Copper Rises as Dollar Falls Before Fed Interest-Rate Statement
By Anna Stablum and Millie Munshi
Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Copper rose for a second day in New
York as the dollar fell on speculation that the Federal Reserve
will keep U.S. interest rates near zero at its meeting today.
Fed officials may indicate their $1 trillion injection into
the economy is helping to revive growth without requiring higher
borrowing costs, according to economists. The U.S. Dollar Index,
a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s performance, fell as
much as 0.8 percent. Some traders buy commodities as the
greenback weakens to preserve purchasing power.
“There’s a mistrust of fiat currencies now, and the
expectation is the dollar will continue to weaken,” said
Gijsbert Groenewegen, a partner at Gold Arrow Capital Management
in New York. “People are shifting away from paper currencies
and buying hard assets like copper.”
Copper futures for December delivery gained 3.7 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.993 a pound on the New York Mercantile
Exchange’s Comex unit. The most-active contract fell 2.6 percent
last week as the dollar gained.
“There are expectations of a weaker dollar,” said David
Wilson, a Societe Generale SA analyst in London. “The big thing
to watch is the outcome of the Fed meeting.”
The Federal Open Market Committee will release a statement
at around 2:15 p.m. in Washington.
Service Industries Slow
Copper pared gains after a report showed the growth in U.S.
service industries, which make up almost 90 percent of the
economy, unexpectedly slowed in October.
The Institute for Supply Management’s index of non-
manufacturing businesses fell to 50.6 from 50.9 in September,
the group said today. An increase to 51.5 was the median
forecast of 77 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. A reading
above 50 signals expansion.
Copper prices have more than doubled this year, helped by
record first-half shipments into China, the world’s biggest user
of the metal.
The metal may rebound to $4 a pound next year on recovering
U.S. and European economies and a lack of new supply, according
to Oscar Gonzalez Rocha, the chief executive officer of Southern
Copper Corp. Copper touched a record $4.2605 on May 5, 2008.
“By next year, the American economy and most of Europe
will have recovered from the crisis and consumption will be
up,” Rocha said yesterday in an interview. Southern Copper is
the biggest producer of the metal in Peru and Mexico.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for three-month
delivery rose $115, or 1.8 percent, to $6,575 a metric ton
($2.98 a pound). Aluminum, zinc, tin, lead and nickel also rose.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Anna Stablum in London at
astablum@bloomberg.netMillie Munshi in New York at
mmunshi@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: November 4, 2009 14:15 EST