Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Chicago-area business unexpectedly
grew at an accelerated pace in February, as orders and employment
picked up, a survey of executives in the manufacturing region
found. A related measure of prices fell.
The National Association of Purchasing Management-Chicago
said its Business Barometer rose to 62.7 this month, the second
straight increase, from 62.4 in January. The median forecast from
a Bloomberg News survey of 47 economists called for the index to
fall to 60.5.
Numbers higher than 50 mean growth, and February is the 22nd
consecutive month of expansion. This month's reading also remains
close to the 16-year high of 67.7 in October. Business investment
in new equipment, along with military spending, is fueling demand
for manufactured goods such as aircraft instruments from Rockwell
Collins Inc.
``We saw good consumer spending in the second half of last
year, and business spending on equipment is very strong,'' said
Robert Mellman, an economist at J.P. Morgan Securities in New
York, who forecast a 62. `Business spending is definitely
accelerating.''
Orders increased at a faster pace, and Chicago-area
employment grew at the fastest pace since November. A measure of
prices paid by manufacturers fell for the third consecutive
month, with fewer reporting price increases and a growing share
reporting that prices for materials fell.
Orders, Employment, Prices
The new orders gauge rose to 68.5 in February from 65.8 in
January. The employment index rose to 57.7 in February from 52.8
in January. A reading higher than 50 means more companies said
they are adding than cutting workers.
The Chicago index of prices paid fell to 70.1, the lowest
since February 2004, from 76.5. The price index reached a 16-year
high of 88.9 in November. The Chicago inventories index held at
53.2.
Investors and economists watch the Chicago report for clues
about the direction of U.S. manufacturing. The Chicago
metropolitan area has the second-highest number of factory
workers in the U.S. after Los Angeles. The Federal Reserve Bank
of Chicago's region, which includes Indiana and Michigan as well,
produces 40 percent of U.S. motor vehicles, 35 percent of its
steel and almost half of its farm equipment.
Previous indicators suggest that manufacturing was on solid
footing this month.
The inventory-sales ratio, a measure of how long supplies
may last at the current level of demand, returned at the end of
2004 to a record low of 1.3 months set in March and repeated
during the year, the Commerce Department said Feb. 15.
Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, an
indication of future business investment, rose 2.9 percent in
January after rising 3.3 percent in December, the Commerce
Department said last week.
Orders `Continuously Up'
A report on U.S. manufacturing is due tomorrow. Economists
expect the Institute for Supply Management's national index to
rise to 56.9 this month from 56.4 in January, according to the
median of 56 estimates. The report will be released tomorrow at
10 a.m. Washington time.
Orders ``have been continuously up for about the last
year,'' Clayton Jones, chairman and chief executive of Rockwell
Collins Inc., said Feb. 24 in an interview. ``The economy is in
good shape.''
Rockwell makes cockpit instruments for Boeing Co. 737
jetliners and F-15 fighters. The Cedar Rapids, Iowa, company
expects 2005 profit to rise more than 20 percent and sales 12
percent with increased demand for business jets and cargo planes.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Joe Richter in Washington at
Jrichter1@bloomberg.net