Paul Tudor Jones Says Now Is Time, Place for Gold as an Asset
Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) -- The time to hold gold is now as
faster inflation and increased purchases through exchange-traded
funds and by central banks boost demand amid stagnant mine
output, Paul Tudor Jones’s Tudor Investment Corp. said.
“I have never been a gold bug,” Jones, whose company
manages about $11.6 billion out of Greenwich, Connecticut, told
investors in an Oct. 15 letter, a copy of which was obtained by
Bloomberg News. “It is just an asset that, like everything else
in life, has its time and place. And now is that time.”
Gold futures gained 18 percent this year in New York and
reached a record $1,072 an ounce on Oct. 14, on concern that
near-zero interest rates and government spending will debase
currencies and spur inflation. Fund manager John Paulson
increased his bets on gold this year, while David Einhorn told
clients of his $5 billion Greenlight Capital Inc. hedge fund in
January he was buying gold for the first time.
The Federal Reserve has kept its target rate for overnight
loans among banks between zero and 0.25 percent since December
to help stimulate the economy. President Barack Obama increased
the nation’s marketable debt to an unprecedented $7.01 trillion
as the government borrows to revive growth. The U.S. economy,
the world’s biggest, expanded for the first time in more than a
year in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said today.
“As one would expect, rising inflation suggests higher
gold prices, especially when the Fed is perceived to be behind
the curve,” according to the letter. “Gold appears to be
cheap. In our view, gold’s value should increase as its scarcity
relative to printed currencies increases.”
Hedge Fund
Patrick Clifford, an outside spokesman for Tudor in New
York, confirmed the letter was sent to investors.
Tudor’s Tudor BVI hedge fund gained 14.9 percent this year
through the third quarter, according to the letter. Tudor
identified gold, emerging market equities denominated in local
currencies and commodity related stocks as among the most likely
assets to perform best.
As the metal’s price rallied to a record, so too have
bullion holdings in exchange-traded funds. Assets in the SPDR
Gold Trust, the biggest ETF backed by bullion, reached an all-
time high 1,134 metric tons on June 1, and were at 1,104.43 tons
as of yesterday, its Web site showed. Central banks were net
buyers in the second quarter for the first time since at least
2000, according to the World Gold Council.
While metal exploration expenditure has increased, mine
production has been “stagnant” the past decade and new output
is “marginal” in terms of available supplies, according to the
letter.
“Any incremental demand for gold must be met through sales
from current owners,” the company said in the letter. “They
just aren’t making that much of it anymore.”
To contact the reporter on this story:
Nicholas Larkin in London at
nlarkin1@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: October 29, 2009 12:56 EDT