving record farm returns and making our products more
affordable than ever before. These strong fundamentals are expected to drive
record global phosphate and potash shipments in calendar 2013," said Jim
Prokopanko, President and Chief Executive Officer. "In the short term,
however, we are seeing lower than expected shipments to the export market, in
spite of very strong demand in North America for the fall application season.
As a result, we have lowered our volume guidance for both the Phosphates and
Potash segments in the second fiscal quarter of 2013 while also tightening the
price forecasts to the upper end of the previously announced ranges."

In potash, the delay in signing long-term supply contracts with China and
India has resulted in weakening price expectations, leading other
international buyers to delay purchases to avoid price risk. The midpoint of
the Company's previous guidance for second quarter potash volumes of 1.6 to
1.9 million tonnes already excluded shipments to China and India. The current
guidance range of 1.3 to 1.4 million tonnes reflects lower near-term demand in
other international countries as well. In part because of the decline in
international shipments and changes in product mix, our realized price
expectations are now at the high end of the prior range, at $435 to $450 per
tonne.

In phosphates, international distributors' cautious sentiment with respect to
potash is spilling over as buyers are avoiding phosphate price risk, and
delaying purchases in spite of low reported producer inventories. The Company
has lowered second quarter volume guidance to 2.9 to 3.1 million tonnes from
3.0 to 3.4 million tonnes. Realized prices are expected to be in the upper end
of the prior range, at $535 to $550 per tonne.

Additionally, the Company will decrease the amount of unrecognized tax
benefits reported on the balance sheet by approximately $200 million in the
second fiscal quarter, due to the resolution of tax audit activity. As a
result, the Company now expects its effective tax rate for full year fiscal
2013 to be in the mid-teens, including the impact of this benefit, and in the
mid 20 percent range for the second half of fiscal 2013.

The Company continues to expect the gross margin rate for phosphates to be
approximately flat with the first fiscal quarter. Assuming no benefit from
foreign exchange in the potash segment cost of goods sold, low operating rates
will continue to pressure the gross margin rate in the second quarter,
currently expected to be in the low to mid 40 percent range.

All other guidance is unchanged.

Larry Stranghoener, Mosaic's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial
Officer, will discuss the updated guidance and other items when he presents at
the Dahlman Rose & Co. Global Metals, Mining & Materials Conference in New
York City on Wednesday, November 14, at 9:20 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. The
presentation will also be webcast on Mosaic's website at
www.mosaicco.com/investors.

About The Mosaic Company

The Mosaic Company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of
concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Mosaic is a single source
provider of phosphate and potash fertilizers and feed ingredients for the
global agriculture industry. More information on the Company is available at
www.mosaicco.com.

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements include,
but are not limited to, statements about future financial and operating
results. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations
of The Mosaic Company's management and are subject to significant risks and
uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to
the predictability and volatility of, and customer expectations about,
agriculture, fertilizer, raw material, energy and transportation markets that
are subject to competitive and other pressures and economic and credit market
conditions; the level of inventories in the distribution channels for crop
nutrients; changes in foreign currency and exchange rates; international trade
risks; changes in government policy; changes in environmental and other
governmental regulation, including greenhouse gas regulation, implementation
of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's numeric water quality standards
for the discharge of nutrients into Florida lakes and streams or possible
efforts to reduce the flow of excess nutrients into the Gulf of Mexico;
further developments in judicial or administrative proceedings; difficulties
or delays in receiving, increased costs of or challenges to necessary
governmental permits or approvals or increased financial assurance
requirements; resolution of global tax audit activity; the effectiveness of
the Company's processes for managing its strategic priorities; adverse weather
conditions affecting operations in Central Florida or the Gulf Coast of the
United States, including potential hurricanes or excess rainfall; actual costs
of various items differing from management's current estimates, including,
among others, asset retirement, environmental remediation, reclamation or
other environmental regulation, or Canadian resources taxes and royalties;
accidents and other disruptions involving Mosaic's operations, including brine
inflows at its Esterhazy, Saskatchewan potash mine and other potential mine
fires, floods, explosions, seismic events or releases of hazardous or volatile
chemicals, as well as other risks and uncertainties reported from time to time
in The Mosaic Company's reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the
forward-looking statements.

SOURCE The Mosaic Company

Website: http://www.mosaicco.com
Contact: Media, Rob Litt, The Mosaic Company, +1-763-577-6187,
rob.litt@mosaicco.com; Investors, Laura Gagnon, The Mosaic Company,
+1-763-577-8213, investor@mosaicco.com
 
Press spacebar to pause and continue. Press esc to stop.