Brazil's Credit Rating Raised One Level by Moody's (Update2)
Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil had its credit rating raised
one level by Moody's Investors Service after the government paid
down about $30 billion of foreign debt ahead of schedule.
Moody's raised the government's foreign- and local-currency
bond ratings to Ba2, two levels below investment grade and in
line with countries such as Colombia and Guatemala, from Ba3.
The increase leaves Moody's rating in line with Standard &
Poor's.
Brazil, the biggest debtor among developing nations, has
taken advantage of a surge in dollar inflows from rising
commodity exports to pare its external liabilities, making its
finances less vulnerable to declines in the currency. After
paying off about $15 billion to the International Monetary Fund
at the end of last year, Brazil has repurchased about $15
billion of dollar-denominated bonds this year.
``It's a confirmation of a positive trend,'' said Regis
Abreu, who helps manage 1.1 billion reais of assets at Mercatto
Gesta de Recursos in Rio de Janeiro. ``It's definitely good
news.''
Brazil's benchmark dollar-denominated bond due in 2040
extended gains after Moody's announced the rating increase. The
bond's yield to the 2015 call date fell to 6.44 percent at 2:11
p.m. in New York, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The bond's
yield to maturity dropped to 8.29 percent from 8.33 percent
yesterday. The price, which moves inversely to the yield, rose
0.55 cent to 130.65 cents on the dollar.
Exports
Moody's had signaled it was considering raising Brazil's
rating. On Aug. 1, Moody's put the rating on review for a
possible increase. Moody's last raised Brazil's rating on Oct.
12.
Moody's said in a statement today that the decline in the
country's foreign debt has ``led to a substantial reduction in
credit vulnerabilities derived from the financial impact of
exchange rate fluctuations.''
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has sought to reduce
the country's dependence on foreign financing. The public
sector's consolidated foreign debt fell to $74.8 billion at the
end of July from $119.8 billion at the end of 2003, according to
the central bank.
Growing exports will maintain dollar flows into the country
and help Brazil make repayments on foreign debt, Moody's said.
``The presence of a diversified export structure should
allow Brazil to weather dips in commodity prices or a
deceleration in world economic growth with more ease,'' Moody's
said.
`Welcome News'
Brazilian exports rose to a record $13.6 billion in July
from $11.1 billion a year earlier. During Lula's first three
years in office, annual exports almost doubled to $118.3 billion
in 2005 from $60.4 billion in 2002.
The rating increase will help Brazilian companies cut
borrowing costs in international markets, Fabio Barbosa, chief
financial officer of Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the world's biggest
iron-ore maker and Brazil's biggest exporter.
``It contributes to all of Brazil and I include Vale in
that,'' Barbosa told reporters in Sao Paulo. ``It helps us a lot
and is very welcome news for the country.''
Moody's also said it's concerned about rising government
spending. It said the government will have to ease that spending
to achieve further rating increases.
The spending pickup is ``inconsistent with the government's
declared intention to assure fiscal sustainability over time,''
Moody's said in the statement.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Carlos Caminada in Sao Paulo at at
ccaminada1@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: August 31, 2006 15:04 EDT