Copper Declines From 13-Month High as the Dollar Strengthens
Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Copper fell from the highest price
in almost 13 months in New York as the dollar strengthened,
eroding metals’ appeal as an alternative investment.
The dollar rose from yesterday’s 14-month low against the
euro on speculation that China will curb stimulus spending after
reports today showed the Asian nation’s gross domestic product
climbed at the fastest pace in a year in the third quarter and
inflationary pressures grew. China, the world’s biggest copper
consumer, is spending 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) on roads,
power lines and other projects to stoke the economy.
“The question now is how long can the economy sustain the
stimulus package and when is the moment to exit these
policies,” Edward Meir, an MF Global Ltd. analyst, wrote today
in a report. “It is becoming almost imperative to trade metals
from the perspective of the dollar these days.”
Copper futures for December delivery fell 3.8 cents, or
1.3 percent, to $2.998 a pound on the New York Mercantile
Exchange’s Comex unit. The price reached $3.0575 yesterday, the
highest for a most-active contract since Sept. 29, 2008.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for three-month
delivery was unchanged at $6,590 a metric ton ($2.99 a pound),
after also reaching the highest price in more than a year
yesterday.
The U.S. Dollar Index, a six-currency measure of the
greenback’s value, rose as much as 0.7 percent before paring
gains. The euro topped $1.50 yesterday for the first time since
August 2008 and has climbed 7.6 percent this year against the
U.S. currency. A declining dollar makes metals cheaper for
buyers using other monies.
Industrial Output
A weaker dollar has helped copper prices to double this
year, along with record first-half shipments into China.
Industrial production in the country climbed 13.9 percent in
September from a year earlier, the fastest pace in more than a
year, figures from the statistics bureau showed.
Gross domestic product rose 8.9 percent in the third
quarter from a year earlier, the agency said in Beijing today.
The government is paying “close attention” to the prospect of
inflation, statistics bureau spokesman Li Xiaochao said today.
Chinese output of copper and aluminum gained 8 percent in
September from the prior month, causing concern that production
may be exceeding demand, Eugen Weinberg, a Commerzbank AG
analyst in Frankfurt, said today in a report. The country “has
been producing more aluminum than ever before,” he said.
Consumption in Asia will drive demand for minerals, said
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s largest mining company.
“We stand at the threshold of an era of unprecedented
growth due to demand generated by China and, in the future,
India,” Chairman Don Argus said today.
Strike at Spence
A strike at BHP’s Spence copper mine in Chile entered its
10th day today. Workers are prepared stay away for a “long
time” unless the company improves its wage and benefits offer,
a union official said yesterday.
Spence miners are seeking similar terms to BHP workers at
the Escondida copper mine, also in northern Chile, said Daniel
Ibacache, a union spokesman. The mine accounts for 1 percent of
global copper production, he said.
In other LME markets, nickel and lead fell, while tin and
zinc rose. Aluminum was unchanged.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Anna Stablum in London at
astablum@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: October 22, 2009 17:47 EDT