Gold Coin Output to Drop by 32% on Demand, Austrian Mint Says
By Aya Takada and Yasumasa Song
Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) -- The Austrian mint, the world’s
largest marketer of pure gold coins, plans to slash output by 32
percent next year from a record, forecasting the end of the
financial crisis will weaken investor demand.
Muenze Oesterreich AG aims to cut production of
Philharmonic gold coins to 650,000 ounces in 2010 from an
estimated 950,000 ounces this year, mint President Kurt Meyer
said in an interview in Tokyo. Output in 2009 is set to reach an
all-time high for a second year after financial turmoil
triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
spurred demand, he said.
Gold surged to a record $1,070.80 an ounce Oct. 14 and has
gained 17 percent this year on demand for a currency alternative
and inflation hedge as the dollar declined. The International
Monetary Fund this month raised its forecast for global growth
next year to 3.1 percent as more than $2 trillion in stimulus
packages and demand in Asia pull the world economy out of its
worst recession since World War II.
“The crisis is over, and economies are recovering,” Meyer
said yesterday during a visit to Japan to promote sales of a new
20-ounce version of the coin. “Gold investment stimulated by
concerns about the financial system will subside,” he said. The
coin design depicts musical instruments representing the Vienna
Philharmonic Orchestra, according to the mint’s Web site.
Gold for immediate delivery rose 0.3 percent to $1,031.63
an ounce at 10:07 a.m. in Tokyo. Prices are headed for a ninth
annual increase, extending last year’s 5.8 percent gain. The
dollar has dropped 5.2 percent against the euro this year.
Interest Rates
“Gold rallied on speculation that the dollar will weaken
because of low U.S. interest rates,” said Kazuhiko Saito, chief
analyst at commodity broker Fujitomi Co. in Tokyo. “If these
conditions change, the metal’s advance will come to a halt.”
Investors buy bullion as gold coins, bars or through shares
in exchange-traded products. Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust,
the biggest ETF backed by the metal, were 1,105.65 metric tons
on Oct. 27 after reaching a record 1,134.03 tons on June 1.
Other coins purchased by investors include the U.S. Mint’s
American Eagle, Canada’s Maple Leaf and South Africa’s
Krugerrand.
The 800-year-old Austrian mint, located in a former
Habsburg palace, sold 908,721 ounces of gold coins so far this
year, exceeding overall sales last year by 14 percent, Meyer
said. Including bars, the mint sold 1.9 million ounces of gold
this year, 23 percent more than last year’s total sales of 1.54
million ounces, he added.
Global Market
The Austrian mint became the top marketer of pure gold
coins, taking a 30 percent share in the global market in the
three months ended Dec. 31, as producers in other countries
failed to catch up with growing demand on a lack of available
metal, Meyer said.
In Japan, the Austrian mint sold 42,659 ounces of gold
coins in the nine months ended Sept. 30, taking a 57 percent
market share, according to Tanaka Kikinzoku Kogyo K.K., the
biggest Japanese retailer of precious metals. Tanaka, which acts
as a sales agent for the mint in the country, expects to sell a
total 70,000 ounces by the end of this year.
Tanaka’s sales of gold bars to local investors increased 12
percent from a year earlier to 25,614 kilograms in the nine
months ended Sept. 30. Individuals bought bullion to diversify
their assets amid the financial crisis, said Osamu Ikeda,
general manager at Tanaka’s precious metals division.
Haven demand driven by the collapse of Lehman Brothers last
year and inflation concerns because of liquidity pumped into the
global system by centrals banks were no longer reasons for gold
prices to keep rallying, New York University economist Nouriel
Roubini said Oct. 8.
“The tail risk of those two cataclysmic risks have
diminished significantly,” Roubini told reporters in New York.
“There is no inflation threat” in the short term, he said.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Aya Takada in Tokyo
atakada2@bloomberg.net;
Yasumasa Song in Tokyo at
ysong9@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: October 28, 2009 23:18 EDT