Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Copper reached a record high in
London after Japan, the world's third-largest user, reported a
bigger-than-expected increase in industrial production, signaling
that demand for the metal may rise.
Copper for delivery in three months was up $41, or 1.3
percent, to $3,238 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange at
10:36 a.m. It reached $3,275, the highest since the contract
began trading in its current form in June 1986. The yen rallied,
making copper cheaper to buy with the Japanese currency.
``Japan's industrial production in January is encouraging
and that's driving copper higher,'' Liu Songtao, a trader at Dalu
Futures Co., said from Beijing. ``If the dollar continues to
slide, it's very likely we'll see copper trading at $3,500.''
Industrial production increased 2.1 percent from December,
seasonally adjusted, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and
Industry said. Global copper use rose 7 percent last year to a
record 16.4 million tons because of higher demand from China and
Russia, exceeding new supplies by 579,000 tons, the U.K.-based
World Bureau of Metal Statistics said in a report.
The benchmark copper contract in London had climbed as high
as $3,260 on Feb. 22, topping a record set in January 1989.
Prices for the metal, used in electrical wiring and power cables,
have surged 41 percent since the start of last year.
Yen Rallies
The yen rose to 104.32 against the dollar, from 105.23 on
Feb. 25, according to electronic currency trading system EBS. The
euro was up 0.1 percent against the dollar to $1.3257.
``Copper is more a technical market than a fundamental
market in recent weeks,'' said Kevin Tuohy, a trader at Man
Financial in London. Funds are buying ``on the expectation that
they are going to benefit from a lower dollar.''
Most of the five other metals traded on the LME followed
copper higher. Aluminum, turned into beverage cans and car parts,
rose $23, or 1.2 percent, to $1,914 a ton. It had fallen for two
days from a 10-year high of $1,987.50. Zinc, used to coat steel,
jumped $16, or 1.2 percent, to $1,396, lead climbed $5, or 0.5
percent, to $950 and tin was unchanged at $8,375.
Shares of BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto Group, which own stakes
in the world's two largest copper mines, rose in London as the
companies sought price increases for iron ore sold to
steelmakers. Melbourne-based BHP, the world's biggest mining
company, was up 11 pence, or 1.4 percent, to 779 pence. London-
based Rio, the No. 3 mining company, rose 18 pence, or 1 percent,
to 1,845 pence.
Rio and Brazil's Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the world's largest
iron-ore producer, last week won price increases of 71.5 percent
from Nippon Steel Co., Japan's biggest steelmaker.
Electronics Gains
Japan's manufacturing gain was led by electronics companies
such as Toshiba Corp., which use copper in wiring and components,
and exceeded the median forecast of 1.5 percent from 26
economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Industrial output rose 3.1
percent in South Korea, Asia's third-largest economy, the most in
more than a year, that nation's statistics bureau said.
Japan unexpectedly slipped into recession last year for the
fourth time since 1991 as export growth slowed and consumer
spending stalled. The economy shrank at an annual 0.5 percent
pace in the three months ended Dec. 31, the third quarter of
contraction.
China and the U.S. are the world's two largest copper
consumers. China's economy grew 9.5 percent last year and the
U.S. expanded 4.4 percent, the most since 1999. Russia's economy
grew 7.1 percent because of rising oil, natural gas and metals
prices, the government estimated on Feb. 2.
Draining Inventory
Consumers have relied on stored metal as production lags
demand. Inventory in LME warehouses has slid 88 percent since the
start of 2004 to 53,975 tons, less than two days' global use.
Mining companies like BHP, Chile's state-owned Codelco and
Phoenix-based Phelps Dodge Corp., the second-largest copper
producer, are boosting output from mines including Escondida in
Chile and Grasberg in Indonesia. Supplies from mines and scrap
will rise 8.7 percent this year to 17 million tons, narrowing the
gap with demand to 172,000 tons, Merrill Lynch & Co. forecast
this month.
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased
their net-long position in New York copper futures by 34 percent
in the week ended Feb. 22, according to U.S. Commodity Futures
Trading Commission data.
Speculative long positions, or bets prices will rise,
outnumbered short positions by 27,718 contracts on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, the Washington-
based commission said in its Commitments of Traders report.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Xiao Yu in Beijing at
yxiao@bloomberg.net .