The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights:Kroger, Wal-Mart Stores, Whole Foods Market, SIRIUS XM Radio and Liberty Media
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights:Kroger, Wal-Mart Stores, Whole Foods Market,
SIRIUS XM Radio and Liberty Media
PR Newswire
CHICAGO, June 15, 2012
CHICAGO, June 15, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Zacks.com announces the list of stocks
featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts
discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.
Stocks recently featured in the blog include The Kroger Company
(NYSE:KR),Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT), Whole Foods Market Inc.
(Nasdaq:WFM),SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (Nasdaq:SIRI) and Liberty Media Corp.
(Nasdaq:LMCA).
(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20101027/ZIRLOGO)
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Here are highlights from Thursday's Analyst Blog:
Kroger Beats, Ups Outlook
The Kroger Company (NYSE:KR), one of the largest grocery retailers, recently
posted better-than-expected first-quarter 2012 results. The quarterly earnings
of 78 cents a share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 72 cents, and rose
11.4% from 70 cents earned in the prior-year quarter. Share repurchase
activities provided cushion to the bottom line.
Healthy results prompted management to raise their outlook. The
Cincinnati-based company now expects fiscal 2012 earnings between $2.33 and
$2.40 per share, up from a range of $2.28 to $2.38 forecasted earlier.
The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2012 is $2.32 per share.
Consequently, following an upbeat guidance, we could witness a correction in
the Zacks Consensus Estimates in the coming days, with analysts revising their
estimates to better align with the company's earnings outlook.
Total revenue (including fuel center sales) climbed 5.8% to $29,064.8 million
from the prior-year quarter, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$29,194 million.
Excluding fuel center sales, total revenue rose 4.3% and identical supermarket
sales (stores that are open without expansion or relocation for five full
quarters) climbed 4.2% to $21,652.7 million.
Kroger, which faces stiff competition from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) and
Whole Foods Market Inc. (Nasdaq:WFM), reiterated its identical supermarket
sales (excluding fuel) growth guidance of 3% to 3.5% for fiscal 2012,
including the anticipated adverse impact from prescription drugs coming off
patent.
Including fuel center sales, identical supermarket sales jumped 5.5% to
$26,100.6 million. We believe that Kroger's dominant position enables it to
sustain top-line growth, expand store base, and boost market share.
Kroger's customer-centric business model provides a strong value proposition
to consumers. It is well positioned to continue its growth momentum primarily
through identical supermarket sales growth.
However, Kroger is not immune to the tough economic environment. The
intensifying price war among grocery stores to lure budget-constrained
consumers may adversely impact Kroger's sales and margins.
Kroger ended the first quarter with cash of $190.7 million, temporary cash
investments of $320.4 million, and total debt of $8,105.9 million, reflecting
a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 66.6%, and shareholders' equity of $4,067.3
million. Net debt increased $662.1 million from the prior-year.
Trailing-twelve months' net total debt to EBITDA ratio was 1.91 compared with
1.79 in the prior-year period.
Capital investment, exclusive of acquisitions and purchases of leased
facilities, aggregated $539.1 million for the quarter.
During the quarter, Kroger bought back 14.6 million shares for an aggregate
amount of $345.3 million. The company's healthy free cash flow generating
ability has facilitated it to return over $1.6 billion to shareholders via
dividends and share repurchases in the trailing four quarters.
The company's board also authorized a new $1 billion share buyback program
replacing the prior one, which was recently completed on June 12, 2012.
The company currently operates 2,425 supermarkets and multi-department stores
in 31 states under approximately 24 local banners. Currently, we have a
long-term 'Outperform' recommendation on the stock. However, Kroger's shares
maintain a Zacks #3 Rank that translates into a short-term 'Hold' rating.
Still Neutral on SIRIUS XM Radio
We reaffirm our long-term Neutral recommendation on SIRIUS XM Radio Inc.
(Nasdaq:SIRI). The first quarter of 2012 financial results were mostly in line
with the Zacks Consensus Estimates. This improved performance was mainly due
to strong management execution on the back of rising auto sales. In the last
quarter, the company achieved several operating milestones including a record
high net subscriber additions, massive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow
generation, and further penetration in the auto sector.
Management predicted that this momentum will further intensify in the rest of
fiscal 2012 and accordingly projected a healthy financial outlook. We believe
the introduction of Satellite Radio 2.0 and price increase will boost the
company's financials going forward. However, SIRIUS XM is currently facing a
hostile takeover bid from Liberty Media Corp. (Nasdaq:LMCA). We will closely
monitor this development and believe the stock is fairly valued at this stage.
SIRIUS XM has a very strong business relationship with original equipment
manufacturers. The company owns an extensive satellite network, covering the
whole U.S. that provides audio contents through more than 170 channels. SIRIUS
XM added 404,596 net new subscribers in the first quarter of 2012. This
astonishing net subscriber addition helps SIRIUS XM to end the previous
quarter with a record high total subscriber base of 22,297,420, up 8.4% year
over year.
Payment category wise, Self-Pay subscriber was 18,208,090 while Paid
Promotional subscriber was 4,089,330. The most important fact is that the
Self-Pay subscriber net addition in the previous quarter increased 147.7% year
over year to 299,348. The previous quarter was the best one with respect to
net subscriber addition in the company's history.
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