Nov. 14 (Bloomberg) -- It was quite a spectacle to see the
party of Big Business summon executives of Big Oil to probe the
nature of Big Profits.
This congressional tomfoolery was organized at the behest
of Republican Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist on Oct. 27
following the release of oil companies' third-quarter profits.
Net income for the top five publicly traded energy
companies -- Exxon Mobil Corp., BP Plc, Royal Dutch Shell Plc,
Chevron Corp. and Total SA -- jumped 52 percent last quarter to
a combined $33.4 billion. Exxon's profit of $9.92 billion was an
oil-industry record and among the biggest for any company in
history.
So much money, so little access: You could see the senators
salivating. Profits the private sector might use for oil
exploration and development, investment in new refineries
(subject to strict regulation), research into energy-saving
technology and new jobs surely could be better spent on more
Bridges to Nowhere.
If this is how the Republican Congress is squandering its
majority status, no wonder the electorate wants to reinstate the
Democratic leadership in 2006 by a margin of 48 percent to 37
percent, the widest gap for either party in 11 years, according
to a Nov. 4-7 NBC/Wall Street Journal survey.
Much Ado About Nothing
Frist, whose descent into silliness began with his video
diagnosis of Terri Schiavo, wasn't the only Republican starring
in this theater of the absurd. Senator Pete Domenici, Republican
of New Mexico and Chairman of the Committee on Energy and
Natural Resources, was superb in the role of Wesley Mouch, Ayn
Rand's petty-bureaucrat-turned-economic-czar in ``Atlas
Shrugged.''
``The oil companies' witnesses owe the company an
explanation, and they owe it to us as those who represent the
people,'' Domenici said. ``I expect the witnesses to answer
whether you think your current profits are excessive and to talk
about what they intend to do with the reserves and the profit
accumulations that they have.''
No, Senator Domenici, the oil companies' witnesses don't
owe you anything. They are accountable to the shareholders and
indebted to the bondholders.
Domenici needed a refresher course -- ostensibly for his
average constituent back home-- on how prices are set in a
market economy.
``The price is set on the world market by willing buyers
and sellers, as to what willing sellers are willing to sell it
for and willing buyers are willing to pay for it,'' Exxon CEO
Lee Raymond explained.
Comedy of Errors
Clear? Not to the gentleman from New Mexico.
``I'm not sure my constituent is pleased with the answer,''
Domenici said. ``But nonetheless -- not unpleased; they don't
understand it.''
Perhaps I can be of help. Any attempt to interfere with the
market's ability to set prices has predictable results and
unintended consequences. Capping oil prices, for example, would
create shortages because it decreases the incentive to producers
and increases demand. It leads to the development of a black
market.
Taxing big bad oil's excess profits, on the other hand, may
appeal to consumers for whom higher gas and heating oil prices
are a huge burden. The reality may be somewhat different.
A windfall profits tax ``plays into voters' misperceptions
that the taxes don't fall on them,'' said Peter Van Doren, a
senior fellow at the libertarian Cato Institute in Washington
and editor of ``Regulation'' magazine. ``Most of the cost will
be passed on to consumers because demand for energy is so
inelastic. It's a sales tax from an economic point of view,
regardless of where it's paid.''
As You Like It
Such a tax would act as a wedge between producer and
consumer, with the difference going to the government. With the
government taking a share of the excess profits (how do you
define excess?), the companies' ``revenues are lower and the
incentives to produce go down,'' Van Doren said.
The public perception of oil companies as an automatic
profit machine turns out to be inaccurate. In an unpublished
paper by Van Doren and Cato senior fellow Jerry Taylor, the
authors found that over the last 33 years, ``the oil and gas
sector has been less profitable than the rest of the U.S.
economy'' as measured by return on investment.
What's more, the net profit margin of these companies has
barely exceeded the Standard & Poor's 500 Index average from
1993 though the second quarter of 2005 (5.97 percent versus 5.42
percent), Taylor and Van Doren found.
Measure for Measure
No matter how many times Congress has asked the Federal
Trade Commission to investigate price gouging (anti-competitive
behavior) on the part of oil companies, the FTC has found
``market factors to be the primary drivers of both price
increases and price spikes,'' Taylor and Van Doren said.
The Democrats at the Senate hearing were just as bad. After
harrumphing at the dismissal of her motion to swear in the
witnesses, California Senator Barbara Boxer got right down to
business with her class-warfare charts. The five oil company
executives, it seems, are paid much, much more in salary and
bonus than either the average U.S. worker or a minimum wage
employee.
Boxer's charts and line of questioning were overruled as
``publicity,'' and she was sent to the back of the class.
Democratic Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon tried to play
``gotcha'' with the executives, first getting them to admit the
tax incentives in this year's energy bill were unnecessary and
then trying to back them into a corner on the role of
speculation.
All's Well That Ends Well
If, as Exxon's Raymond once said, speculation accounts for
$20 of the current price of oil ($57.53 a barrel as of Nov. 11),
isn't speculation bad? Wyden asked. And shouldn't Congress try
to rein in that speculation ``in order to make markets work?''
Wyden's time was up before he could fit his other foot in
his mouth.
Surely someone on the two Senate committees conducting the
oil industry hearing must realize the endgame. Taxing excess
profits in good times, giving favored companies a helping hand
(subsidies), regulating the markets, setting prices: the Soviet
Union collapsed under the weight of such a system.
We have cataloged the human genome, conquered the mystery
of outer space and mastered the art of transmitting data bits
around the world in seconds. Yet we still can't resist the urge
to tinker with the invisible hand.
The grandstanding by Congress last week was great theater.
Any attempt to translate the investigation into high oil prices
into legislation to curb them will turn this comedy into
tragedy.
To contact the columnist on this story:
Caroline Baum in New York at
cabaum@bloomberg.net .