Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Iraqi lawmakers today plan to vote on
a new constitution, paving the way for an October referendum.
Leaders of the Sunni Muslim minority have refused to endorse the
document, saying it will divide the country along ethnic and
religious lines.
The charter, formally submitted to the 275-strong National
Assembly on Aug. 22, would replace the country's Transitional
Administrative Law, which was put in place a year after the March
2003 U.S.-led war that toppled Saddam Hussein.
Members of the constitutional-drafting committee had since
May to come up with a document that would unite Iraq and represent
the interests of its 26 million people. They stumbled on issues
including federalism, the division of natural resources such as
oil, and the role of Islam in making laws.
The constitution will be the basis for a new government that
the U.S. wants to take a greater role in battling a Sunni-led
insurgency, easing pressure on the U.S. military.
Kurds and Shiites swept the Jan. 30 ballot for a parliament
and together hold the majority required to push the document
through without Sunni approval. That risks energizing militants
and may delay the political process as Sunnis have the option of
rejecting it in an Oct. 15 referendum, Sajjan Gohel, a security
analyst at the London-based Asia Pacific Foundation, said.
``The constitution is seen as critical for the rebuilding of
Iraq as a nation as well as the development of civil society and
democratic institutions,'' Gohel said. ``It's for this reason that
it's essential for there to be consensus. If it can't be resolved
it will significantly hamper the rebuilding process and feed into
the insurgency.''
Woo Sunnis
Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari will hold last-minute talks
in a bid to persuade Sunnis to back the document Oct. 15.
Sunnis, who account for 15 to 25 percent of the population,
oppose three provisions including a denunciation of Saddam
Hussein's Sunni-dominated Baath Party, an outline of the central
government's power and a plan for a federal system for all Iraq
that they say they won't agree to.
``We're determined to safeguard the unity of Iraq,'' Adnan al-
Dulaimi, a leading Sunni political figure said yesterday at a news
conference in the capital, Baghdad, carried live by al-Jazeera
television. ``We'll stand, with all our wisdom and strength,
against anyone who wants to divide Iraq.''
Article 114 of the draft defines a region as one or more
provinces that can choose by referendum to create a larger, more
powerful region. The wishes of central government, controlled by
Shiites, will still hold sway, according to article 118.
Civil Breakdown
``This is a recipe for civil breakdown even state collapse,
the federal system in Iraq has to be territorially, not
ethnically, based'' Asia Pacific's Gohel said. ``Otherwise, a
socio-political environment may be created in which citizens'
commitment to the 'general good' is gradually transferred to the
'good' of the narrower community.''
Protected by a U.S.-led air force, Kurds have lived
autonomously in the three northern provinces of Arbil, Duhuk and
Sulaymaniyah, known as Kurdistan, since 1991.
They're determined to keep that autonomy and expand it to
include the oil-rich city of Kirkuk. Shiite leader Abd al-Aziz al-
Hakim this month said there was a need for a semi-independent
Shiite state in the south, which also has oil. That would leave
Sunnis with the central and western regions.
The Sunni community isn't alone in its rejection of the
constitution. Secular Iraqis, and some Shiites, also fear for the
unity of Iraq and say the constitution has provisions in it that
may lead to domination by Shiite clerics and harm the rights of
women, according to Rashid Khalidi, the Edward Said professor of
Arab studies at Columbia University in New York.
Referendum
The constitution may be defeated if it's rejected in the
October referendum by two-thirds of the voters in three of 18
provinces, under the interim law. Sunnis form the majority in the
western al-Anbar province and in Salahuddin, northwest of Baghdad
where Saddam Hussein was born. Many others live in the ethnically
divided regions around the northern cities of Mosul and Baquba.
The Pentagon announced it is sending 1,500 paratroopers from
the 82nd Airborne Division to Iraq to provide security for the
referendum and the subsequent December national elections, the
Associated Press reported.
Sunni political and religious leaders say they're doing
everything they can to encourage the community to participate and
say ``no.'' The Sunni Iraqi Islamic Party, for example, is handing
out flyers and in Fallujah, a Sunni city, imams have told their
congregations that it's a religious duty to take part, according
to al-Jazeera television.
``This really is a question of to be or not to be for Iraq,''
Columbia's Khalidi said in an interview.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Caroline Alexander in London at
Calexander1@bloomberg.net