Obama Pushes for $50 Billion for Automakers, Oversight Czar
By Matthew Benjamin and Julianna Goldman
Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- President-elect Barack Obama is
pushing Congress this year to approve as much as $50 billion to
save cash-starved U.S. automakers and appoint a czar or board to
oversee the companies, a move that would require President George
W. Bush's support, people familiar with the matter said.
Obama's economic advisers are now convinced that if General
Motors Corp. doesn't get a financial lifeline soon, it will have
to file for bankruptcy by the end of January. And if the
companies don't get almost $50 billion, Obama will be dealing
with the issue again by next summer.
Any czar or board would be patterned after the bailout of
Chrysler in 1979 and New York City in 1975. Advisers such as
former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker and former Treasury
Secretary Lawrence Summers are said to be telling Obama that the
cash is urgently needed now.
Congress would have to act in a lame-duck session that
begins next week. Obama would need Bush's backing to pass such a
sweeping and costly measure in part because Democrats don't have
enough votes to force a floor vote or override a veto. Obama also
would need strong support from auto-producing states such as
Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Wisconsin to pass such a
sweeping and costly measure.
Yet to be determined is whether most of the money would be
drawn from the $700 billion financial rescue package Congress
passed last month or from newly allocated funds.
Obama's Exception
By injecting himself into the talks about how to save
General Motors, Obama is making an exception to his decision to
steer clear of policy-making until he takes office.
The president-elect also wants the Federal Reserve to extend
emergency loans to General Motors, Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler
LLC, according to Obama aides who spoke on condition of
anonymity.
The failure of those companies would likely bring down
parts-makers, dealerships and suppliers in addition to inflicting
a deep psychological blow.
If the plan were to offer no strong guarantees against
layoffs it would likely draw fire from unions. But Obama advisers
have been persuaded that the impact on current workers and
retirees would be staggering if the companies went into
bankruptcy.
Any auto czar or committee would presumably have the job of
overseeing a restructuring of the auto industry.
`Too Big to Fail'
``The auto industry is too big to fail,'' said Nariman
Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Global Insight Inc. in
Lexington, Massachusetts. ``While the Obama administration can
wait until Jan. 20 to address other matters, on this one they
need to move quickly.''
Obama, 47, has repeatedly insisted there can only be ``one
president at a time.'' He is sending two representatives, former
Iowa Republican Rep. Jim Leach and former secretary of state
Madeleine Albright to this weekend's economic summit of leaders
of the Group of 20 nations in Washington rather than attend
himself.
GM risks going bust before year-end without help from
Washington. Shares of the biggest U.S. automaker reached a more
than six-decade low this week. The company said last week it may
run out of operating cash by the end of this year.
``We've not being prescriptive in what would be acceptable in
terms of the loans,'' said GM spokesman Tony Cervone, who said
he's not aware of the government's plans.
Chrysler spokesman Shawn Morgan said the company is in
discussions with the Obama transition team and members of
Congress.
``We look forward to a discussion addressing the immediate
liquidity crisis facing the industry, as well as the
competitiveness of the auto industry,'' Morgan said.
``We need to wait and see what comes from Congress,'' said
Ford spokesman Mike Moran.
Bankruptcy Risk
Ford and Chrysler both likely would be forced into
bankruptcy eventually if GM were to fail, Mark Oline, a Fitch
Inc. credit analyst, said in an interview.
Enthusiasm among Obama's economic advisers for a concerted
rescue for the auto industry was sparked at a Nov. 7 meeting in
Chicago, according to person familiar with the meeting. Michigan
Governor Jennifer Granholm also pressed for additional aid.
A GM bankruptcy could send the U.S. jobless rate as high as
9.5 percent, up from a 14-year high of 6.5 percent in October,
and produce a recession comparable in length to that of 1980-82,
according to Behravesh.
``If it does collapse, it could make the recession deeper
and longer,'' he said.
Pressed Bush
Obama, an Illinois senator, pressed Bush on the urgency of
an assistance package during their Nov. 10 meeting at the White
House, Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs told reporters this week.
Still, the Bush administration so far has opposed bailing
out the carmakers, and continues to resist the idea of using the
Troubled Asset Relief Program, the bank rescue which Congress
passed in early October, for any companies other than banks.
``The intent of the TARP was to deal with the financial
industry,'' Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who is
administering the program, said yesterday in a press conference.
``My focus is on the financial sector, getting credit going,
getting lending going.''
Congressional Democrats, meanwhile, are pushing for
legislation to help the automakers. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
called for congressional action, saying failure by one or more of
the big U.S. automakers would have a ``devastating impact'' on
the U.S. economy. Assistance must be conditioned on ``rigorous
independent oversight'' of carmakers and restrictions on
executive compensation, she said in a statement.
``A collapse of the American automobile industry would be
the worst possible thing that could happen at a time when we are
already weakened,'' Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, said in an
interview on Bloomberg Television.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Matthew Benjamin in Washington at
mbenjamin2@bloomberg.net
;
Julianna Goldman in Washington at
jgoldman6@bloomberg.net
.
Last Updated: November 13, 2008 00:01 EST