U.S. Stocks Drop as S&P 500 Ends Streak of Seven Monthly Gains
Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks tumbled, ending a seven-
month streak of gains for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as
declines in consumer confidence and spending and the threat of a
CIT Group Inc. bankruptcy raised concern over the durability of
the economic recovery. The dollar and Treasuries gained, while
commodities retreated.
CIT, the commercial lender, plunged 24 percent as investor
Carl Icahn agreed to support its prepackaged bankruptcy plan.
Citigroup Inc. tumbled 5.1 percent on a report that banking
analyst Mike Mayo predicted a $10 billion writedown for this
quarter. American Express Co. and Walt Disney Co. slid as
Commerce Department data showed a drop in purchases and the
Reuters/University of Michigan sentiment index weakened. MetLife
Inc. lost 7.6 percent after a third straight quarterly loss.
“I’m well-spooked for the Halloween weekend,” said James
Paulsen, who helps oversee $375 billion as chief investment
strategist at Wells Capital Management in Minneapolis. “We can
talk about disappointing consumer confidence data. Bank charge-
offs are still happening. There’s a growing sense on the Street
that there’s got to be a pullback.”
The S&P 500 sank 2.8 percent, the most since July 2, to
1,036.19 at 4:05 p.m. in New York and wiped out yesterday’s 2.3
percent surge triggered by government data showing the economy
returned to growth following the worst slump in seven decades.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 249.85 points, or 2.5
percent, to 9,712.73 as all 30 of its stocks declined.
Surge of Orders
A surge of erroneous orders triggered computer problems at
the open of the New York Stock Exchange, causing quotes
on the Big Board and the NYSE Amex to be briefly interrupted.
About 12.1 billion shares changed hands on all U.S. exchanges,
27 percent more than the three-month average. The VIX, the
benchmark for U.S. stock options that is known as Wall Street’s
“fear gauge,” jumped the most in a year on demand for
protection from further losses. The VIX added 24 percent to
30.69, the highest since July 8.
The S&P 500 fell 2 percent in October to cap its first
monthly decline since February. The Dow was little changed in
the month.
Billionaire investor George Soros said the global economic
recovery is “liable to run out of steam” and a “double dip”
may follow in 2010 or 2011. He spoke in Budapest today, in a
lecture organized by the Central European University. Investor
Wilbur L. Ross Jr. told Bloomberg Radio the U.S. is in the
beginning of a “huge crash in commercial real estate.”
‘Wrong Direction’
“All of the components of real estate value are going in
the wrong direction simultaneously,” said Ross, one of nine
money managers participating in a government program to remove
toxic assets from bank balance sheets. “Occupancy rates are
going down. Rent rates are going down and the capitalization
rate -- the return that investors are demanding to buy a
property -- are going up.”
The advance yesterday ended four sessions of losses spurred
by growing concern that a rally of as much as 62 percent in the
S&P 500 since March 9 had outpaced the outlook for earnings and
economic growth. Today’s pullback came as the Commerce
Department figures also showed incomes were unchanged in
September. The report showed inflation was lower than the
Federal Reserve’s long-term projection, indicating policy makers
can keep rates low.
Equities also fell today as the consumer confidence data
signaled job losses may continue to restrain household spending.
The final Michigan index of consumer sentiment decreased to 70.6
from 73.5 in September, which was the highest in more than a
year.
Dollar, Yen Gain
The dollar and yen rose against most major currencies on
concern central banks around the world may be moving too fast to
scale back measures designed to haul their economies out of the
recession. Central banks are signaling they are ready to
withdraw stimulus measures even as economic reports show the
recovery from the worst global recession since World War II may
be tepid.
Gauges of energy and raw-materials producers lost at least
3.5 percent. Crude oil for December delivery tumbled 3.6
percent, the most in a month, to $77 a barrel in New York.
Copper and gold also fell as the dollar rose, reducing the
appeal of commodities as an alternative investment.
Exxon Mobil Corp., the world’s largest company by market
value, dropped 3.1 percent to $71.67, while Freeport-McMoRan
Copper & Gold Inc., the biggest publicly traded copper producer,
retreated 6.2 percent to $73.36.
