Corn, Soybeans Fall as Farmers Step Up Sales After Price Rally
Oct. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Corn plunged the most since June and
soybeans declined on speculation that growers in the U.S., the
world’s largest producer and exporter of both, increased sales
to take advantage of the highest prices since harvesting began.
On Oct. 23, corn touched a four-month high of $4.135 a
bushel, up as much as 23 percent from Sept. 30, and soybeans
rose to the highest level in two months. Both commodities
rallied as Midwest rainfall slowed harvesting, which trailed the
five-year pace through yesterday and threatened to curb yields.
“The run-up in prices was to encourage farmers to sell,
and I think that has been accomplished,” said Greg Wagner, an
AgResource Co. senior market analyst in Chicago. “We reached
the upside objectives” for producer sales and for speculators
to reduce bets on higher prices, Wagner said
Corn futures for December delivery fell 19.75 cents, or
5 percent, to $3.78 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, the
steepest drop since June 30. The most-active contract is down
7.1 percent for the year.
Soybean futures for January delivery fell 18.75 cents, or
1.9 percent, to $9.8875 a bushel, the steepest slide since Oct.
2. The most-active contract reached $10.2925 on Oct. 23, the
highest price since Aug. 14.
Speculator Holdings
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased
net-long positions by 27 percent to 109,163 contracts in CBOT
corn futures and options in the week through Oct. 20, the
biggest bet on rising prices since June, Commodity Futures
Trading Commission data show.
In soybeans, large speculators increased bets on higher
prices by 18 percent to 43,097 contracts last week, the most in
nine weeks, CFTC data show.
“There’s some profit-taking by the funds” after corn
topped $4.05 a bushel last week and soybeans jumped above
$10.20, Wagner said. “Market volatility will continue into the
end of the month.”
About 20 percent of the corn crop was collected by Oct. 25,
behind the 58 percent five-year average, the U.S. Department of
Agriculture reported today. The soybean harvest was 44 percent
done, compared with the 80 percent five-year average.
Prices also fell on speculation that more favorable U.S.
weather in the first two weeks of November will firm muddy
soils, allowing harvest equipment back into the fields from
Texas to Ohio, said Dale Schultz, a Gottsch Enterprises
commodity specialist in Hasting, Nebraska.
Weather Outlook
The weather will be warmer and drier in the first half of
next month, said Joel Widenor, the Commodity Weather Group’s
director of agricultural services in Bethesda, Maryland. The
driest weather is forecast for the western half of the Midwest
region, with some showers predicted in southern and eastern
parts after Nov. 6, Widenor said.
Speculators and farmers stepped up sales because of “a
more open forecast” after a storm system passes through parts
of the region this week, Schultz said. “If the farmer had 14
days of harvest weather, he could get not only the beans done
but get 3 percent to 5 percent of the corn harvested a day.”
Corn is the biggest U.S. crop, valued at $47.4 billion in
2008, followed by soybeans at $27.4 billion, USDA figures show.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Jeff Wilson in Chicago at
jwilson29@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: October 26, 2009 16:22 EDT