Global Transportation & Logistics Conference Issue
NEW YORK, March 21 /PRNewswire/ -- Three leading analysts and sixteen
members of top management examine the Global Transportation & Logistics
sectors in this special 72-page ING Barings Global Transportation & Logistics
Conference Issue available at http://www.twst.com/info71.htm or by calling The
Wall Street Transcript (212-952-7433).
In a vital review of this sector for investors and industry professionals,
this 72-page issue features:
1) Airline Stocks -- In an in-depth Analyst Interview (4,800 words)
Raymond Neidl, Director and Equity Research Analyst at ING Barings, discusses
performance of airline stocks in 1999, the major concerns for the industry in
2000, niche company stocks and offers specific stock recommendations.
Neidl comments on the performance of airline stocks in 1999: "In 1999
airline stocks began getting softer a little bit earlier than usual, in late
April, because the airlines started bringing on a lot of new capacity for the
Neidl declares, "Southwest (NYSE: LUV) thinks it will exceed 25% in 2000.
As automation grows, it will create big economies of scale for the airlines.
Eventually the airlines are not only going to use the carrot, but they're
going to introduce the stick. Delta (NYSE: DAL) tried that already; it didn't
work, but there are ways that it can be introduced where you'll see airlines
increasingly putting penalties on people who don't use the Internet or a Web
site for e-tickets."
Neidl remarks on the move of many airlines to make coach seating more
comfortable, "It will reduce capacity in the industry when American gets all
the seats reconfigured. They're going to eliminate 7,200 seats from their
fleet, equaling about 6.4% of their seats. Basically American (NYSE: AMR) was
planning on growing their ASMs this year by about 3%. I think this is a
positive for the industry. Now, American was reacting to a program that
United (NYSE: UAL) had put in, where they were increasing the seating pitch in
the front of their coach section, and trying to assign their frequent fliers
and their full-fare passengers to that. American decided not to go that route
because it would be just too complicated, and would result in hurt feelings if
one coach passenger was given more space and another coach passenger less."
Neidl states, "I just changed my recommendation to a strong buy on AMR,
because they will be spinning Sabre (NYSE: TSG) off in March. And right now I
think buying AMR stock would be a cheap way of buying Sabre stock for its
future growth potential."
Neidl continues, "I still have a strong buy on Alaska (NYSE: ALK) pretty
much for the same reason I have a strong buy on Southwest Airlines. These are
two, you might say, niche carriers, but they're good-sized niche carriers,
particularly Southwest. So I think that airports all over the country are
clamoring for the service, and the only limits on their growth right now are
how fast they can obtain and integrate new aircraft into their fleet."
Neidl also states, "American Airlines just initiated a marketing
agreement. They can't do a code share because of a scope clause in their
pilots' contract that does not permit domestic code sharing. Both Northwest
Airlines (Nasdaq: NWAC) and Continental (NYSE: CAL) are also flowing traffic
across the Alaska Air system."
Speaking about small carriers, Neidl cites Amtran (Nasdaq: AMTR), which
"is a high-growth situation because they've got a basic franchise with their
charter business, which is how the carrier started, and with their military
business. This is a low-margin business, but it tends to be a more stable
type of business for them because it's on contract. Amtran has a niche in
Indianapolis, where they started out, and particularly at Midway Airport in
Neidl adds, "Basically Kitty Hawk (Nasdaq: KTTY) was a small freight
carrier operating B727s, very well run with lots of good controls. Overnight
they quadrupled their size by buying American International Airways, an
airline that was growing rapidly and had a good franchise but didn't have
adequate management controls, financial budgeting, or forecasting. Kitty Hawk
has had to bring on new management that is broader-based, has had to
restructure the company, has had to restructure the fleet, has had to do a lot
of things to get this big, undermanaged company in shape. I think it's
shaping up now."
"Atlas (NYSE: CGO), on the other hand, is a strong ACMI company. They
supply the plane, the crew, the insurance, and they do the maintenance, and a
third party contracts out for their services. Atlas Air is a true growth
story. It appears it can continue to grow, and we're looking for growth of
20% plus a year," Neidl says.
This 72-page ING Barings Issue also features:
2) Outlook for Transportation -- In an in-depth Analyst Interview
(4,800 words), Douglas Rockel, Managing Director with ING Barings, discusses
the impact of e-commerce on air freight companies, the express overnight
package market and the progress achieved by the railroad industry with their
3) Maritime Stocks -- In an in-depth Analyst Interview (4,700 words),
Stephen Gengaro, Vice President and Equity Research Analyst covering the
Maritime and Oil Services Industries at ING Barings discusses the impact of
rising fuel costs, aging fleets and the ramifications of the Erika oil spill.
4) CEO Interviews. Members of top management from sixteen Global
Transportation & Logistics firms examine the outlook for their firm and the
sector. Firms interviewed:
American Freightways, America West Holdings, Atlas Air, Celadon Group,
Delta Air Lines, Frontier Airlines, Kansas City Southern Railway, Kirby
Corporation, Kitty Hawk, Inc., Marine Transport Corporation, OMI Corporation,
Southwest Airlines, Stolt-Nielsen, S.A., Streamline.com, Teekay Shipping,
United Shipping & Technology.
To obtain a copy of this insightful 72-page issue call 212-952-7433 or see
The Wall Street Transcript is a premier weekly investment publication
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Available at http://www.twst.com TWST Online provides more than 1400 free
Interview excerpts. For recent recommendations by analysts and money managers
Do a free search of the TWST Archives at http://www.twst.com/archive.html
The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse the views of any interviewee
nor does it make stock recommendations.
SOURCE The Wall Street Transcript
/CONTACT: Peter McLaughlin of The Wall Street Transcript, 212-952-7433/
/Web site: http://www.twst.com/
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