The Dollar Index, which IntercontinentalExchange Inc. uses
to track the currency against six major U.S. trading partners,
gained 0.7 percent. The index surged 1.3 percent this week as
the S&P 500 lost 4 percent, its steepest decline since May.
Banks Tumble
The S&P 500 Financials Index fell 4.8 percent today for the
biggest decline among 10 industries after surging the most since
July yesterday. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell at least 4.7 percent.
Citigroup slumped 5.1 percent to $4.09. The New York-based
bank may report a $10 billion writedown of deferred tax assets
in the fourth quarter, CNBC reported, citing comments on a
conference call by Mayo, an analyst with Calyon Securities USA
Inc. CNBC later reported that Citigroup has “no idea” how the
analyst got the writedown estimate, citing a spokesman.
CIT Group slumped 24 percent to 72 cents. The lender said
that it has entered into an agreement with Icahn to support its
restructuring plan and secured an incremental $1 billion
committed line of credit from Icahn Capital LP to provide
supplemental liquidity for CIT as it pursues that plan.
‘Extremely Sensitive’
“The news of Citigroup writedowns and concern about CIT
are impacting the overall market,” said David Lutz, managing
director of equity trading at Stifel Nicolaus & Co. in
Baltimore. “Investors’ perception is extremely sensitive given
the impact the group had in the market a year ago.”
Barney Frank, chairman of the U.S. House Financial Services
Committee, reversed course and will support requiring financial
firms to prepay into a fund the government will use to unwind
large firms after they fail. Legislation Frank crafted with the
Treasury Department will be amended to create an assessment on
institutions with more than $10 billion of assets, he said today
in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital
with Al Hunt” being broadcast this weekend.
MetLife fell 7.6 percent to $34.03 after posting a third-
quarter net loss of $620 million, or 79 cents a share, as
revenue declined. Operating earnings, which exclude some
investment and derivative results, were 87 cents a share,
beating by a penny the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg
survey.
McAfee, NYSE
McAfee Inc. declined 4.3 percent to $41.88 after the
second-biggest maker of security software reported third-quarter
sales that fell short of some analysts’ estimates.
NYSE Euronext dropped 6.3 percent to $25.85. The world’s
largest owner of stock exchanges reported a 28 percent decline
in third-quarter profit as revenue from equity trading dropped
and European competitors took market share. Excluding some
costs, profit was 53 cents a share, beating the 46-cent average
of 17 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
The market for initial public offerings, hurt by the worst
returns in at least 14 years, suffered another setback after AEI
pulled its sale. Enron Corp.’s former international energy
business postponed its IPO yesterday, citing “market
conditions” after underwriters earlier cut it by 58 percent to
21 million shares and lowered the forecast price range.
Genworth Gains
Genworth Financial Inc. added 4.3 percent to $10.62. The
life insurer and mortgage guarantor reported its first profit in
six quarters and beat analysts’ estimates. Operating income
available to common shareholders, which excludes some investment
results, was 18 cents a share, beating by 15 cents the average
estimate of 16 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
The selloff today may have been exacerbated because many
mutual funds’ fiscal years end in October, causing managers to
sell shares to collect profits or book losses for tax purposes,
investors and traders said.
Tax-loss selling could be “weighing on the margin,” Wells
Capital’s Paulsen said.
The S&P 500 closed today below its average price over the
last 50 days for the second time this week. The index breached
its 50-day moving average of 1,052.25. Some technical analysts,
who make predictions based on price and volume history, say a
move below the 50-day moving average may indicate further
losses.
“It’s all about momentum and sustainability,” said Alan
Gayle, the Richmond, Virginia-based senior investment strategist
at Ridgeworth Investments, which manages $60 billion. “The
glass may be half full, but it’s filling slowly. Consumer
sentiment is far from strong. Companies have yet to show a
sustainable growth plan. I see additional volatility.”
To contact the reporter on this story:
Rita Nazareth in New York at
rnazareth@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: October 30, 2009 16:41 EDT